Testing Genuine Saving

The World Bank has been publishing estimates of adjusted net or "genuine" saving since 1999. This measure of saving treats depletion of natural resources as a type of economic depreciation. Hamilton uses recent theoretical results relating growth in saving to growth in future consumption t...

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Main Author: Hamilton, Kirk
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/04/5777957/testing-genuine-saving
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8925
id okr-10986-8925
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-89252021-04-23T14:02:42Z Testing Genuine Saving Hamilton, Kirk ACCOUNTING ARBITRAGE BASE YEAR CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL GAINS CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE DAMAGES DEPOSITS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DISCOUNT RATE ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC WELFARE EMISSIONS EXCHANGE RATE EXTERNALITIES FISH FISHING FORESTRY GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH THEORY HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INTEREST RATE INVENTORY MARGINAL PRODUCT NATURAL RESOURCES OIL POLICY MAKERS POPULATION GROWTH PRESENT VALUE PRODUCERS PROFIT MAXIMIZATION PUBLIC EXPENDITURES SAVINGS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TERMS OF TRADE TIME SERIES WEALTH The World Bank has been publishing estimates of adjusted net or "genuine" saving since 1999. This measure of saving treats depletion of natural resources as a type of economic depreciation. Hamilton uses recent theoretical results relating growth in saving to growth in future consumption to provide a test of genuine saving using historical data. Did measured genuine saving in 1976, for example, "predict" the observed changes in consumption over subsequent decades? The author tests four alternative measures of saving econometrically. The worst measure, in terms of explained variation, is traditional net saving. Genuine saving adjusted to reflect population growth exhibits the worst fit with theory. Both gross saving and genuine saving perform better, with good concordance with theory, while genuine saving exhibits a moderate advantage in terms of goodness of fit. 2012-06-25T15:18:27Z 2012-06-25T15:18:27Z 2005-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/04/5777957/testing-genuine-saving http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8925 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3577 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCOUNTING
ARBITRAGE
BASE YEAR
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL GAINS
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
DAMAGES
DEPOSITS
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC WELFARE
EMISSIONS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXTERNALITIES
FISH
FISHING
FORESTRY
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH THEORY
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INTEREST RATE
INVENTORY
MARGINAL PRODUCT
NATURAL RESOURCES
OIL
POLICY MAKERS
POPULATION GROWTH
PRESENT VALUE
PRODUCERS
PROFIT MAXIMIZATION
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
SAVINGS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TERMS OF TRADE
TIME SERIES
WEALTH
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ARBITRAGE
BASE YEAR
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL GAINS
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
DAMAGES
DEPOSITS
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC WELFARE
EMISSIONS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXTERNALITIES
FISH
FISHING
FORESTRY
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH THEORY
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INTEREST RATE
INVENTORY
MARGINAL PRODUCT
NATURAL RESOURCES
OIL
POLICY MAKERS
POPULATION GROWTH
PRESENT VALUE
PRODUCERS
PROFIT MAXIMIZATION
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
SAVINGS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TERMS OF TRADE
TIME SERIES
WEALTH
Hamilton, Kirk
Testing Genuine Saving
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3577
description The World Bank has been publishing estimates of adjusted net or "genuine" saving since 1999. This measure of saving treats depletion of natural resources as a type of economic depreciation. Hamilton uses recent theoretical results relating growth in saving to growth in future consumption to provide a test of genuine saving using historical data. Did measured genuine saving in 1976, for example, "predict" the observed changes in consumption over subsequent decades? The author tests four alternative measures of saving econometrically. The worst measure, in terms of explained variation, is traditional net saving. Genuine saving adjusted to reflect population growth exhibits the worst fit with theory. Both gross saving and genuine saving perform better, with good concordance with theory, while genuine saving exhibits a moderate advantage in terms of goodness of fit.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Hamilton, Kirk
author_facet Hamilton, Kirk
author_sort Hamilton, Kirk
title Testing Genuine Saving
title_short Testing Genuine Saving
title_full Testing Genuine Saving
title_fullStr Testing Genuine Saving
title_full_unstemmed Testing Genuine Saving
title_sort testing genuine saving
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/04/5777957/testing-genuine-saving
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8925
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