Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model

Parameter tuning of Leas Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM) hyper-parameters, namely regularization parameter and kernel parameters plays a crucial role in obtaining a promising result in prediction task. Any improper values setting of the said hyper-parameters would demote the generalization o...

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Main Authors: Zuriani, Mustaffa, Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman, Ernawan, Ferda, Yuhanis, Yusof, Mohamad Farhan, Mohamad Mohsin
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
English
Published: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/1/17.%20Dengue%20outbreak%20prediction%20-hybrid%20meta-heuristic%20model.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/2/17.1%20Dengue%20outbreak%20prediction%20-hybrid%20meta-heuristic%20model.pdf
id ump-22085
recordtype eprints
spelling ump-220852018-11-15T08:35:24Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/ Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model Zuriani, Mustaffa Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman Ernawan, Ferda Yuhanis, Yusof Mohamad Farhan, Mohamad Mohsin QA Mathematics QA76 Computer software Parameter tuning of Leas Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM) hyper-parameters, namely regularization parameter and kernel parameters plays a crucial role in obtaining a promising result in prediction task. Any improper values setting of the said hyper-parameters would demote the generalization of LSSVM. Concerning that matter, in this study, Flower Pollination Algorithm (PA), which is relatively new optimization algorithm is hybrid with LSSVM. Here, the FPA is served as an optimization algorithm for LSSVM. The hybrid FPA-LSSVM is later realized for prediction of dengue outbreak in Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Since it was first recognized, until now Dengue Fever (DF) remains as a major concern of public health in community, specifically during the massive outbreaks. A serious infection of dengue can progress into a more critical condition namely Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). Therefore, a good prediction model is vital to predict the dengue outbreak cases. By using monthly disease surveillance and meteorological data, the performance of the prediction model is guided by Mean Square Error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Percentage Error (RMSPE). Findings of the study demonstrate that FPA-LSSVM is able to produce lower error rate compared to the other identified algorithms. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2018-08 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/1/17.%20Dengue%20outbreak%20prediction%20-hybrid%20meta-heuristic%20model.pdf pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/2/17.1%20Dengue%20outbreak%20prediction%20-hybrid%20meta-heuristic%20model.pdf Zuriani, Mustaffa and Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman and Ernawan, Ferda and Yuhanis, Yusof and Mohamad Farhan, Mohamad Mohsin (2018) Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model. In: 19th IEE/ACIS International Conference On Software Engineering, Artificial Intelligence,Networking And Parallel/Distributed Computing (SNPD 2018), 27 - 29 June 2018 , Busan, Korea. pp. 1-4.. ISBN 978-153865889-5
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Local University
institution Universiti Malaysia Pahang
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
language English
English
topic QA Mathematics
QA76 Computer software
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
QA76 Computer software
Zuriani, Mustaffa
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Ernawan, Ferda
Yuhanis, Yusof
Mohamad Farhan, Mohamad Mohsin
Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model
description Parameter tuning of Leas Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM) hyper-parameters, namely regularization parameter and kernel parameters plays a crucial role in obtaining a promising result in prediction task. Any improper values setting of the said hyper-parameters would demote the generalization of LSSVM. Concerning that matter, in this study, Flower Pollination Algorithm (PA), which is relatively new optimization algorithm is hybrid with LSSVM. Here, the FPA is served as an optimization algorithm for LSSVM. The hybrid FPA-LSSVM is later realized for prediction of dengue outbreak in Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Since it was first recognized, until now Dengue Fever (DF) remains as a major concern of public health in community, specifically during the massive outbreaks. A serious infection of dengue can progress into a more critical condition namely Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). Therefore, a good prediction model is vital to predict the dengue outbreak cases. By using monthly disease surveillance and meteorological data, the performance of the prediction model is guided by Mean Square Error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Percentage Error (RMSPE). Findings of the study demonstrate that FPA-LSSVM is able to produce lower error rate compared to the other identified algorithms.
format Conference or Workshop Item
author Zuriani, Mustaffa
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Ernawan, Ferda
Yuhanis, Yusof
Mohamad Farhan, Mohamad Mohsin
author_facet Zuriani, Mustaffa
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Ernawan, Ferda
Yuhanis, Yusof
Mohamad Farhan, Mohamad Mohsin
author_sort Zuriani, Mustaffa
title Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model
title_short Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model
title_full Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model
title_fullStr Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model
title_full_unstemmed Dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model
title_sort dengue outbreak prediction: hybrid meta-heuristic model
publisher Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
publishDate 2018
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/1/17.%20Dengue%20outbreak%20prediction%20-hybrid%20meta-heuristic%20model.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22085/2/17.1%20Dengue%20outbreak%20prediction%20-hybrid%20meta-heuristic%20model.pdf
first_indexed 2023-09-18T22:32:41Z
last_indexed 2023-09-18T22:32:41Z
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