Subdued Potential Growth : Sources and Remedies

Global potential output growth has been flagging. At 2.5 percent in 2013-17, post-crisis potential growth is 0.5 percentage point below its longer-term average and 0.9 percentage point below its average a decade ago. Compared with a decade ago, pot...

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Main Authors: Kilic Celik, Sinem, Kose, M. Ayhan, Ohnsorge, Franziska
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/976181583843503040/Subdued-Potential-Growth-Sources-and-Remedies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33426
id okr-10986-33426
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-334262022-09-20T00:13:49Z Subdued Potential Growth : Sources and Remedies Kilic Celik, Sinem Kose, M. Ayhan Ohnsorge, Franziska ECONOMIC GROWTH POTENTIAL OUTPUT EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES GROWTH POTENTIAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH FEMALE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION HUMAN CAPITAL Global potential output growth has been flagging. At 2.5 percent in 2013-17, post-crisis potential growth is 0.5 percentage point below its longer-term average and 0.9 percentage point below its average a decade ago. Compared with a decade ago, potential growth has declined 0.8 percentage point in advanced economies and 1.1 percentage point in emerging market and developing economies. The slowdown mainly reflected weaker capital accumulation but is also evidence of decelerating productivity growth and demographic trends that dampen labor supply growth. Unless countered, these forces are expected to continue and to depress global potential growth further by 0.2 percentage point over the next decade. A menu of policy options is available to help reverse this trend, including comprehensive policy initiatives to lift physical and human capital and to encourage labor force participation by women and older workers. 2020-03-12T15:41:43Z 2020-03-12T15:41:43Z 2020-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/976181583843503040/Subdued-Potential-Growth-Sources-and-Remedies http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33426 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9177 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
GROWTH POTENTIAL
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
FEMALE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
HUMAN CAPITAL
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
GROWTH POTENTIAL
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
FEMALE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
HUMAN CAPITAL
Kilic Celik, Sinem
Kose, M. Ayhan
Ohnsorge, Franziska
Subdued Potential Growth : Sources and Remedies
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9177
description Global potential output growth has been flagging. At 2.5 percent in 2013-17, post-crisis potential growth is 0.5 percentage point below its longer-term average and 0.9 percentage point below its average a decade ago. Compared with a decade ago, potential growth has declined 0.8 percentage point in advanced economies and 1.1 percentage point in emerging market and developing economies. The slowdown mainly reflected weaker capital accumulation but is also evidence of decelerating productivity growth and demographic trends that dampen labor supply growth. Unless countered, these forces are expected to continue and to depress global potential growth further by 0.2 percentage point over the next decade. A menu of policy options is available to help reverse this trend, including comprehensive policy initiatives to lift physical and human capital and to encourage labor force participation by women and older workers.
format Working Paper
author Kilic Celik, Sinem
Kose, M. Ayhan
Ohnsorge, Franziska
author_facet Kilic Celik, Sinem
Kose, M. Ayhan
Ohnsorge, Franziska
author_sort Kilic Celik, Sinem
title Subdued Potential Growth : Sources and Remedies
title_short Subdued Potential Growth : Sources and Remedies
title_full Subdued Potential Growth : Sources and Remedies
title_fullStr Subdued Potential Growth : Sources and Remedies
title_full_unstemmed Subdued Potential Growth : Sources and Remedies
title_sort subdued potential growth : sources and remedies
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/976181583843503040/Subdued-Potential-Growth-Sources-and-Remedies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33426
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