Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis : What Can We Learn from Tamil Nadu?

In the late 1990s the Indian state of Tamil Nadu experienced an unprecedented fiscal deterioration, which was part of the widespread fiscal deterioration in Indian states. This deterioration was troubling because current expenditure outgrew total revenue, leaving little fiscal space for infrastructu...

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Main Authors: Ianchovichina, Elena, Liu, Lili, Nagarajan, Mohan
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/06/6871766/subnational-fiscal-sustainability-analysis-can-learn-tamil-nadu
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8425
id okr-10986-8425
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCOUNTING
AGRICULTURE
BANK LENDING
BORROWING
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGETARY SUPPORT
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL OUTLAYS
CAPITAL SPENDING
CENTRAL GOVERNMENTS
CENTRAL TAXES
CENTRAL TRANSFERS
COMMERCIAL BANKS
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMERS
COUPONS
CREDIT RISK
CREDITWORTHINESS
DEBT
DEBT BURDEN
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
DECENTRALIZATION
DEFICITS
DEVOLUTION
DOMESTIC BORROWING
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ELECTRICITY
EMPLOYMENT
EVASION
EXPENDITURE COMPOSITION
FACTORING
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
FISCAL ACCOUNTS
FISCAL ADJUSTMENT
FISCAL ADJUSTMENTS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL BALANCES
FISCAL BEHAVIOR
FISCAL CRISES
FISCAL CRISIS
FISCAL DECENTRALIZATION
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL FRAMEWORK
FISCAL PERFORMANCE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL REFORM
FISCAL REFORMS
FISCAL RISKS
FISCAL STRESS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
FISCAL TRANSFERS
FISCAL TRANSPARENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
GDP
GOVERNMENT BONDS
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT FINANCE
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES
GROWTH POTENTIAL
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOUSING
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INTEREST EXPENDITURE
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERGOVERNMENTAL REVENUE
LAWS
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LEGISLATION
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET DISCIPLINE
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONOPOLY
MOTOR VEHICLE TAXES
NATIONAL POLICIES
NET LOSS
NET LOSSES
NOMINAL INTEREST RATE
NOMINAL INTEREST RATES
PENSION LIABILITIES
PENSIONS
PRESENT VALUE
PRIMARY BALANCE
PRIVATIZATION
PUBLIC
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC ENTERPRISES
PUBLIC SECTOR
REAL INTEREST RATE
RECURRENT EXPENDITURES
RESERVE BANK OF INDIA
RETIREMENT
REVENUE
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE PERFORMANCE
REVENUE SHARING
REVENUE SOURCES
RISK FACTORS
SAVINGS
SUBNATIONAL FINANCE
SUBNATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
TAX
TAX REFORM
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAXATION
TOTAL REVENUE
TRANSFERS
TRANSPORT
UTILITIES
WAGES
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
AGRICULTURE
BANK LENDING
BORROWING
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGETARY SUPPORT
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL OUTLAYS
CAPITAL SPENDING
CENTRAL GOVERNMENTS
CENTRAL TAXES
CENTRAL TRANSFERS
COMMERCIAL BANKS
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMERS
COUPONS
CREDIT RISK
CREDITWORTHINESS
DEBT
DEBT BURDEN
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
DECENTRALIZATION
DEFICITS
DEVOLUTION
DOMESTIC BORROWING
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ELECTRICITY
EMPLOYMENT
EVASION
EXPENDITURE COMPOSITION
FACTORING
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
FISCAL ACCOUNTS
FISCAL ADJUSTMENT
FISCAL ADJUSTMENTS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL BALANCES
FISCAL BEHAVIOR
FISCAL CRISES
FISCAL CRISIS
FISCAL DECENTRALIZATION
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL FRAMEWORK
FISCAL PERFORMANCE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL REFORM
FISCAL REFORMS
FISCAL RISKS
FISCAL STRESS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
FISCAL TRANSFERS
FISCAL TRANSPARENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
GDP
GOVERNMENT BONDS
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT FINANCE
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES
GROWTH POTENTIAL
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOUSING
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INTEREST EXPENDITURE
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERGOVERNMENTAL REVENUE
LAWS
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LEGISLATION
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET DISCIPLINE
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONOPOLY
MOTOR VEHICLE TAXES
NATIONAL POLICIES
NET LOSS
NET LOSSES
NOMINAL INTEREST RATE
NOMINAL INTEREST RATES
PENSION LIABILITIES
PENSIONS
PRESENT VALUE
PRIMARY BALANCE
PRIVATIZATION
PUBLIC
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC ENTERPRISES
PUBLIC SECTOR
REAL INTEREST RATE
RECURRENT EXPENDITURES
RESERVE BANK OF INDIA
RETIREMENT
REVENUE
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE PERFORMANCE
REVENUE SHARING
REVENUE SOURCES
RISK FACTORS
SAVINGS
SUBNATIONAL FINANCE
SUBNATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
TAX
TAX REFORM
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAXATION
TOTAL REVENUE
TRANSFERS
TRANSPORT
UTILITIES
WAGES
Ianchovichina, Elena
Liu, Lili
Nagarajan, Mohan
Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis : What Can We Learn from Tamil Nadu?
