Rural Vulnerability in Serbia

In the presence of risk and uncertainty, measures such as poverty rates are inadequate to analyze the well-being of poor households. The poor are not only concerned about the current low levels of their income or consumption, but also the likelihood of experiencing stressful declines in these levels...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ersado, Lire
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
SEX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/09/7063034/rural-vulnerability-serbia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/9266
id okr-10986-9266
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCESS TO MARKETS
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
ASSET HOLDINGS
AVERAGE WAGES
BETTER ACCESS TO MARKETS
BULLETIN
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CHRONIC POVERTY
CHRONICALLY POOR
CONFLICT
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICES
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CONSUMPTION POVERTY
CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING
COVARIATE SHOCKS
CREDIT MARKETS
CURRENT POVERTY
DECOMPOSABLE POVERTY
DECOMPOSABLE POVERTY MEASURES
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
DETERMINANTS OF POVERTY
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT REPORT
DIMENSION OF VULNERABILITY
DIRECT TRANSFERS
DISADVANTAGED GROUPS
DIVERSIFICATION
DROUGHT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC REVIEW PAPERS
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
ECONOMICS
EDUCATION
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
ELDERLY
EMPIRICAL APPLICATION
EMPIRICAL MODEL
EMPIRICAL WORK
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
FAMILY MEMBERS
FAMILY SIZE
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FOOD POLICY
FOOD PRICES
GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS
GROWTH RATE
HEADCOUNT POVERTY
HEALTH
HEALTH CENTERS
HIGH POVERTY
HOSPITAL
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD DATA
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD HEADS
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD VULNERABILITY
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HOUSING
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMPORTANT POLICY
INCOME
INCOME GENERATION
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME RISK
INCOME SHOCKS
INEQUALITY
INEQUALITY REDUCTION
INSURANCE
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
LABOR MARKET
LANDHOLDING SIZE
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
LEVEL OF POVERTY
LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION
LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET ECONOMY
MIGRANTS
NATIONAL POVERTY
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEGATIVE SIGN
NUMBER OF ADULTS
NUMBER OF CHILDREN
NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
PER CAPITA GROWTH
POINT OF DEPARTURE
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR
POOR HEALTH
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POOR PEOPLE
POPULATION CENSUS
POVERTY ASSESSMENT
POVERTY DYNAMICS
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY MEASURE
POVERTY MEASURES
POVERTY OUTCOMES
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
POVERTY REDUCTION PROGRAMS
POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY
POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY PAPER
POVERTY RISK
POVERTY STATUS
POVERTY THRESHOLD
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PROGRAMMATIC POVERTY ASSESSMENT
PROGRESS
PUBLIC POLICIES
PUBLIC POLICY
PURCHASING POWER
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REFUGEES
REGIONAL DISPARITIES
RELATIVE CONTRIBUTION
RELATIVE ROLE
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK SHARING
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL CREDIT
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
RURAL ECONOMIC GROWTH
RURAL GAP
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
RURAL INCOMES
RURAL LIFE
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL RESIDENTS
RURAL VULNERABILITY
RURAL WELFARE
SAFETY NETS
SECONDARY SCHOOL
SEX
SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SOCIAL PROGRAMS
SOCIAL SERVICES
SUBSISTENCE
URBAN AREAS
URBAN POVERTY
VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY
WAGE RATES
WATER MANAGEMENT
spellingShingle ACCESS TO MARKETS
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
ASSET HOLDINGS
AVERAGE WAGES
BETTER ACCESS TO MARKETS
BULLETIN
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CHRONIC POVERTY
CHRONICALLY POOR
CONFLICT
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICES
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CONSUMPTION POVERTY
CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING
COVARIATE SHOCKS
CREDIT MARKETS
CURRENT POVERTY
DECOMPOSABLE POVERTY
DECOMPOSABLE POVERTY MEASURES
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
DETERMINANTS OF POVERTY
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT REPORT
DIMENSION OF VULNERABILITY
DIRECT TRANSFERS
DISADVANTAGED GROUPS
DIVERSIFICATION
DROUGHT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC REVIEW PAPERS
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
