Small Area Estimation of Poverty under Structural Change

Small area poverty maps allow for the design of policies based on spatial differences in welfare. They are typically estimated based on a consumption survey reporting on poverty and a census providing the spatial disaggregation. This paper presents...

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Main Authors: Lange, Simon, Pape, Utz Johann, Putz, Peter
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/612621528823563131/Small-area-estimation-of-poverty-under-structural-change
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29901
id okr-10986-29901
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-299012021-06-14T10:08:23Z Small Area Estimation of Poverty under Structural Change Lange, Simon Pape, Utz Johann Putz, Peter POVERTY ESTIMATE SMALL AREA ESTIMATION CENSUS CONSUMPTION SURVEY POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MAPPING Small area poverty maps allow for the design of policies based on spatial differences in welfare. They are typically estimated based on a consumption survey reporting on poverty and a census providing the spatial disaggregation. This paper presents a new method which allows for the estimation of up-to-date small area poverty maps when only a dated census and a more recent survey are available and predictors and structural parameters are subject to drift over time, a situation commonly encountered in practice. Instead of using survey variables to explain consumption in the survey, the new approach uses variables constructed from the census. The proposed estimator has fewer data requirements and weaker assumptions than common small area poverty map estimators. Applications to simulated data and to poverty estimation in Brazil show an overall good performance. 2018-06-19T15:35:33Z 2018-06-19T15:35:33Z 2018-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/612621528823563131/Small-area-estimation-of-poverty-under-structural-change http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29901 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8472 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Brazil
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic POVERTY ESTIMATE
SMALL AREA ESTIMATION
CENSUS
CONSUMPTION SURVEY
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY MAPPING
spellingShingle POVERTY ESTIMATE
SMALL AREA ESTIMATION
CENSUS
CONSUMPTION SURVEY
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY MAPPING
Lange, Simon
Pape, Utz Johann
Putz, Peter
Small Area Estimation of Poverty under Structural Change
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Brazil
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8472
description Small area poverty maps allow for the design of policies based on spatial differences in welfare. They are typically estimated based on a consumption survey reporting on poverty and a census providing the spatial disaggregation. This paper presents a new method which allows for the estimation of up-to-date small area poverty maps when only a dated census and a more recent survey are available and predictors and structural parameters are subject to drift over time, a situation commonly encountered in practice. Instead of using survey variables to explain consumption in the survey, the new approach uses variables constructed from the census. The proposed estimator has fewer data requirements and weaker assumptions than common small area poverty map estimators. Applications to simulated data and to poverty estimation in Brazil show an overall good performance.
format Working Paper
author Lange, Simon
Pape, Utz Johann
Putz, Peter
author_facet Lange, Simon
Pape, Utz Johann
Putz, Peter
author_sort Lange, Simon
title Small Area Estimation of Poverty under Structural Change
title_short Small Area Estimation of Poverty under Structural Change
title_full Small Area Estimation of Poverty under Structural Change
title_fullStr Small Area Estimation of Poverty under Structural Change
title_full_unstemmed Small Area Estimation of Poverty under Structural Change
title_sort small area estimation of poverty under structural change
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/612621528823563131/Small-area-estimation-of-poverty-under-structural-change
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29901
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