Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia

Time series analysis and forecasting has become a major tool in many applications in air pollution and environmental management fields. Among the most effective approaches for analyzing time series data is the model introduced by Box and Jenkins, ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). In...

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Main Authors:	Marzuki Ismail, Mohd. Zamri Ibrahim, Tg. Azmina Ibrahim, Ahmad Makmon Abdullah
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2011
Online Access:	http://journalarticle.ukm.my/2472/ http://journalarticle.ukm.my/2472/ http://journalarticle.ukm.my/2472/1/01_Marzuki.pdf

id	ukm-2472
recordtype	eprints
spelling	ukm-24722016-12-14T06:31:43Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/2472/ Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia Marzuki Ismail, Mohd. Zamri Ibrahim, Tg. Azmina Ibrahim, Ahmad Makmon Abdullah, Time series analysis and forecasting has become a major tool in many applications in air pollution and environmental management fields. Among the most effective approaches for analyzing time series data is the model introduced by Box and Jenkins, ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). In this study we used Box-Jenkins methodology to build ARIMA model for monthly ozone data taken from an Automatic Air Quality Monitoring System in Kemaman station for the period from 1996 to 2007 with a total of 144 readings. Parametric seasonally adjusted ARIMA (0,1,1) (1,1,2)12 model was successfully applied to predict the long-term trend of ozone concentration. The detection of a steady statistical significant upward trend for ozone concentration in Kemaman is quite alarming. This is likely due to sources of ozone precursors related to industrial activities from nearby areas and the increase in road traffic volume. Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2011-05 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/2472/1/01_Marzuki.pdf Marzuki Ismail, and Mohd. Zamri Ibrahim, and Tg. Azmina Ibrahim, and Ahmad Makmon Abdullah, (2011) Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia. Sains Malaysiana, 40 (5). pp. 411-417. ISSN 0126-6039 http://www.ukm.my/jsm/
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Local University
institution	Universiti Kebangasaan Malaysia
building	UKM Institutional Repository
collection	Online Access
language	English
description	Time series analysis and forecasting has become a major tool in many applications in air pollution and environmental management fields. Among the most effective approaches for analyzing time series data is the model introduced by Box and Jenkins, ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). In this study we used Box-Jenkins methodology to build ARIMA model for monthly ozone data taken from an Automatic Air Quality Monitoring System in Kemaman station for the period from 1996 to 2007 with a total of 144 readings. Parametric seasonally adjusted ARIMA (0,1,1) (1,1,2)12 model was successfully applied to predict the long-term trend of ozone concentration. The detection of a steady statistical significant upward trend for ozone concentration in Kemaman is quite alarming. This is likely due to sources of ozone precursors related to industrial activities from nearby areas and the increase in road traffic volume.
format	Article
author	Marzuki Ismail, Mohd. Zamri Ibrahim, Tg. Azmina Ibrahim, Ahmad Makmon Abdullah,
spellingShingle	Marzuki Ismail, Mohd. Zamri Ibrahim, Tg. Azmina Ibrahim, Ahmad Makmon Abdullah, Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia
author_facet	Marzuki Ismail, Mohd. Zamri Ibrahim, Tg. Azmina Ibrahim, Ahmad Makmon Abdullah,
author_sort	Marzuki Ismail,
title	Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia
title_short	Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia
title_full	Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia
title_fullStr	Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed	Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia
title_sort	time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in kemaman,malaysia
publisher	Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
publishDate	2011
url	http://journalarticle.ukm.my/2472/ http://journalarticle.ukm.my/2472/ http://journalarticle.ukm.my/2472/1/01_Marzuki.pdf
first_indexed	2023-09-18T19:36:09Z
last_indexed	2023-09-18T19:36:09Z
_version_	1777405284015144960

Time series analysis of surface ozone monitoring records in Kemaman,Malaysia

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