Can We Measure Resilience? A Proposed Method and Evidence from Countries in the Sahel
Although resilience has become a popular concept in studies of poverty and vulnerability, it has been difficult to obtain a credible measure of resilience. This difficulty is because the data required to measure resilience, which involves observing...
Main Authors: | , , , |
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Format: | Publications & Research |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank Group, Washington, DC
2015
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/01/23847408/can-measure-resilience-proposed-method-evidence-countries-sahel http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21387 |
Summary: | Although resilience has become a popular
concept in studies of poverty and vulnerability, it has been
difficult to obtain a credible measure of resilience. This
difficulty is because the data required to measure
resilience, which involves observing household outcomes over
time after every exposure to a shock, are usually
unavailable in many contexts. This paper proposes a new
method for measuring household resilience using readily
available cross section data. Intuitively, a household is
considered resilient if there is very little difference
between the pre- and post-shock welfare. By obtaining
counterfactual welfare for households before and after a
shock, households are classified as chronically poor,
non-resilient, and resilient. This method is applied to four
countries in the Sahel. It is found that Niger, Burkina
Faso, and Northern Nigeria have high percentages of
chronically poor: respectively, 48, 34, and 27 percent. In
Senegal, only 4 percent of the population is chronically
poor. The middle group, the non-resilient, accounts for
about 70 percent of the households in Senegal, while in the
other countries it ranges between 34 and 38 percent.
Resilient households account for about 33 percent in all
countries except Niger, where the share is around 18 percent. |
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