Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN)

This report deals with flood problem which is usually happened in Malaysia when it coincides with monsoon and gave harm and damages to human life, as it had took many lives each time it happens. A case study of flood is going to be conduct to analyze the pattern of water level and to determine other...

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Main Author: Nurul Murshida, Mohd Sabri
Format: Undergraduates Project Papers
Language:English
English
English
Published: 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/1/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/2/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29%20-%20CHAP%201.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/3/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29%20-%20CHAP%203.pdf
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recordtype eprints
spelling ump-119452016-03-17T01:59:43Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/ Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN) Nurul Murshida, Mohd Sabri TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) This report deals with flood problem which is usually happened in Malaysia when it coincides with monsoon and gave harm and damages to human life, as it had took many lives each time it happens. A case study of flood is going to be conduct to analyze the pattern of water level and to determine other causes that contributes to the flood. The main aim of the study is to minimize the effect of flood problems. It is also used to develop high accuracy model utilizing Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in predicting flood. Furthermore, it used to forecast flood occasion in the study area of station number of 5606410 of Sungai Muda (Jambatan Syed Omar) which is the main river that supplies water to Kedah and Penang. Besides, it used to investigate whether water level data alone can be used to produce modelling and to determine whether ANN is functioning in the forecasting. In this case study, a computational model will be used to stimulate the input data and generate the result, which is called Artificial Neural Network. ANN, which are modelled on the operating behaviour of the brain, are tolerant of some imprecision and are especially useful for classification and function approximation or mapping problems, to which hard and fast rules cannot be applied easily. The terminology of artificial neural networks has created form an organic biological model of neural system, which it comprises an asset of joined cells, the neurons. The neurons receive impulses or response from either input cells or any other neurons. It will perform some kind of transformation of the input and then, it will transfer the outcome to other neurons or also known as output cells. The neural networks are developed from many layers of connected neurons. The result showed that input 7+1 had the highest NSC value of 0.979 with RMSE value of 288.332 for 6 hour interval time, while input 6+1 had the highest NSC value of 0.977 with RMSE value of 134.801 for 3 hour interval time. In conclusion, this research contributes toward the development of forecasting using Artificial Neural Network for flood problems. 2015-06 Undergraduates Project Papers NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/1/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29.pdf application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/2/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29%20-%20CHAP%201.pdf application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/3/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29%20-%20CHAP%203.pdf Nurul Murshida, Mohd Sabri (2015) Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN). Faculty of Civil Engineering & Earth Resources, Universiti Malaysia Pahang. http://iportal.ump.edu.my/lib/item?id=chamo:92313&theme=UMP2
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Local University
institution Universiti Malaysia Pahang
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
language English
English
English
topic TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
spellingShingle TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Nurul Murshida, Mohd Sabri
Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN)
description This report deals with flood problem which is usually happened in Malaysia when it coincides with monsoon and gave harm and damages to human life, as it had took many lives each time it happens. A case study of flood is going to be conduct to analyze the pattern of water level and to determine other causes that contributes to the flood. The main aim of the study is to minimize the effect of flood problems. It is also used to develop high accuracy model utilizing Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in predicting flood. Furthermore, it used to forecast flood occasion in the study area of station number of 5606410 of Sungai Muda (Jambatan Syed Omar) which is the main river that supplies water to Kedah and Penang. Besides, it used to investigate whether water level data alone can be used to produce modelling and to determine whether ANN is functioning in the forecasting. In this case study, a computational model will be used to stimulate the input data and generate the result, which is called Artificial Neural Network. ANN, which are modelled on the operating behaviour of the brain, are tolerant of some imprecision and are especially useful for classification and function approximation or mapping problems, to which hard and fast rules cannot be applied easily. The terminology of artificial neural networks has created form an organic biological model of neural system, which it comprises an asset of joined cells, the neurons. The neurons receive impulses or response from either input cells or any other neurons. It will perform some kind of transformation of the input and then, it will transfer the outcome to other neurons or also known as output cells. The neural networks are developed from many layers of connected neurons. The result showed that input 7+1 had the highest NSC value of 0.979 with RMSE value of 288.332 for 6 hour interval time, while input 6+1 had the highest NSC value of 0.977 with RMSE value of 134.801 for 3 hour interval time. In conclusion, this research contributes toward the development of forecasting using Artificial Neural Network for flood problems.
format Undergraduates Project Papers
author Nurul Murshida, Mohd Sabri
author_facet Nurul Murshida, Mohd Sabri
author_sort Nurul Murshida, Mohd Sabri
title Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN)
title_short Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN)
title_full Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN)
title_fullStr Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN)
title_full_unstemmed Development of forecasting in Sungai Muda, Kuala Muda, Kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ANN)
title_sort development of forecasting in sungai muda, kuala muda, kedah by utilizing artificial neural network (ann)
publishDate 2015
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/1/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/2/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29%20-%20CHAP%201.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11945/3/FKKSA%20-%20NURUL%20MURSHIDA%20BT%20MOHD%20SABRI%20%28CD9344%29%20-%20CHAP%203.pdf
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last_indexed 2023-09-18T22:13:02Z
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