ECONOMICS
EDUCATION
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
ELDERLY
EMPIRICAL APPLICATION
EMPIRICAL MODEL
EMPIRICAL WORK
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
FAMILY MEMBERS
FAMILY SIZE
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FOOD POLICY
FOOD PRICES
GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS
GROWTH RATE
HEADCOUNT POVERTY
HEALTH
HEALTH CENTERS
HIGH POVERTY
HOSPITAL
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD DATA
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD HEADS
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD VULNERABILITY
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HOUSING
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMPORTANT POLICY
INCOME
INCOME GENERATION
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME RISK
INCOME SHOCKS
INEQUALITY
INEQUALITY REDUCTION
INSURANCE
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
LABOR MARKET
LANDHOLDING SIZE
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
LEVEL OF POVERTY
LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION
LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET ECONOMY
MIGRANTS
NATIONAL POVERTY
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEGATIVE SIGN
NUMBER OF ADULTS
NUMBER OF CHILDREN
NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
PER CAPITA GROWTH
POINT OF DEPARTURE
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR
POOR HEALTH
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POOR PEOPLE
POPULATION CENSUS
POVERTY ASSESSMENT
POVERTY DYNAMICS
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY MEASURE
POVERTY MEASURES
POVERTY OUTCOMES
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
POVERTY REDUCTION PROGRAMS
POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY
POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY PAPER
POVERTY RISK
POVERTY STATUS
POVERTY THRESHOLD
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PROGRAMMATIC POVERTY ASSESSMENT
PROGRESS
PUBLIC POLICIES
PUBLIC POLICY
PURCHASING POWER
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REFUGEES
REGIONAL DISPARITIES
RELATIVE CONTRIBUTION
RELATIVE ROLE
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK SHARING
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL CREDIT
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
RURAL ECONOMIC GROWTH
RURAL GAP
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
RURAL INCOMES
RURAL LIFE
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL RESIDENTS
RURAL VULNERABILITY
RURAL WELFARE
SAFETY NETS
SECONDARY SCHOOL
SEX
SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SOCIAL PROGRAMS
SOCIAL SERVICES
SUBSISTENCE
URBAN AREAS
URBAN POVERTY
VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY
WAGE RATES
WATER MANAGEMENT
Ersado, Lire
Rural Vulnerability in Serbia
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Serbia
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4010
description In the presence of risk and uncertainty, measures such as poverty rates are inadequate to analyze the well-being of poor households. The poor are not only concerned about the current low levels of their income or consumption, but also the likelihood of experiencing stressful declines in these levels in the future. Risks to livelihood are particularly important in rural areas where there is generally high dependence on agriculture and the environment. In this study, the author analyzes the nature, extent, and causes of rural vulnerability in Serbia using panel national household data from the 2002 and 2003 Serbia Living Standard Surveys. He measures rural vulnerability as a function of nonstochastic determinants of poverty as well as exposure to risk. While low levels of consumption (poverty) explain about 70 percent of vulnerability, the author identifies risk and uncertainty as crucial dimensions of rural life in accounting for the remaining 30 percent of household vulnerability. Households and regions with a greater share of their livelihood depending on agricultural activities are more at risk of vulnerability than those with a significantly higher share of their income coming from nonagricultural sources. Dependence on agricultural income is directly associated with higher aggregate risk, underscoring the agricultural sector's lopsided exposure to covariate shocks in general, and the negative impact of the 2003 drought in particular. Rural vulnerability to poverty and risk is also strongly associated with asset ownership and access to markets to mobilize them in time of need.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Ersado, Lire
author_facet Ersado, Lire
author_sort Ersado, Lire
title Rural Vulnerability in Serbia
title_short Rural Vulnerability in Serbia
title_full Rural Vulnerability in Serbia
title_fullStr Rural Vulnerability in Serbia
title_full_unstemmed Rural Vulnerability in Serbia
title_sort rural vulnerability in serbia
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/09/7063034/rural-vulnerability-serbia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/9266
_version_ 1764406515516571648
