When Instability Increases the Effectiveness of Aid Projects

The authors assess the effect of economic instability on the success of projects funded by the World Bank using the outcome of the projects, which is a notation of their overall success determined by the Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. It has been argued in macroeconomic studies that aid e...

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Main Authors: Guillaumont, Patrick, Laajaj, Rachid
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/10/7126764/instability-increases-effectiveness-aid-projects
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/9017
id okr-10986-9017
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-90172021-04-23T14:02:41Z When Instability Increases the Effectiveness of Aid Projects Guillaumont, Patrick Laajaj, Rachid ADVERSE EFFECTS AID AID ALLOCATION AID FLOWS BANK LOANS BUSINESS CYCLES DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT ISSUES DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DONOR AGENCIES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC INSTABILITY ECONOMIC RATE OF RETURN ECONOMIC STABILITY EXPORTS EXTERNALITIES FINANCIAL MARKETS GDP GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GROWTH RATE HEALTH STATUS HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GROUPS INCREASING RETURNS INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE INFLATION INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL AID MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MALNUTRITION POSITIVE EXTERNALITY POVERTY ALLEVIATION POVERTY REDUCTION PRIORITIES PRODUCTIVITY PROJECT EVALUATION PUBLIC FINANCE PUBLIC SERVICES RETURNS TO SCALE RISK AVERSE SELECTION BIAS SIDE EFFECTS SUSTAINABILITY The authors assess the effect of economic instability on the success of projects funded by the World Bank using the outcome of the projects, which is a notation of their overall success determined by the Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. It has been argued in macroeconomic studies that aid effectiveness is higher in vulnerable countries because it dampens the negative effects of shocks. The authors show that this finding is not inconsistent with the observation that the success of the projects is lower in an unstable environment. Instability, in particular the instability of exports, harms aid projects as it harms the rest of the economy, while the success of projects decreases when the total amount of aid received increases, due to absorptive capacity limitations. But this decrease is slower when instability is higher, showing a positive effect of aid through its stabilizing impact. The authors find the same results keeping only the projects funded by nonconcessionary loans, which suggests that the cushioning effect of aid extends not only to aid funded projects but to whole sets of projects. Corroborating macroeconomic findings, their results lead to the same conclusion that more aid should be allocated to more vulnerable countries, in spite of the lower success of the projects in an unstable environment: project evaluations cannot include the macrostabilizing effect of the aid delivered through projects. 2012-06-26T14:29:46Z 2012-06-26T14:29:46Z 2006-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/10/7126764/instability-increases-effectiveness-aid-projects http://hdl.handle.net/10986/9017 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4034 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ADVERSE EFFECTS
AID
AID ALLOCATION
AID FLOWS
BANK LOANS
BUSINESS CYCLES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT ISSUES
DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES
DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DONOR AGENCIES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INSTABILITY
ECONOMIC RATE OF RETURN
ECONOMIC STABILITY
EXPORTS
EXTERNALITIES
FINANCIAL MARKETS
GDP
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GROWTH RATE
HEALTH STATUS
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GROUPS
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INFLATION
INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL AID
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MALNUTRITION
POSITIVE EXTERNALITY
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRIORITIES
PRODUCTIVITY
PROJECT EVALUATION
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC SERVICES
RETURNS TO SCALE
RISK AVERSE
SELECTION BIAS
SIDE EFFECTS
SUSTAINABILITY
spellingShingle ADVERSE EFFECTS
AID
AID ALLOCATION
AID FLOWS
BANK LOANS
BUSINESS CYCLES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT ISSUES
DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES
DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DONOR AGENCIES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INSTABILITY
ECONOMIC RATE OF RETURN
ECONOMIC STABILITY
EXPORTS
EXTERNALITIES
FINANCIAL MARKETS
GDP
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GROWTH RATE
HEALTH STATUS
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GROUPS
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INFLATION
INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL AID
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MALNUTRITION
POSITIVE EXTERNALITY
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRIORITIES
PRODUCTIVITY
PROJECT EVALUATION
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC SERVICES
RETURNS TO SCALE
RISK AVERSE
SELECTION BIAS
SIDE EFFECTS
SUSTAINABILITY
Guillaumont, Patrick
Laajaj, Rachid
When Instability Increases the Effectiveness of Aid Projects
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4034
description The authors assess the effect of economic instability on the success of projects funded by the World Bank using the outcome of the projects, which is a notation of their overall success determined by the Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. It has been argued in macroeconomic studies that aid effectiveness is higher in vulnerable countries because it dampens the negative effects of shocks. The authors show that this finding is not inconsistent with the observation that the success of the projects is lower in an unstable environment. Instability, in particular the instability of exports, harms aid projects as it harms the rest of the economy, while the success of projects decreases when the total amount of aid received increases, due to absorptive capacity limitations. But this decrease is slower when instability is higher, showing a positive effect of aid through its stabilizing impact. The authors find the same results keeping only the projects funded by nonconcessionary loans, which suggests that the cushioning effect of aid extends not only to aid funded projects but to whole sets of projects. Corroborating macroeconomic findings, their results lead to the same conclusion that more aid should be allocated to more vulnerable countries, in spite of the lower success of the projects in an unstable environment: project evaluations cannot include the macrostabilizing effect of the aid delivered through projects.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Guillaumont, Patrick
Laajaj, Rachid
author_facet Guillaumont, Patrick
Laajaj, Rachid
author_sort Guillaumont, Patrick
title When Instability Increases the Effectiveness of Aid Projects
title_short When Instability Increases the Effectiveness of Aid Projects
title_full When Instability Increases the Effectiveness of Aid Projects
title_fullStr When Instability Increases the Effectiveness of Aid Projects
title_full_unstemmed When Instability Increases the Effectiveness of Aid Projects
title_sort when instability increases the effectiveness of aid projects
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/10/7126764/instability-increases-effectiveness-aid-projects
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/9017
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