Evaluating Recipes for Development Success

This paper provides a review of the contradictions and conflicts in the literature on economic governance and sketches an approach to use some of the conceptual and empirical findings from that literature for development policy. The literature offers conflicting conclusions on big questions: whether...

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Main Author: Dixit, Avinash
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
GDP
WAR
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/03/6612725/evaluating-recipes-development-success
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8758
id okr-10986-8758
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-87582021-04-23T14:02:40Z Evaluating Recipes for Development Success Dixit, Avinash AGRICULTURE AUTHORITARIAN RULE AUTHORITARIANISM AUTHORITY CAPITAL MARKETS CITIZENS COLONIALISM COMMUNIST COMMUNIST PARTY CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT CORRUPTION COURTS CRISES CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DECISION-MAKING DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DEMOCRACY DEMOCRATIC PARTICIPATION DEMOCRATIC REGIMES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DIMENSIONS OF GOVERNANCE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTCOMES ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC REFORMS ELECTORAL RULES EXCHANGE OF IDEAS FINANCIAL MARKETS FIXED COSTS FOREIGN AID FORMAL CONTRACTS FORMAL INSTITUTIONS FORMAL SYSTEM FREE MARKET PRICES GDP GDP PER CAPITA GOOD INSTITUTIONS GOOD POLICIES GOVERNANCE INSTITUTIONS GOVERNMENT INSTITUTIONS GOVERNMENT REVENUE GROWTH MODELS INCOME INDUSTRIALIZATION INEQUALITY INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE INSTITUTIONAL CHANGES INSTITUTIONAL REFORM INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVESTIGATION JUDICIAL INSTITUTIONS JUDICIARY LABOR MARKETS LEGISLATION LEGITIMACY LITIGATION LOCAL AUTHORITIES LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LOCAL KNOWLEDGE MACROECONOMIC POLICY MARGINAL COST MARGINAL COSTS MASS MEDIA MEASUREMENT ERRORS MIDDLE EAST NATURAL RESOURCES ORGANIZED CRIME OUTPUT PER CAPITA PARTICIPATORY DEMOCRACY POLICY ACTIONS POLICY CHANGES POLICY IMPLICATIONS POLICY REFORMS POLICY RESEARCH POLITICAL COMPETITION POLITICAL FREEDOMS POLITICAL POWER PRICE SUBSIDIES PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE QUALITY INSTITUTIONS QUALITY OF GOVERNANCE REGULATORY AGENCIES REVERSE CAUSATION RULE OF LAW SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE SOCIAL NETWORKS STATE AUTHORITIES SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TAXATION TRANSITION ECONOMIES TRANSPARENCY VIOLENCE WAR This paper provides a review of the contradictions and conflicts in the literature on economic governance and sketches an approach to use some of the conceptual and empirical findings from that literature for development policy. The literature offers conflicting conclusions on big questions: whether history and geography preordain a country's economic fate, whether democracy or authoritarianism promotes growth; whether informal or formal mechanisms are best; whether "big bang" or gradual transitions promote growth; and whether disasters and demographics are stumbling blocks or stepping stones. The author finds recipes for success that are infeasible, contradictory and shifting, and that ignore the role of luck in development policy. While the researcher may ask, "What creates success on average across countries?" the policymaker needs to know, "What is going wrong in this country and how can we put it right?" The author suggests a preliminary approach to combine the practitioner's detailed knowledge of country conditions with the broader patterns uncovered by scholars, building on "growth diagnostics" that identify binding constraints to development. But he shifts from the sequential "decision tree" framework to a more directly "diagnostic" approach that recognizes that policymakers must deal with many factors simultaneously. The framework he suggests combines empirical information on potential causes, estimates of their probabilities, and observed effects. He proposes this framework as the foundation, not for another recipe, but for a broader mode of thought to tackle the complexity and variance in development processes and patterns across countries and time-one country at a time. 2012-06-22T14:18:22Z 2012-06-22T14:18:22Z 2006-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/03/6612725/evaluating-recipes-development-success http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8758 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3859 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGRICULTURE
AUTHORITARIAN RULE
AUTHORITARIANISM
AUTHORITY
CAPITAL MARKETS
CITIZENS
COLONIALISM
COMMUNIST
COMMUNIST PARTY
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CORRUPTION
COURTS
CRISES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DECISION-MAKING
DECISION-MAKING PROCESS
DEMOCRACY
DEMOCRATIC PARTICIPATION
DEMOCRATIC REGIMES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIMENSIONS OF GOVERNANCE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTCOMES
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC REFORMS
ELECTORAL RULES
EXCHANGE OF IDEAS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FIXED COSTS
FOREIGN AID
FORMAL CONTRACTS
FORMAL INSTITUTIONS
FORMAL SYSTEM
FREE MARKET PRICES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOOD INSTITUTIONS
GOOD POLICIES
GOVERNANCE INSTITUTIONS
GOVERNMENT INSTITUTIONS
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GROWTH MODELS
INCOME
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INEQUALITY
INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE
INSTITUTIONAL CHANGES
INSTITUTIONAL REFORM
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTIGATION
JUDICIAL INSTITUTIONS
JUDICIARY
LABOR MARKETS
LEGISLATION
LEGITIMACY
LITIGATION
LOCAL AUTHORITIES
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
LOCAL KNOWLEDGE
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MARGINAL COST
MARGINAL COSTS
MASS MEDIA
MEASUREMENT ERRORS
MIDDLE EAST
NATURAL RESOURCES
ORGANIZED CRIME
OUTPUT PER CAPITA
PARTICIPATORY DEMOCRACY
POLICY ACTIONS
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY REFORMS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL COMPETITION
POLITICAL FREEDOMS
POLITICAL POWER
PRICE SUBSIDIES
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
QUALITY INSTITUTIONS
QUALITY OF GOVERNANCE
REGULATORY AGENCIES
REVERSE CAUSATION
RULE OF LAW
SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SOCIAL NETWORKS
STATE AUTHORITIES
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
TAXATION
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
TRANSPARENCY
VIOLENCE
WAR
spellingShingle AGRICULTURE
AUTHORITARIAN RULE
AUTHORITARIANISM
AUTHORITY
CAPITAL MARKETS
CITIZENS
COLONIALISM
COMMUNIST
COMMUNIST PARTY
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CORRUPTION
COURTS
CRISES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DECISION-MAKING
DECISION-MAKING PROCESS
DEMOCRACY
DEMOCRATIC PARTICIPATION
DEMOCRATIC REGIMES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIMENSIONS OF GOVERNANCE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTCOMES
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC REFORMS
ELECTORAL RULES
EXCHANGE OF IDEAS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FIXED COSTS
FOREIGN AID
FORMAL CONTRACTS
FORMAL INSTITUTIONS
FORMAL SYSTEM
FREE MARKET PRICES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOOD INSTITUTIONS
GOOD POLICIES
GOVERNANCE INSTITUTIONS
GOVERNMENT INSTITUTIONS
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GROWTH MODELS
INCOME
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INEQUALITY
INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE
INSTITUTIONAL CHANGES
INSTITUTIONAL REFORM
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTIGATION
JUDICIAL INSTITUTIONS
JUDICIARY
LABOR MARKETS
LEGISLATION
LEGITIMACY
LITIGATION
LOCAL AUTHORITIES
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
LOCAL KNOWLEDGE
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MARGINAL COST
MARGINAL COSTS
MASS MEDIA
MEASUREMENT ERRORS
MIDDLE EAST
NATURAL RESOURCES
ORGANIZED CRIME
OUTPUT PER CAPITA
PARTICIPATORY DEMOCRACY
POLICY ACTIONS
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY REFORMS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL COMPETITION
POLITICAL FREEDOMS
POLITICAL POWER
PRICE SUBSIDIES
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
QUALITY INSTITUTIONS
QUALITY OF GOVERNANCE
REGULATORY AGENCIES
REVERSE CAUSATION
RULE OF LAW
SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SOCIAL NETWORKS
STATE AUTHORITIES
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
TAXATION
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
TRANSPARENCY
VIOLENCE
WAR
Dixit, Avinash
Evaluating Recipes for Development Success
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3859
description This paper provides a review of the contradictions and conflicts in the literature on economic governance and sketches an approach to use some of the conceptual and empirical findings from that literature for development policy. The literature offers conflicting conclusions on big questions: whether history and geography preordain a country's economic fate, whether democracy or authoritarianism promotes growth; whether informal or formal mechanisms are best; whether "big bang" or gradual transitions promote growth; and whether disasters and demographics are stumbling blocks or stepping stones. The author finds recipes for success that are infeasible, contradictory and shifting, and that ignore the role of luck in development policy. While the researcher may ask, "What creates success on average across countries?" the policymaker needs to know, "What is going wrong in this country and how can we put it right?" The author suggests a preliminary approach to combine the practitioner's detailed knowledge of country conditions with the broader patterns uncovered by scholars, building on "growth diagnostics" that identify binding constraints to development. But he shifts from the sequential "decision tree" framework to a more directly "diagnostic" approach that recognizes that policymakers must deal with many factors simultaneously. The framework he suggests combines empirical information on potential causes, estimates of their probabilities, and observed effects. He proposes this framework as the foundation, not for another recipe, but for a broader mode of thought to tackle the complexity and variance in development processes and patterns across countries and time-one country at a time.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Dixit, Avinash
author_facet Dixit, Avinash
author_sort Dixit, Avinash
title Evaluating Recipes for Development Success
title_short Evaluating Recipes for Development Success
title_full Evaluating Recipes for Development Success
title_fullStr Evaluating Recipes for Development Success
title_full_unstemmed Evaluating Recipes for Development Success
title_sort evaluating recipes for development success
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/03/6612725/evaluating-recipes-development-success
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8758
_version_ 1764405961079914496