The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda : The Importance of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction

Taking price changes from the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model of world trade, the authors use a small open economy computable general equilibrium comparative static model of the Russian economy to assess the impact of global free trade and a successful completion of the Doha Agenda on the...

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Main Authors: Rutherford, Thomas, Tarr, David, Shepotylo, Oleksandr
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
GDP
WTO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/10/6304708/impact-russia-wto-accession-doha-agenda-importance-liberalization-barriers-against-foreign-direct-investment-services-growth-poverty-reduction
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8256
id okr-10986-8256
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCESSION AGREEMENT
ACCESSION COMMITMENTS
ACCESSION NEGOTIATIONS
ACCESSION TO THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT
AGRICULTURE
ANTIDUMPING
ANTIDUMPING ACTIONS
AVERAGE COSTS
BASE YEAR
BENCHMARK
BILATERAL AGREEMENT
BILATERAL AGREEMENTS
BUSINESS SERVICES
CAPITAL INCREASE
CAPITAL STOCK
COMMODITIES
CONSTANT MARGINAL COSTS
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CONSUMPTION GOODS
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
COUNTRY OF ORIGIN
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
DEMAND CURVE
DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DIVIDENDS
DOHA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
DOMESTIC FIRMS
DOMESTIC SUPPORT
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS LITERATURE
ELASTICITY
ELIMINATION OF TARIFFS
EQUILIBRIUM
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT MARKETS
EXPORT PRICE
EXPORT SUBSIDIES
EXPORT SUBSIDY
EXPORT TAX
EXPORTS
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FACTOR SHARES
FOOD INDUSTRY
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN FIRMS
FOREIGN GOODS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE IN GOODS
GDP
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELING
GLOBAL FREE TRADE
GLOBAL TRADE
GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS
GROWTH RATE
IMPACT OF TRADE
IMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION
IMPORT BARRIERS
IMPORT PRICES
IMPROVED MARKET ACCESS
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCREASED COMPETITION
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INDIVIDUAL HOUSEHOLDS
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
JOINT VENTURES
LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE
MANUFACTURING SECTORS
MARGINAL COST
MARKET ACCESS
MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION
MONOPOLY RENTS
MULTINATIONAL FIRMS
OPENNESS
OPTIMIZATION
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POOR COUNTRIES
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE INDEX
PRIMARY FACTORS
PRIMARY FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
PROCESS OF ADJUSTMENT
PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROFITABILITY
REDUCTION OF BARRIERS
REGULATORY BARRIERS
RETURN ON CAPITAL
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
SAFETY NETS
SERVICE SECTOR
SERVICE SECTORS
SERVICES LIBERALIZATION
SERVICES SECTOR
SERVICES SECTORS
TARIFF BARRIERS
TARIFF CUTS
TARIFF RATES
TARIFF REDUCTION
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
TAX RATES
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TERMS OF TRADE
TERMS OF TRADE EFFECTS
TERMS OF TRADE LOSS
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE IN SERVICES
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REFORMS
TRANSITION PERIOD
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNSKILLED LABOR
URBAN HOUSEHOLDS
URBAN WORKERS
URUGUAY ROUND
UTILITY FUNCTION
UTILITY FUNCTIONS
WAGE RATE
WAGES
WELFARE GAINS
WELFARE IMPACTS
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD PRICES
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WTO
WTO ACCESSION
WTO MEMBERS
WTO MEMBERSHIP
spellingShingle ACCESSION AGREEMENT
ACCESSION COMMITMENTS
ACCESSION NEGOTIATIONS
ACCESSION TO THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT
AGRICULTURE
ANTIDUMPING
ANTIDUMPING ACTIONS
AVERAGE COSTS
BASE YEAR
BENCHMARK
BILATERAL AGREEMENT
BILATERAL AGREEMENTS
BUSINESS SERVICES
CAPITAL INCREASE
CAPITAL STOCK
COMMODITIES
CONSTANT MARGINAL COSTS
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CONSUMPTION GOODS
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
COUNTRY OF ORIGIN
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
DEMAND CURVE
DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DIVIDENDS
DOHA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
DOMESTIC FIRMS
DOMESTIC SUPPORT
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS LITERATURE
ELASTICITY
ELIMINATION OF TARIFFS
EQUILIBRIUM
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT MARKETS
EXPORT PRICE
EXPORT SUBSIDIES
EXPORT SUBSIDY
EXPORT TAX
EXPORTS
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FACTOR SHARES
FOOD INDUSTRY
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN FIRMS
FOREIGN GOODS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE IN GOODS
GDP
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELING
GLOBAL FREE TRADE
GLOBAL TRADE
GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS
GROWTH RATE
IMPACT OF TRADE
IMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION
IMPORT BARRIERS
IMPORT PRICES
IMPROVED MARKET ACCESS
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCREASED COMPETITION
