Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors

The authors use a panel-data set for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecommunications services and project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecommunications for th...

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Main Authors:	Bogetić, Željko, Fedderke, Johannes W.
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	ABSOLUTE TERMS ACCOUNTING AGRICULTURE AIC ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE BENCHMARK BENCHMARKING BENCHMARKS COLLABORATION COMPARATOR GROUP COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMERS DEBT DEFICITS DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES DEVELOPMENT REPORT ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ELASTICITY ELECTRIFICATION EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATION RESULTS ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURES EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FIXED EFFECTS FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION FORECASTS GDP GDP GROWTH RATE GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH POLICY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES INCOME INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME GROUPS INCOME MEASURES INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INDUSTRIALIZATION INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT FLOWS INVESTMENT NEEDS INVESTMENT PLANS INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS LABOR FORCE LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED VALUES LATIN AMERICAN LOCAL GOVERNMENT LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LONG RUN LRMC MARGINAL COST MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MEDIA MEDIUM TERM MONETARY ECONOMICS OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE PER CAPITA GROWTH POLICY DEBATE POLICY DISCUSSION POLICY RESEARCH POOR GROWTH POOR PEOPLE POVERTY REDUCTION PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PROFIT MAXIMIZATION PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC POLICY REAL GDP REGULATORY REFORM RURAL AREAS STATEMENT STRUCTURAL BREAK STRUCTURAL CHANGE SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TELECOM INFRASTRUCTURE TELECOM SECTOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES TELEPHONE LINES TELEPHONE SERVICES TELEPHONE USE TELEPHONES TRANSPORT TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO URBAN AREAS URBANIZATION VALUE ADDED
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/02/6553739/forecasting-investment-needs-south-africas-electricity-telecommunications-sectors http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8767

id	okr-10986-8767
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-87672021-04-23T14:02:40Z Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors Bogetić, Željko Fedderke, Johannes W. ABSOLUTE TERMS ACCOUNTING AGRICULTURE AIC ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE BENCHMARK BENCHMARKING BENCHMARKS COLLABORATION COMPARATOR GROUP COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMERS DEBT DEFICITS DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES DEVELOPMENT REPORT ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ELASTICITY ELECTRIFICATION EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATION RESULTS ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURES EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FIXED EFFECTS FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION FORECASTS GDP GDP GROWTH RATE GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH POLICY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES INCOME INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME GROUPS INCOME MEASURES INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INDUSTRIALIZATION INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT FLOWS INVESTMENT NEEDS INVESTMENT PLANS INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS LABOR FORCE LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED VALUES LATIN AMERICAN LOCAL GOVERNMENT LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LONG RUN LRMC MARGINAL COST MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MEDIA MEDIUM TERM MONETARY ECONOMICS OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE PER CAPITA GROWTH POLICY DEBATE POLICY DISCUSSION POLICY RESEARCH POOR GROWTH POOR PEOPLE POVERTY REDUCTION PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PROFIT MAXIMIZATION PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC POLICY REAL GDP REGULATORY REFORM RURAL AREAS STATEMENT STRUCTURAL BREAK STRUCTURAL CHANGE SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TELECOM INFRASTRUCTURE TELECOM SECTOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES TELEPHONE LINES TELEPHONE SERVICES TELEPHONE USE TELEPHONES TRANSPORT TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO URBAN AREAS URBANIZATION VALUE ADDED The authors use a panel-data set for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecommunications services and project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecommunications for the current growth scenario (3.6 percent a year) are of the order of 0.2 percent and 0.75 percent of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6 percent a year) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors. 2012-06-22T14:43:43Z 2012-06-22T14:43:43Z 2006-02 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/02/6553739/forecasting-investment-needs-south-africas-electricity-telecommunications-sectors http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8767 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3829 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa South Africa
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	ABSOLUTE TERMS ACCOUNTING AGRICULTURE AIC ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE BENCHMARK BENCHMARKING BENCHMARKS COLLABORATION COMPARATOR GROUP COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMERS DEBT DEFICITS DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES DEVELOPMENT REPORT ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ELASTICITY ELECTRIFICATION EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATION RESULTS ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURES EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FIXED EFFECTS FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION FORECASTS GDP GDP GROWTH RATE GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH POLICY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES INCOME INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME GROUPS INCOME MEASURES INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INDUSTRIALIZATION INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT FLOWS INVESTMENT NEEDS INVESTMENT PLANS INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS LABOR FORCE LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED VALUES LATIN AMERICAN LOCAL GOVERNMENT LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LONG RUN LRMC MARGINAL COST MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MEDIA MEDIUM TERM MONETARY ECONOMICS OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE PER CAPITA GROWTH POLICY DEBATE POLICY DISCUSSION POLICY RESEARCH POOR GROWTH POOR PEOPLE POVERTY REDUCTION PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PROFIT MAXIMIZATION PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC POLICY REAL GDP REGULATORY REFORM RURAL AREAS STATEMENT STRUCTURAL BREAK STRUCTURAL CHANGE SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TELECOM INFRASTRUCTURE TELECOM SECTOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES TELEPHONE LINES TELEPHONE SERVICES TELEPHONE USE TELEPHONES TRANSPORT TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO URBAN AREAS URBANIZATION VALUE ADDED
spellingShingle	ABSOLUTE TERMS ACCOUNTING AGRICULTURE AIC ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE BENCHMARK BENCHMARKING BENCHMARKS COLLABORATION COMPARATOR GROUP COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMERS DEBT DEFICITS DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES DEVELOPMENT REPORT ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ELASTICITY ELECTRIFICATION EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATION RESULTS ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURES EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FIXED EFFECTS FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION FORECASTS GDP GDP GROWTH RATE GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH POLICY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES INCOME INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME GROUPS INCOME MEASURES INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INDUSTRIALIZATION INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT FLOWS INVESTMENT NEEDS INVESTMENT PLANS INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS LABOR FORCE LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED VALUES LATIN AMERICAN LOCAL GOVERNMENT LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LONG RUN LRMC MARGINAL COST MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MEDIA MEDIUM TERM MONETARY ECONOMICS OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE PER CAPITA GROWTH POLICY DEBATE POLICY DISCUSSION POLICY RESEARCH POOR GROWTH POOR PEOPLE POVERTY REDUCTION PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PROFIT MAXIMIZATION PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC POLICY REAL GDP REGULATORY REFORM RURAL AREAS STATEMENT STRUCTURAL BREAK STRUCTURAL CHANGE SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TELECOM INFRASTRUCTURE TELECOM SECTOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES TELEPHONE LINES TELEPHONE SERVICES TELEPHONE USE TELEPHONES TRANSPORT TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO URBAN AREAS URBANIZATION VALUE ADDED Bogetić, Željko Fedderke, Johannes W. Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors
geographic_facet	Africa South Africa
relation	Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3829
description	The authors use a panel-data set for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecommunications services and project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecommunications for the current growth scenario (3.6 percent a year) are of the order of 0.2 percent and 0.75 percent of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6 percent a year) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Bogetić, Željko Fedderke, Johannes W.
author_facet	Bogetić, Željko Fedderke, Johannes W.
author_sort	Bogetić, Željko
title	Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors
title_short	Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors
title_full	Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors
title_fullStr	Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors
title_full_unstemmed	Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors
title_sort	forecasting investment needs in south africa's electricity and telecommunications sectors
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2012
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/02/6553739/forecasting-investment-needs-south-africas-electricity-telecommunications-sectors http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8767
_version_	1764405752254955520

Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors

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