Gross Worker Flows in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets : The Mexican Experience 1987-2002

This paper applies recent advances in the study of labor market dynamics to a representative developing country with a large informal or unregulated sector, Mexico. It studies quarterly gross flows of workers over a 15-year period that includes two recoveries and recessions, including the celebrated...

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Main Authors: Bosch, Mariano, Maloney, William
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/04/6727754/gross-worker-flows-presence-informal-labor-markets-mexican-experience-1987-2002
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8729
id okr-10986-8729
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-87292021-04-23T14:02:40Z Gross Worker Flows in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets : The Mexican Experience 1987-2002 Bosch, Mariano Maloney, William BUSINESS CYCLE DISGUISED UNEMPLOYMENT EMPLOYERS EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS EMPLOYMENT PROGRAM EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP EMPLOYMENT SHARE EMPLOYMENT STATUS ESTIMATED PARAMETERS FINDING FINDING JOBS FIRING FIRINGS FIRM DYNAMICS FIRM GROWTH FIRM SIZE HEALTH INSURANCE INFORMAL LABOR MARKETS INFORMAL SECTOR JOB JOB CREATION JOB DESTRUCTION JOB DESTRUCTION RATES JOB LOSS JOB SEARCH JOB SEPARATION JOB TURNOVER JOBS LABOR FORCE LABOR LAWS LABOR LEGISLATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT LABOR MARKET DYNAMICS LABOR ORGANIZATION LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LITERATURE MARKET MINIMUM WAGE MINIMUM WAGES MORTALITY PAPERS PROFESSIONALS REAL WAGE SALARIED EMPLOYEES SALARIED EMPLOYMENT SALARIED WORKERS SELF EMPLOYED SELF EMPLOYMENT SERVANTS SLOWDOWNS SOCIAL SECURITY TOTAL EMPLOYMENT UNDEREMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT FIGURE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES UNIONIZATION UNIONS UNPAID FAMILY WORKERS URBAN EMPLOYMENT URBAN EMPLOYMENT SURVEY WAGE BARGAINING WAGES WORK IN PROGRESS WORKER WORKERS WORKING WORKPLACE This paper applies recent advances in the study of labor market dynamics to a representative developing country with a large informal or unregulated sector, Mexico. It studies quarterly gross flows of workers over a 15-year period that includes two recoveries and recessions, including the celebrated 1995 Tequila crisis. It finds, first, that the formal or modern salaried sector shows the same procyclical job finding rate and mildly countercyclical separation behavior identified in the recent U.S. literature, and relative wage rigidity, both consistent with Shimer (2005a) and Hall (2005). The unregulated informal sector, however, shows reasonable acyclicality in the job finding rate coupled with sharp countercyclical movements in the job separation rate, consistent with standard small firm dynamics and Davis and Haltiwanger (1992 and 1999). This interaction of regulatory coverage and firm sizes, and patterns of gross worker flows thus sheds suggestive light on the roots of countercyclical job finding behavior in the U.S. literature. Second, the patterns of worker transitions between formality and informality correspond to the job-to-job dynamics observed in the United States and not to the traditional idea of informality constituting the inferior sector of a segmented market. That said, the countercyclical job finding in the formal sector combined with the acyclical job finding in informality does lead to the latter absorbing relatively more labor during downturns. Third, aggregate employment dynamics vary across the Tequila crisis and the later 2001 slowdown, suggesting that not only the composition of employment, but the nature of the shocks is important to understanding how the labor market adjusts. 2012-06-21T21:15:48Z 2012-06-21T21:15:48Z 2006-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/04/6727754/gross-worker-flows-presence-informal-labor-markets-mexican-experience-1987-2002 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8729 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3883 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Mexico
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic BUSINESS CYCLE
DISGUISED UNEMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYERS
EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS
EMPLOYMENT PROGRAM
EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP
EMPLOYMENT SHARE
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
ESTIMATED PARAMETERS
FINDING
FINDING JOBS
FIRING
FIRINGS
FIRM DYNAMICS
FIRM GROWTH
FIRM SIZE
HEALTH INSURANCE
INFORMAL LABOR MARKETS
INFORMAL SECTOR
JOB
JOB CREATION
JOB DESTRUCTION
JOB DESTRUCTION RATES
JOB LOSS
JOB SEARCH
JOB SEPARATION
JOB TURNOVER
JOBS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR LAWS
LABOR LEGISLATION
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT
LABOR MARKET DYNAMICS
LABOR ORGANIZATION
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LITERATURE
MARKET
MINIMUM WAGE
MINIMUM WAGES
MORTALITY
PAPERS