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3947
description In the late 1990s the Indian state of Tamil Nadu experienced an unprecedented fiscal deterioration, which was part of the widespread fiscal deterioration in Indian states. This deterioration was troubling because current expenditure outgrew total revenue, leaving little fiscal space for infrastructure spending. The paper presents a framework for subnational fiscal sustainability analysis and applies it to Tamil Nadu where subsequent fiscal adjustment has been ambitious and politically challenging, but has promised to put state finance on a sustainable path and create fiscal space for infrastructure investment. The paper emphasizes the differences between fiscal sustainability analysis at the national and subnational levels, attempts to take into account uncertainty, and discusses the key components of the state's fiscal accounts and how they respond to reforms and shocks. Risks to Tamil Nadu's fiscal outlook include interest rate shocks, pressures on the primary balance, and contingent liabilities. Though the state's efforts to remove constraints to economic growth, minimize recurrent expenditures and maximize its revenue potential will be critical for fiscal sustainability, national policies feature prominently in subnational fiscal adjustment. Tamil Nadu's quest for fiscal sustainability is relevant for other countries. Decentralization has given subnational governments in developing countries significant spending and taxation responsibilities, and the capacity to incur debt. The fiscal stress of the Indian states echoed the fiscal crises of subnational governments in several other major emerging economies.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Ianchovichina, Elena
Liu, Lili
Nagarajan, Mohan
author_facet Ianchovichina, Elena
Liu, Lili
Nagarajan, Mohan
author_sort Ianchovichina, Elena
title Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis : What Can We Learn from Tamil Nadu?
title_short Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis : What Can We Learn from Tamil Nadu?
title_full Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis : What Can We Learn from Tamil Nadu?
title_fullStr Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis : What Can We Learn from Tamil Nadu?
title_full_unstemmed Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis : What Can We Learn from Tamil Nadu?
title_sort subnational fiscal sustainability analysis : what can we learn from tamil nadu?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/06/6871766/subnational-fiscal-sustainability-analysis-can-learn-tamil-nadu
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8425
_version_ 1764406242194751488
spelling okr-10986-84252021-04-23T14:02:41Z Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis : What Can We Learn from Tamil Nadu? Ianchovichina, Elena Liu, Lili Nagarajan, Mohan ACCOUNTING AGRICULTURE BANK LENDING BORROWING BUDGET CONSTRAINT BUDGETARY SUPPORT CAPITAL EXPENDITURE CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL OUTLAYS CAPITAL SPENDING CENTRAL GOVERNMENTS CENTRAL TAXES CENTRAL TRANSFERS COMMERCIAL BANKS CONSOLIDATION CONSUMERS COUPONS CREDIT RISK CREDITWORTHINESS DEBT DEBT BURDEN DEBT SERVICE DEBT SUSTAINABILITY DECENTRALIZATION DEFICITS DEVOLUTION DOMESTIC BORROWING ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ELECTRICITY EMPLOYMENT EVASION EXPENDITURE COMPOSITION FACTORING FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS FISCAL ACCOUNTS FISCAL ADJUSTMENT FISCAL ADJUSTMENTS FISCAL BALANCE FISCAL BALANCES FISCAL BEHAVIOR FISCAL CRISES FISCAL CRISIS FISCAL DECENTRALIZATION FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL FRAMEWORK FISCAL PERFORMANCE FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FISCAL REFORM FISCAL REFORMS FISCAL RISKS FISCAL STRESS FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY FISCAL TRANSFERS FISCAL TRANSPARENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE GDP GOVERNMENT BONDS GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT FINANCE GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES GOVERNMENT REVENUE GOVERNMENT SECURITIES GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES GROWTH POTENTIAL GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HOUSING INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFLATION RATES INTEREST EXPENDITURE INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERGOVERNMENTAL REVENUE LAWS LEGAL FRAMEWORK LEGISLATION LOCAL GOVERNMENT LOCAL GOVERNMENTS MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET DISCIPLINE MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES MONETARY POLICY MONOPOLY MOTOR VEHICLE TAXES NATIONAL POLICIES NET LOSS NET LOSSES NOMINAL INTEREST RATE NOMINAL INTEREST RATES PENSION LIABILITIES PENSIONS PRESENT VALUE PRIMARY BALANCE PRIVATIZATION PUBLIC PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC ENTERPRISES PUBLIC SECTOR REAL INTEREST RATE RECURRENT EXPENDITURES RESERVE BANK OF INDIA RETIREMENT REVENUE REVENUE GROWTH REVENUE PERFORMANCE REVENUE SHARING REVENUE SOURCES RISK FACTORS SAVINGS SUBNATIONAL FINANCE SUBNATIONAL GOVERNMENTS TAX TAX REFORM TAX REVENUE TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOTAL REVENUE TRANSFERS TRANSPORT UTILITIES WAGES In the late 1990s the Indian state of Tamil Nadu experienced an unprecedented fiscal deterioration, which was part of the widespread fiscal deterioration in Indian states. This deterioration was troubling because current expenditure outgrew total revenue, leaving little fiscal space for infrastructure spending. The paper presents a framework for subnational fiscal sustainability analysis and applies it to Tamil Nadu where subsequent fiscal adjustment has been ambitious and politically challenging, but has promised to put state finance on a sustainable path and create fiscal space for infrastructure investment. The paper emphasizes the differences between fiscal sustainability analysis at the national and subnational levels, attempts to take into account uncertainty, and discusses the key components of the state's fiscal accounts and how they respond to reforms and shocks. Risks to Tamil Nadu's fiscal outlook include interest rate shocks, pressures on the primary balance, and contingent liabilities. Though the state's efforts to remove constraints to economic growth, minimize recurrent expenditures and maximize its revenue potential will be critical for fiscal sustainability, national policies feature prominently in subnational fiscal adjustment. Tamil Nadu's quest for fiscal sustainability is relevant for other countries. Decentralization has given subnational governments in developing countries significant spending and taxation responsibilities, and the capacity to incur debt. The fiscal stress of the Indian states echoed the fiscal crises of subnational governments in several other major emerging economies. 2012-06-19T15:47:40Z 2012-06-19T15:47:40Z 2006-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/06/6871766/subnational-fiscal-sustainability-analysis-can-learn-tamil-nadu http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8425 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3947 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research