Evaluating Anti-Poverty Programs

The author critically reviews the methods available for the ex-post counterfactual analysis of programs that are assigned exclusively to individuals, households, or locations. The discussion covers both experimental and non-experimental methods (including propensity-score matching, discontinuity des...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ravallion, Martin
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
EGS
GDP
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/06/8962410/evaluating-anti-poverty-programs
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8341
Description
Summary:The author critically reviews the methods available for the ex-post counterfactual analysis of programs that are assigned exclusively to individuals, households, or locations. The discussion covers both experimental and non-experimental methods (including propensity-score matching, discontinuity designs, double and triple differences, and instrumental variables). Two main lessons emerge. First, despite the claims of advocates, no single method dominates; rigorous, policy-relevant evaluations should be open-minded about methodology. Second, future efforts to draw more useful lessons from evaluations will call for more policy-relevant measures and deeper explanations of measured impacts than are possible from the classic ("black box") assessment of mean impact.