Hegelian Macroeconomics : The Dialectics of Global Imbalances

Traditional narratives of external imbalances have focused on the analysis of national accounts, trade flows, and financial flows. They have generated two opposing views of the current situation of the world economy: on one side, a prudent, if not...

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Main Author: Monga, Celestin
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11640482/hegelian-macroeconomics-dialectics-global-imbalances
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19944
id okr-10986-19944
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-199442021-04-23T14:03:52Z Hegelian Macroeconomics : The Dialectics of Global Imbalances Monga, Celestin ACCOUNT DEFICITS GLOBAL IMBALANCES HEGELIAN MACROECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM SUSTAINABILITY US AND CHINA ECONOMIES Traditional narratives of external imbalances have focused on the analysis of national accounts, trade flows, and financial flows. They have generated two opposing views of the current situation of the world economy: on one side, a prudent, if not pessimistic view considers large imbalances as evidence of problems with the international monetary and financial system, and symptoms of domestic distortions (mainly in the United States and China). On the other side, a relaxed, if not optimistic view suggests that global imbalances are not anomalies but simply the predictable outcome of a world with increasingly globalized financial flows in search of the right mix of risks and returns. The former view prescribes that the two largest countries in the world rebalance their economies to avoid the potentially painful cost of disruption and adjustment. The latter contends that global imbalances will be corrected through time by the normal functioning of market forces. This paper offers a critical analysis of these competing explanations of the United States-China imbalances and suggests a way of reconciling them. Starting with an exploration of the accounting frameworks that underpin any discussion of current account deficits and surpluses, the paper argues that China and the United States have become economically so interdependent that fears of any abrupt change in their current Nash equilibrium situation may be exaggerated. The paper also uses Hegel s parable of the development of self-consciousness to explain the dynamics between the two countries. Hegel may not have been a great philosopher of history but his analysis of lordship and bondage (also known as the master-slave dynamics) provides a good framework for analyzing the dialectics of recognition and acknowledgement that currently characterizes the macroeconomic relationships between the United States and China. 2014-09-02T20:53:50Z 2014-09-02T20:53:50Z 2010-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11640482/hegelian-macroeconomics-dialectics-global-imbalances http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19944 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5175 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research East Asia and Pacific
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNT DEFICITS
GLOBAL IMBALANCES
HEGELIAN MACROECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM
SUSTAINABILITY
US AND CHINA ECONOMIES
spellingShingle ACCOUNT DEFICITS
GLOBAL IMBALANCES
HEGELIAN MACROECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM
SUSTAINABILITY
US AND CHINA ECONOMIES
Monga, Celestin
Hegelian Macroeconomics : The Dialectics of Global Imbalances
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5175
description Traditional narratives of external imbalances have focused on the analysis of national accounts, trade flows, and financial flows. They have generated two opposing views of the current situation of the world economy: on one side, a prudent, if not pessimistic view considers large imbalances as evidence of problems with the international monetary and financial system, and symptoms of domestic distortions (mainly in the United States and China). On the other side, a relaxed, if not optimistic view suggests that global imbalances are not anomalies but simply the predictable outcome of a world with increasingly globalized financial flows in search of the right mix of risks and returns. The former view prescribes that the two largest countries in the world rebalance their economies to avoid the potentially painful cost of disruption and adjustment. The latter contends that global imbalances will be corrected through time by the normal functioning of market forces. This paper offers a critical analysis of these competing explanations of the United States-China imbalances and suggests a way of reconciling them. Starting with an exploration of the accounting frameworks that underpin any discussion of current account deficits and surpluses, the paper argues that China and the United States have become economically so interdependent that fears of any abrupt change in their current Nash equilibrium situation may be exaggerated. The paper also uses Hegel s parable of the development of self-consciousness to explain the dynamics between the two countries. Hegel may not have been a great philosopher of history but his analysis of lordship and bondage (also known as the master-slave dynamics) provides a good framework for analyzing the dialectics of recognition and acknowledgement that currently characterizes the macroeconomic relationships between the United States and China.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Monga, Celestin
author_facet Monga, Celestin
author_sort Monga, Celestin
title Hegelian Macroeconomics : The Dialectics of Global Imbalances
title_short Hegelian Macroeconomics : The Dialectics of Global Imbalances
title_full Hegelian Macroeconomics : The Dialectics of Global Imbalances
title_fullStr Hegelian Macroeconomics : The Dialectics of Global Imbalances
title_full_unstemmed Hegelian Macroeconomics : The Dialectics of Global Imbalances
title_sort hegelian macroeconomics : the dialectics of global imbalances
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11640482/hegelian-macroeconomics-dialectics-global-imbalances
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19944
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