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INDIVIDUAL HOUSEHOLDS
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
JOINT VENTURES
LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE
MANUFACTURING SECTORS
MARGINAL COST
MARKET ACCESS
MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION
MONOPOLY RENTS
MULTINATIONAL FIRMS
OPENNESS
OPTIMIZATION
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POOR COUNTRIES
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE INDEX
PRIMARY FACTORS
PRIMARY FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
PROCESS OF ADJUSTMENT
PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROFITABILITY
REDUCTION OF BARRIERS
REGULATORY BARRIERS
RETURN ON CAPITAL
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
SAFETY NETS
SERVICE SECTOR
SERVICE SECTORS
SERVICES LIBERALIZATION
SERVICES SECTOR
SERVICES SECTORS
TARIFF BARRIERS
TARIFF CUTS
TARIFF RATES
TARIFF REDUCTION
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
TAX RATES
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TERMS OF TRADE
TERMS OF TRADE EFFECTS
TERMS OF TRADE LOSS
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE IN SERVICES
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REFORMS
TRANSITION PERIOD
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNSKILLED LABOR
URBAN HOUSEHOLDS
URBAN WORKERS
URUGUAY ROUND
UTILITY FUNCTION
UTILITY FUNCTIONS
WAGE RATE
WAGES
WELFARE GAINS
WELFARE IMPACTS
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD PRICES
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WTO
WTO ACCESSION
WTO MEMBERS
WTO MEMBERSHIP
Rutherford, Thomas
Tarr, David
Shepotylo, Oleksandr
The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda : The Importance of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Russian Federation
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3725
description Taking price changes from the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model of world trade, the authors use a small open economy computable general equilibrium comparative static model of the Russian economy to assess the impact of global free trade and a successful completion of the Doha Agenda on the Russian economy, and especially on the poor. They compare those results with the impact of Russian accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on income distribution and the poor. The model incorporates all 55,000 households from the Russian Household Budget Survey as "real" households. Crucially, given the importance of foreign direct investment (FDI) liberalization as part of Russian WTO accession, the authors also include FDI and Dixit-Stiglitz endogenous productivity effects from liberalization of import barriers against goods and FDI in services. The authors estimate that Russian WTO accession in the medium run will result in gains averaged over all Russian households equal to 7.3 percent of Russian consumption (with a standard deviation of 2.2 percent of consumption), with virtually all households gaining. They find that global free trade would result in a weighted average gain to households in Russia of 0.2 percent of consumption, with a standard deviation of 0.2 percent of consumption, while a successful completion of the Doha Development Agenda would result in a weighted average gain to households of -0.3 percent of consumption (with a standard deviation of 0.2 percent of consumption). Russia, as a net food importer, loses from subsidy elimination, and the gains to Russia from tariff cuts in other countries are too small to offset these losses. The results strongly support the view that Russia's own liberalization is more important than improvements in market access as a result of reforms in tariffs or subsidies in the rest of the world. Foremost among the own reforms is liberalization of barriers against FDI in business services.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Rutherford, Thomas
Tarr, David
Shepotylo, Oleksandr
author_facet Rutherford, Thomas
Tarr, David
Shepotylo, Oleksandr
author_sort Rutherford, Thomas
title The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda : The Importance of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction
title_short The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda : The Importance of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction
title_full The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda : The Importance of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction
title_fullStr The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda : The Importance of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction
title_full_unstemmed The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda : The Importance of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction
title_sort impact on russia of wto accession and the doha agenda : the importance of liberalization of barriers against foreign direct investment in services for growth and poverty reduction
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/10/6304708/impact-russia-wto-accession-doha-agenda-importance-liberalization-barriers-against-foreign-direct-investment-services-growth-poverty-reduction
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8256
_version_ 1764407827309264896
