Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict

Critics of trade liberalization argue that globalization increases countries' vulnerability to economic shocks and hence may exacerbate domestic social conflict. Such social conflict may also be transformed into armed conflict. Others argue that globalization promotes economic growth and reduce...

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Main Authors:	Elbadawi, Ibrahim, Hegre, Havard
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	EN
Published:	2012
Subjects:	Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior D720 Trade Policy International Trade Organizations F130 Formal and Informal Sectors Shadow Economy Institutional Arrangements O170 International Linkages to Development Role of International Organizations O190
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5684

id	okr-10986-5684
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-56842021-04-23T14:02:23Z Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict Elbadawi, Ibrahim Hegre, Havard Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior D720 Trade Policy International Trade Organizations F130 Formal and Informal Sectors Shadow Economy Institutional Arrangements O170 International Linkages to Development Role of International Organizations O190 Critics of trade liberalization argue that globalization increases countries' vulnerability to economic shocks and hence may exacerbate domestic social conflict. Such social conflict may also be transformed into armed conflict. Others argue that globalization promotes economic growth and reduces poverty, which leads to a reduction in the risk of internal conflict. Several studies find trade to reduce the risk of interstate conflict. This article investigates the impact of trade and trade shocks on the risk of intrastate conflict. A set of operationalizations of economic shock is developed and used to analyze the risk of conflicts that involve at least 25 battle deaths per year. The analysis finds no robust evidence for a direct relationship between trade openness, trade shocks, and the risk of armed conflict. There is somewhat more basis for concluding that globalization affects the risk indirectly through its effect on long- and short-term growth. In the long run, trade-induced growth reduces the risk of domestic conflict. 2012-03-30T07:34:01Z 2012-03-30T07:34:01Z 2008 Journal Article Defence and Peace Economics 10242694 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5684 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	EN
topic	Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior D720 Trade Policy International Trade Organizations F130 Formal and Informal Sectors Shadow Economy Institutional Arrangements O170 International Linkages to Development Role of International Organizations O190
spellingShingle	Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior D720 Trade Policy International Trade Organizations F130 Formal and Informal Sectors Shadow Economy Institutional Arrangements O170 International Linkages to Development Role of International Organizations O190 Elbadawi, Ibrahim Hegre, Havard Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict
relation	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description	Critics of trade liberalization argue that globalization increases countries' vulnerability to economic shocks and hence may exacerbate domestic social conflict. Such social conflict may also be transformed into armed conflict. Others argue that globalization promotes economic growth and reduces poverty, which leads to a reduction in the risk of internal conflict. Several studies find trade to reduce the risk of interstate conflict. This article investigates the impact of trade and trade shocks on the risk of intrastate conflict. A set of operationalizations of economic shock is developed and used to analyze the risk of conflicts that involve at least 25 battle deaths per year. The analysis finds no robust evidence for a direct relationship between trade openness, trade shocks, and the risk of armed conflict. There is somewhat more basis for concluding that globalization affects the risk indirectly through its effect on long- and short-term growth. In the long run, trade-induced growth reduces the risk of domestic conflict.
format	Journal Article
author	Elbadawi, Ibrahim Hegre, Havard
author_facet	Elbadawi, Ibrahim Hegre, Havard
author_sort	Elbadawi, Ibrahim
title	Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict
title_short	Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict
title_full	Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict
title_fullStr	Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict
title_full_unstemmed	Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict
title_sort	globalization, economic shocks, and internal armed conflict
publishDate	2012
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5684
_version_	1764395949543653376

Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict

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