The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda

The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We...

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Main Authors:	Umino, Bin, Kageura, Kyo, Toda, Shinichi
Format:	Conference or Workshop Item
Language:	English
Published:	2011
Subjects:	Library Science. Information Science
Online Access:	http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/ http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf

id	uitm-3615
recordtype	eprints
spelling	uitm-36152019-06-20T07:36:14Z http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/ The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi Library Science. Information Science The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We also focus on domestic economic trends as an external factor influencing book circulation. Three time-series variables were analysed: total annual net paid circulation via bookstores (from 1953 to 2009), total annual circulation via public libraries (from 1958 to 2008), and the real economic growth rate, calculated on the basis of real GDP, for each calendar year (from 1956 to 2009). The circulation of books via libraries has increased almost monotonically since the 1960s, while that via bookstores has decreased since reaching a peak in 1996. Simple correlation coefficients and partial correlation coefficients were calculated to demonstrate synchronous relationships between each pair of the three time-series variables. Tests of non-correlations for each correlation coefficient were also conducted. Finally, the Granger causality test was conducted to demonstrate anterior-posterior relationships among variables. From the results of the correlation analyses and the Granger causality test, we can conclude with reasonable certainty that book circulation has been affected by economic trends, whereas the correlation between the circulation of books via bookstores and the circulation of books via libraries is in fact spurious. To eliminate the population effect, per-capita circulation was also calculated. The per-capita circulation data also supported the above conclusion. 2011 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed text en http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf Umino, Bin and Kageura, Kyo and Toda, Shinichi (2011) The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda. In: Proceedings of the Asia-Pacific Conference On Library & Information Education & Practice 2011 (A-LIEP2011), 22-24 June 2011, Putrajaya, Malaysia.
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Local University
institution	Universiti Teknologi MARA
building	UiTM Institutional Repository
collection	Online Access
language	English
topic	Library Science. Information Science
spellingShingle	Library Science. Information Science Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
description	The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We also focus on domestic economic trends as an external factor influencing book circulation. Three time-series variables were analysed: total annual net paid circulation via bookstores (from 1953 to 2009), total annual circulation via public libraries (from 1958 to 2008), and the real economic growth rate, calculated on the basis of real GDP, for each calendar year (from 1956 to 2009). The circulation of books via libraries has increased almost monotonically since the 1960s, while that via bookstores has decreased since reaching a peak in 1996. Simple correlation coefficients and partial correlation coefficients were calculated to demonstrate synchronous relationships between each pair of the three time-series variables. Tests of non-correlations for each correlation coefficient were also conducted. Finally, the Granger causality test was conducted to demonstrate anterior-posterior relationships among variables. From the results of the correlation analyses and the Granger causality test, we can conclude with reasonable certainty that book circulation has been affected by economic trends, whereas the correlation between the circulation of books via bookstores and the circulation of books via libraries is in fact spurious. To eliminate the population effect, per-capita circulation was also calculated. The per-capita circulation data also supported the above conclusion.
format	Conference or Workshop Item
author	Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi
author_facet	Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi
author_sort	Umino, Bin
title	The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_short	The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_full	The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_fullStr	The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_full_unstemmed	The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_sort	correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in japan: a time series analysis / bin umino, kyo kageura and shinichi toda
publishDate	2011
url	http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/ http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf
first_indexed	2023-09-18T22:46:43Z
last_indexed	2023-09-18T22:46:43Z
_version_	1777417274094780416

The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda

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