spelling okr-10986-82562021-04-23T14:02:43Z The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda : The Importance of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction Rutherford, Thomas Tarr, David Shepotylo, Oleksandr ACCESSION AGREEMENT ACCESSION COMMITMENTS ACCESSION NEGOTIATIONS ACCESSION TO THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT AGRICULTURE ANTIDUMPING ANTIDUMPING ACTIONS AVERAGE COSTS BASE YEAR BENCHMARK BILATERAL AGREEMENT BILATERAL AGREEMENTS BUSINESS SERVICES CAPITAL INCREASE CAPITAL STOCK COMMODITIES CONSTANT MARGINAL COSTS CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE CONSUMERS CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES CONSUMPTION GOODS CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT COUNTRY OF ORIGIN CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS DEMAND CURVE DEVELOPMENT AGENDA DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DIVIDENDS DOHA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA DOMESTIC FIRMS DOMESTIC SUPPORT ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC THEORY ECONOMICS LITERATURE ELASTICITY ELIMINATION OF TARIFFS EQUILIBRIUM EXPENDITURES EXPORT MARKETS EXPORT PRICE EXPORT SUBSIDIES EXPORT SUBSIDY EXPORT TAX EXPORTS EXTERNALITIES EXTERNALITY FACTOR ENDOWMENTS FACTOR SHARES FOOD INDUSTRY FOREIGN BANKS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN FIRMS FOREIGN GOODS FOREIGN INVESTORS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE IN GOODS GDP GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELING GLOBAL FREE TRADE GLOBAL TRADE GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS GROWTH RATE IMPACT OF TRADE IMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION IMPORT BARRIERS IMPORT PRICES IMPROVED MARKET ACCESS INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASED COMPETITION INCREASING RETURNS INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE INDIVIDUAL HOUSEHOLDS INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY INTERMEDIATE GOODS INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVESTMENT CLIMATE JOINT VENTURES LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE MANUFACTURING SECTORS MARGINAL COST MARKET ACCESS MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION MONOPOLY RENTS MULTINATIONAL FIRMS OPENNESS OPTIMIZATION PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY CHANGES POLICY IMPLICATIONS POOR COUNTRIES POVERTY REDUCTION PRICE INDEX PRIMARY FACTORS PRIMARY FACTORS OF PRODUCTION PROCESS OF ADJUSTMENT PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROFITABILITY REDUCTION OF BARRIERS REGULATORY BARRIERS RETURN ON CAPITAL RURAL HOUSEHOLDS SAFETY NETS SERVICE SECTOR SERVICE SECTORS SERVICES LIBERALIZATION SERVICES SECTOR SERVICES SECTORS TARIFF BARRIERS TARIFF CUTS TARIFF RATES TARIFF REDUCTION TARIFF REDUCTIONS TAX RATES TELECOMMUNICATIONS TERMS OF TRADE TERMS OF TRADE EFFECTS TERMS OF TRADE LOSS TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE IN SERVICES TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICY TRADE REFORMS TRANSITION PERIOD TRANSPORTATION SERVICES UNEMPLOYMENT UNSKILLED LABOR URBAN HOUSEHOLDS URBAN WORKERS URUGUAY ROUND UTILITY FUNCTION UTILITY FUNCTIONS WAGE RATE WAGES WELFARE GAINS WELFARE IMPACTS WORLD MARKETS WORLD PRICES WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION WTO WTO ACCESSION WTO MEMBERS WTO MEMBERSHIP Taking price changes from the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model of world trade, the authors use a small open economy computable general equilibrium comparative static model of the Russian economy to assess the impact of global free trade and a successful completion of the Doha Agenda on the Russian economy, and especially on the poor. They compare those results with the impact of Russian accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on income distribution and the poor. The model incorporates all 55,000 households from the Russian Household Budget Survey as "real" households. Crucially, given the importance of foreign direct investment (FDI) liberalization as part of Russian WTO accession, the authors also include FDI and Dixit-Stiglitz endogenous productivity effects from liberalization of import barriers against goods and FDI in services. The authors estimate that Russian WTO accession in the medium run will result in gains averaged over all Russian households equal to 7.3 percent of Russian consumption (with a standard deviation of 2.2 percent of consumption), with virtually all households gaining. They find that global free trade would result in a weighted average gain to households in Russia of 0.2 percent of consumption, with a standard deviation of 0.2 percent of consumption, while a successful completion of the Doha Development Agenda would result in a weighted average gain to households of -0.3 percent of consumption (with a standard deviation of 0.2 percent of consumption). Russia, as a net food importer, loses from subsidy elimination, and the gains to Russia from tariff cuts in other countries are too small to offset these losses. The results strongly support the view that Russia's own liberalization is more important than improvements in market access as a result of reforms in tariffs or subsidies in the rest of the world. Foremost among the own reforms is liberalization of barriers against FDI in business services. 2012-06-18T15:19:47Z 2012-06-18T15:19:47Z 2005-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/10/6304708/impact-russia-wto-accession-doha-agenda-importance-liberalization-barriers-against-foreign-direct-investment-services-growth-poverty-reduction http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8256 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3725 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Europe and Central Asia Russian Federation