Trade Integration, Export Patterns, and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

This paper examines systematically the growth effects of trade integration in Sub-Saharan Africa. It complements and improves upon the empirical literature in two aspects: first, it jointly estimates the impact of different dimensions of trade inte...

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Main Authors: Calderon, Cesar, Cantu, Catalina, Zeufack, Albert G.
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/812731580315829595/Trade-Integration-Export-Patterns-and-Growth-in-Sub-Saharan-Africa
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33268
id okr-10986-33268
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-332682022-09-20T00:10:30Z Trade Integration, Export Patterns, and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa Calderon, Cesar Cantu, Catalina Zeufack, Albert G. TRADE INTEGRATION EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION EXPORT PATTERNS ECONOMIC GROWTH REGIONAL TRADE TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY MANUFACTURING TRADE This paper examines systematically the growth effects of trade integration in Sub-Saharan Africa. It complements and improves upon the empirical literature in two aspects: first, it jointly estimates the impact of different dimensions of trade integration, namely, trade volumes, export/trade patterns by product (primary and manufacturing goods), and by destination (inter- and intra-regional). Second, it estimates the impact of trade integration on economic growth and its sources, that is, capital accumulation and total factor productivity growth. The analysis finds causal evidence that trade integration fosters growth. Additionally, manufacturing trade boosts growth and trade in primary goods hampers growth. Doubling the manufacturing trade share in Sub-Saharan Africa's gross domestic product would increase growth by 1.9 percentage points per year, while increases in primary trade reduce growth by 1 percentage point. This impact is mainly transmitted through lower capital accumulation. Finally, inter- and intra-regional trade have a positive impact on growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. Doubling inter-regional trade will increase growth by 1.9 percentage points, and the same increase for intra-regional trade enhances growth by 0.6 percentage points. The effects of inter-regional trade are transmitted primarily through capital accumulation, while those of intra-regional trade are channeled through enhanced total factor productivity growth. 2020-01-30T21:11:53Z 2020-01-30T21:11:53Z 2020-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/812731580315829595/Trade-Integration-Export-Patterns-and-Growth-in-Sub-Saharan-Africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33268 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9132 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Sub-Saharan Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TRADE INTEGRATION
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT PATTERNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
REGIONAL TRADE
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
MANUFACTURING TRADE
spellingShingle TRADE INTEGRATION
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT PATTERNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
REGIONAL TRADE
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
MANUFACTURING TRADE
Calderon, Cesar
Cantu, Catalina
Zeufack, Albert G.
Trade Integration, Export Patterns, and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
geographic_facet Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9132
description This paper examines systematically the growth effects of trade integration in Sub-Saharan Africa. It complements and improves upon the empirical literature in two aspects: first, it jointly estimates the impact of different dimensions of trade integration, namely, trade volumes, export/trade patterns by product (primary and manufacturing goods), and by destination (inter- and intra-regional). Second, it estimates the impact of trade integration on economic growth and its sources, that is, capital accumulation and total factor productivity growth. The analysis finds causal evidence that trade integration fosters growth. Additionally, manufacturing trade boosts growth and trade in primary goods hampers growth. Doubling the manufacturing trade share in Sub-Saharan Africa's gross domestic product would increase growth by 1.9 percentage points per year, while increases in primary trade reduce growth by 1 percentage point. This impact is mainly transmitted through lower capital accumulation. Finally, inter- and intra-regional trade have a positive impact on growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. Doubling inter-regional trade will increase growth by 1.9 percentage points, and the same increase for intra-regional trade enhances growth by 0.6 percentage points. The effects of inter-regional trade are transmitted primarily through capital accumulation, while those of intra-regional trade are channeled through enhanced total factor productivity growth.
format Working Paper
author Calderon, Cesar
Cantu, Catalina
Zeufack, Albert G.
author_facet Calderon, Cesar
Cantu, Catalina
Zeufack, Albert G.
author_sort Calderon, Cesar
title Trade Integration, Export Patterns, and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_short Trade Integration, Export Patterns, and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_full Trade Integration, Export Patterns, and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_fullStr Trade Integration, Export Patterns, and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_full_unstemmed Trade Integration, Export Patterns, and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_sort trade integration, export patterns, and growth in sub-saharan africa
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/812731580315829595/Trade-Integration-Export-Patterns-and-Growth-in-Sub-Saharan-Africa
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33268
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