spelling okr-10986-92662021-04-23T14:02:41Z Rural Vulnerability in Serbia Ersado, Lire ACCESS TO MARKETS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AGRICULTURAL SECTOR ASSET HOLDINGS AVERAGE WAGES BETTER ACCESS TO MARKETS BULLETIN CAPITAL INFLOWS CHRONIC POVERTY CHRONICALLY POOR CONFLICT CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES CONSUMPTION POVERTY CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING COVARIATE SHOCKS CREDIT MARKETS CURRENT POVERTY DECOMPOSABLE POVERTY DECOMPOSABLE POVERTY MEASURES DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DETERMINANTS OF POVERTY DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT REPORT DIMENSION OF VULNERABILITY DIRECT TRANSFERS DISADVANTAGED GROUPS DIVERSIFICATION DROUGHT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC REVIEW PAPERS ECONOMIC SHOCKS ECONOMICS EDUCATION EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ELDERLY EMPIRICAL APPLICATION EMPIRICAL MODEL EMPIRICAL WORK EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES EXCHANGE RATE EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FAMILY MEMBERS FAMILY SIZE FINANCIAL MARKETS FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICES GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS GROWTH RATE HEADCOUNT POVERTY HEALTH HEALTH CENTERS HIGH POVERTY HOSPITAL HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD DATA HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD HEADS HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD VULNERABILITY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPORTANT POLICY INCOME INCOME GENERATION INCOME INEQUALITY INCOME RISK INCOME SHOCKS INEQUALITY INEQUALITY REDUCTION INSURANCE INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE LABOR MARKET LANDHOLDING SIZE LEVEL OF EDUCATION LEVEL OF POVERTY LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET ECONOMY MIGRANTS NATIONAL POVERTY NEGATIVE IMPACT NEGATIVE SIGN NUMBER OF ADULTS NUMBER OF CHILDREN NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA GROWTH POINT OF DEPARTURE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL ECONOMY POOR POOR HEALTH POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PEOPLE POPULATION CENSUS POVERTY ASSESSMENT POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY LINE POVERTY MEASURE POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY OUTCOMES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION PROGRAMS POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY PAPER POVERTY RISK POVERTY STATUS POVERTY THRESHOLD PRIMARY EDUCATION PROGRAMMATIC POVERTY ASSESSMENT PROGRESS PUBLIC POLICIES PUBLIC POLICY PURCHASING POWER REAL EXCHANGE RATE REFUGEES REGIONAL DISPARITIES RELATIVE CONTRIBUTION RELATIVE ROLE RISK MANAGEMENT RISK SHARING RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL CREDIT RURAL DEVELOPMENT RURAL ECONOMIC GROWTH RURAL GAP RURAL HOUSEHOLD RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL INCOMES RURAL LIFE RURAL POPULATION RURAL POVERTY RURAL RESIDENTS RURAL VULNERABILITY RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NETS SECONDARY SCHOOL SEX SIGNIFICANT EFFECT SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE SOCIAL PROGRAMS SOCIAL SERVICES SUBSISTENCE URBAN AREAS URBAN POVERTY VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WAGE RATES WATER MANAGEMENT In the presence of risk and uncertainty, measures such as poverty rates are inadequate to analyze the well-being of poor households. The poor are not only concerned about the current low levels of their income or consumption, but also the likelihood of experiencing stressful declines in these levels in the future. Risks to livelihood are particularly important in rural areas where there is generally high dependence on agriculture and the environment. In this study, the author analyzes the nature, extent, and causes of rural vulnerability in Serbia using panel national household data from the 2002 and 2003 Serbia Living Standard Surveys. He measures rural vulnerability as a function of nonstochastic determinants of poverty as well as exposure to risk. While low levels of consumption (poverty) explain about 70 percent of vulnerability, the author identifies risk and uncertainty as crucial dimensions of rural life in accounting for the remaining 30 percent of household vulnerability. Households and regions with a greater share of their livelihood depending on agricultural activities are more at risk of vulnerability than those with a significantly higher share of their income coming from nonagricultural sources. Dependence on agricultural income is directly associated with higher aggregate risk, underscoring the agricultural sector's lopsided exposure to covariate shocks in general, and the negative impact of the 2003 drought in particular. Rural vulnerability to poverty and risk is also strongly associated with asset ownership and access to markets to mobilize them in time of need. 2012-06-26T17:56:57Z 2012-06-26T17:56:57Z 2006-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/09/7063034/rural-vulnerability-serbia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/9266 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4010 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Europe and Central Asia Serbia