PROFESSIONALS
REAL WAGE
SALARIED EMPLOYEES
SALARIED EMPLOYMENT
SALARIED WORKERS
SELF EMPLOYED
SELF EMPLOYMENT
SERVANTS
SLOWDOWNS
SOCIAL SECURITY
TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
UNDEREMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYED
UNEMPLOYED WORKERS
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT FIGURE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
UNIONIZATION
UNIONS
UNPAID FAMILY WORKERS
URBAN EMPLOYMENT
URBAN EMPLOYMENT SURVEY
WAGE BARGAINING
WAGES
WORK IN PROGRESS
WORKER
WORKERS
WORKING
WORKPLACE
spellingShingle BUSINESS CYCLE
DISGUISED UNEMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYERS
EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS
EMPLOYMENT PROGRAM
EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP
EMPLOYMENT SHARE
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
ESTIMATED PARAMETERS
FINDING
FINDING JOBS
FIRING
FIRINGS
FIRM DYNAMICS
FIRM GROWTH
FIRM SIZE
HEALTH INSURANCE
INFORMAL LABOR MARKETS
INFORMAL SECTOR
JOB
JOB CREATION
JOB DESTRUCTION
JOB DESTRUCTION RATES
JOB LOSS
JOB SEARCH
JOB SEPARATION
JOB TURNOVER
JOBS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR LAWS
LABOR LEGISLATION
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT
LABOR MARKET DYNAMICS
LABOR ORGANIZATION
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LITERATURE
MARKET
MINIMUM WAGE
MINIMUM WAGES
MORTALITY
PAPERS
PROFESSIONALS
REAL WAGE
SALARIED EMPLOYEES
SALARIED EMPLOYMENT
SALARIED WORKERS
SELF EMPLOYED
SELF EMPLOYMENT
SERVANTS
SLOWDOWNS
SOCIAL SECURITY
TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
UNDEREMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYED
UNEMPLOYED WORKERS
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT FIGURE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
UNIONIZATION
UNIONS
UNPAID FAMILY WORKERS
URBAN EMPLOYMENT
URBAN EMPLOYMENT SURVEY
WAGE BARGAINING
WAGES
WORK IN PROGRESS
WORKER
WORKERS
WORKING
WORKPLACE
Bosch, Mariano
Maloney, William
Gross Worker Flows in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets : The Mexican Experience 1987-2002
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Mexico
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3883
description This paper applies recent advances in the study of labor market dynamics to a representative developing country with a large informal or unregulated sector, Mexico. It studies quarterly gross flows of workers over a 15-year period that includes two recoveries and recessions, including the celebrated 1995 Tequila crisis. It finds, first, that the formal or modern salaried sector shows the same procyclical job finding rate and mildly countercyclical separation behavior identified in the recent U.S. literature, and relative wage rigidity, both consistent with Shimer (2005a) and Hall (2005). The unregulated informal sector, however, shows reasonable acyclicality in the job finding rate coupled with sharp countercyclical movements in the job separation rate, consistent with standard small firm dynamics and Davis and Haltiwanger (1992 and 1999). This interaction of regulatory coverage and firm sizes, and patterns of gross worker flows thus sheds suggestive light on the roots of countercyclical job finding behavior in the U.S. literature. Second, the patterns of worker transitions between formality and informality correspond to the job-to-job dynamics observed in the United States and not to the traditional idea of informality constituting the inferior sector of a segmented market. That said, the countercyclical job finding in the formal sector combined with the acyclical job finding in informality does lead to the latter absorbing relatively more labor during downturns. Third, aggregate employment dynamics vary across the Tequila crisis and the later 2001 slowdown, suggesting that not only the composition of employment, but the nature of the shocks is important to understanding how the labor market adjusts.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Bosch, Mariano
Maloney, William
author_facet Bosch, Mariano
Maloney, William
author_sort Bosch, Mariano
title Gross Worker Flows in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets : The Mexican Experience 1987-2002
title_short Gross Worker Flows in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets : The Mexican Experience 1987-2002
title_full Gross Worker Flows in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets : The Mexican Experience 1987-2002
title_fullStr Gross Worker Flows in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets : The Mexican Experience 1987-2002
title_full_unstemmed Gross Worker Flows in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets : The Mexican Experience 1987-2002
title_sort gross worker flows in the presence of informal labor markets : the mexican experience 1987-2002
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/04/6727754/gross-worker-flows-presence-informal-labor-markets-mexican-experience-1987-2002
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8729
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