Beating the Slowdown in Zambia : Reducing Fiscal Vulnerabilities for Economic Recovery

Policy makers in commodity-exporting countries have faced increasing challenges in the past two years, in the face of reduced demand from China and uncertain economic recovery in developed economies. Zambia is no exception. Falling copper prices an...

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Main Authors: Smith, Gregory, Davies, Fiona, Chinzara, Zivanemoyo
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/09/26827932/beating-slowdown-zambia-reducing-fiscal-vulnerabilities-economic-recovery
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25270
id okr-10986-25270
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-252702021-05-25T08:52:40Z Beating the Slowdown in Zambia : Reducing Fiscal Vulnerabilities for Economic Recovery Smith, Gregory Davies, Fiona Chinzara, Zivanemoyo fiscal risk fiscal policy economic growth economic shocks monetary policy economic recovery Policy makers in commodity-exporting countries have faced increasing challenges in the past two years, in the face of reduced demand from China and uncertain economic recovery in developed economies. Zambia is no exception. Falling copper prices and a power crisis have contributed to an economic slowdown. The effects of the slowdown could arguably have been counteracted in a sustainable manner by utilizing fiscal buffers, but this option was not available, as Zambia did not make savings or provide for stabilization measures when the economy was prospering. Furthermore, options to access external financing are limited, as Zambia’s debt levels have soared in recent years following repeat non-concessional borrowing, making it more difficult and expensive to borrow from international debt markets. This policy note examines Zambia’s fiscal vulnerabilities and the costs associated with its expansionary, subsidy-oriented fiscal policy. It then sets out the benefits of coordinating fiscal policy with monetary policy in a way that is mutually reinforcing and beneficial to private sector investment, instead of having the two pull in opposite directions, as is currently the case. Finally, it makes recommendations to help shift the fiscal position to a more sustainable path and in turn improve market confidence and the prospects for sustainable economic recovery. 2016-10-25T22:04:18Z 2016-10-25T22:04:18Z 2016-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/09/26827932/beating-slowdown-zambia-reducing-fiscal-vulnerabilities-economic-recovery http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25270 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Policy Note Africa Zambia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic fiscal risk
fiscal policy
economic growth
economic shocks
monetary policy
economic recovery
spellingShingle fiscal risk
fiscal policy
economic growth
economic shocks
monetary policy
economic recovery
Smith, Gregory
Davies, Fiona
Chinzara, Zivanemoyo
Beating the Slowdown in Zambia : Reducing Fiscal Vulnerabilities for Economic Recovery
geographic_facet Africa
Zambia
description Policy makers in commodity-exporting countries have faced increasing challenges in the past two years, in the face of reduced demand from China and uncertain economic recovery in developed economies. Zambia is no exception. Falling copper prices and a power crisis have contributed to an economic slowdown. The effects of the slowdown could arguably have been counteracted in a sustainable manner by utilizing fiscal buffers, but this option was not available, as Zambia did not make savings or provide for stabilization measures when the economy was prospering. Furthermore, options to access external financing are limited, as Zambia’s debt levels have soared in recent years following repeat non-concessional borrowing, making it more difficult and expensive to borrow from international debt markets. This policy note examines Zambia’s fiscal vulnerabilities and the costs associated with its expansionary, subsidy-oriented fiscal policy. It then sets out the benefits of coordinating fiscal policy with monetary policy in a way that is mutually reinforcing and beneficial to private sector investment, instead of having the two pull in opposite directions, as is currently the case. Finally, it makes recommendations to help shift the fiscal position to a more sustainable path and in turn improve market confidence and the prospects for sustainable economic recovery.
format Working Paper
author Smith, Gregory
Davies, Fiona
Chinzara, Zivanemoyo
author_facet Smith, Gregory
Davies, Fiona
Chinzara, Zivanemoyo
author_sort Smith, Gregory
title Beating the Slowdown in Zambia : Reducing Fiscal Vulnerabilities for Economic Recovery
title_short Beating the Slowdown in Zambia : Reducing Fiscal Vulnerabilities for Economic Recovery
title_full Beating the Slowdown in Zambia : Reducing Fiscal Vulnerabilities for Economic Recovery
title_fullStr Beating the Slowdown in Zambia : Reducing Fiscal Vulnerabilities for Economic Recovery
title_full_unstemmed Beating the Slowdown in Zambia : Reducing Fiscal Vulnerabilities for Economic Recovery
title_sort beating the slowdown in zambia : reducing fiscal vulnerabilities for economic recovery
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/09/26827932/beating-slowdown-zambia-reducing-fiscal-vulnerabilities-economic-recovery
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25270
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