Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach

The main aim of this paper was to validate the relative price monetary model (RPMM) of exchange rate determination for the Malaysian exchange rate (RM/USD) using monthly data set from 1986-2010. The Johansen multivariate cointegration test and vector error correction model were employed. Because the...

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Main Authors: Behrooz Gharleghi, Abu Hassan Shaari Md Nor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2012
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5480/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5480/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5480/1/16%2520Abu%2520Hassan.pdf
id ukm-5480
recordtype eprints
spelling ukm-54802016-12-14T06:38:34Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5480/ Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach Behrooz Gharleghi, Abu Hassan Shaari Md Nor, The main aim of this paper was to validate the relative price monetary model (RPMM) of exchange rate determination for the Malaysian exchange rate (RM/USD) using monthly data set from 1986-2010. The Johansen multivariate cointegration test and vector error correction model were employed. Because the time period under consideration includes the South East Asian financial crisis, the analysis is done using two time periods; the full time period as well as the period after the crisis. Two interesting results were observed from this empirical exercise. First, there is a long-run relationship between exchange rate and the selected macro variables only for the period after the crisis. Second, the forecasting performance of monetary approach based on the error correction model outperformed the Random Walk model. Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2012-09 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5480/1/16%2520Abu%2520Hassan.pdf Behrooz Gharleghi, and Abu Hassan Shaari Md Nor, (2012) Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach. Sains Malaysiana, 41 (9). pp. 1163-1169. ISSN 0126-6039 http://www.ukm.my/jsm/
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Local University
institution Universiti Kebangasaan Malaysia
building UKM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
language English
description The main aim of this paper was to validate the relative price monetary model (RPMM) of exchange rate determination for the Malaysian exchange rate (RM/USD) using monthly data set from 1986-2010. The Johansen multivariate cointegration test and vector error correction model were employed. Because the time period under consideration includes the South East Asian financial crisis, the analysis is done using two time periods; the full time period as well as the period after the crisis. Two interesting results were observed from this empirical exercise. First, there is a long-run relationship between exchange rate and the selected macro variables only for the period after the crisis. Second, the forecasting performance of monetary approach based on the error correction model outperformed the Random Walk model.
format Article
author Behrooz Gharleghi,
Abu Hassan Shaari Md Nor,
spellingShingle Behrooz Gharleghi,
Abu Hassan Shaari Md Nor,
Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach
author_facet Behrooz Gharleghi,
Abu Hassan Shaari Md Nor,
author_sort Behrooz Gharleghi,
title Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach
title_short Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach
title_full Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach
title_fullStr Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach
title_full_unstemmed Is monetary variable a determinant in the Ringgit-Dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach
title_sort is monetary variable a determinant in the ringgit-dollar exchange rates model?: a cointegration approach
publisher Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
publishDate 2012
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5480/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5480/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5480/1/16%2520Abu%2520Hassan.pdf
first_indexed 2023-09-18T19:44:15Z
last_indexed 2023-09-18T19:44:15Z
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