Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces

The author discusses regional development patterns in China and examines effective ways of using development aid to attain regional balanced growth through optimizing growth spillover effects. Based on provincial panel data from 1978-99 she constructs an indicator "neighborhood performance"...

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Main Author:	Luo, Xubei
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE LEVEL DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC REFORMS GROWTH DETERMINANTS GROWTH MODEL GROWTH PATTERN GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HIGH GROWTH HIGH GROWTH RATE HIGH URBANIZATION INCOME INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INPUT-OUTPUT INVESTMENT RATE LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED VALUE MIGRATION MUNICIPALITIES MUNICIPALITY NATIONAL LEVEL POLICY RESEARCH PROVINCES RAPID GROWTH REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT RESOURCE ALLOCATION STAGNATION STANDARD OF LIVING TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/06/5866633/growth-spillover-effects-regional-development-patterns-case-chinese-provinces http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8193

id	okr-10986-8193
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-81932021-04-23T14:02:43Z Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces Luo, Xubei ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE LEVEL DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC REFORMS GROWTH DETERMINANTS GROWTH MODEL GROWTH PATTERN GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HIGH GROWTH HIGH GROWTH RATE HIGH URBANIZATION INCOME INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INPUT-OUTPUT INVESTMENT RATE LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED VALUE MIGRATION MUNICIPALITIES MUNICIPALITY NATIONAL LEVEL POLICY RESEARCH PROVINCES RAPID GROWTH REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT RESOURCE ALLOCATION STAGNATION STANDARD OF LIVING TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER The author discusses regional development patterns in China and examines effective ways of using development aid to attain regional balanced growth through optimizing growth spillover effects. Based on provincial panel data from 1978-99 she constructs an indicator "neighborhood performance" to measure the geographic spillover effects of aggregate growth from and to different provinces according to their relative richness and geographic position. Analysis of a Solow-type growth model suggests that positive spillover effects dominate negative shadow effects at the national level as well as the regional level, and some coastal provinces provide growth pull and growth push forces for their neighbors and serve as locomotives. The results show that the rapid takeoff of the coastal provinces has the largest spillover effects on the Chinese economy, but at the expense of a widening regional gap. A policy of encouraging the growth of the non-coastal regional hubs would have strong forward and backward linkages with the inland and western regions and thus reduce the regional development gap without sacrificing much aggregate growth. The author offers support for the policy of developing inland hubs, and argues that directing development aid to Hubei and Sichuan would optimize the growth spillover impacts on inland regions. 2012-06-15T19:48:52Z 2012-06-15T19:48:52Z 2005-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/06/5866633/growth-spillover-effects-regional-development-patterns-case-chinese-provinces http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8193 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3652 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research East Asia and Pacific China
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE LEVEL DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC REFORMS GROWTH DETERMINANTS GROWTH MODEL GROWTH PATTERN GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HIGH GROWTH HIGH GROWTH RATE HIGH URBANIZATION INCOME INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INPUT-OUTPUT INVESTMENT RATE LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED VALUE MIGRATION MUNICIPALITIES MUNICIPALITY NATIONAL LEVEL POLICY RESEARCH PROVINCES RAPID GROWTH REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT RESOURCE ALLOCATION STAGNATION STANDARD OF LIVING TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
spellingShingle	ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE LEVEL DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC REFORMS GROWTH DETERMINANTS GROWTH MODEL GROWTH PATTERN GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HIGH GROWTH HIGH GROWTH RATE HIGH URBANIZATION INCOME INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INPUT-OUTPUT INVESTMENT RATE LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED VALUE MIGRATION MUNICIPALITIES MUNICIPALITY NATIONAL LEVEL POLICY RESEARCH PROVINCES RAPID GROWTH REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT RESOURCE ALLOCATION STAGNATION STANDARD OF LIVING TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER Luo, Xubei Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces
geographic_facet	East Asia and Pacific China
relation	Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3652
description	The author discusses regional development patterns in China and examines effective ways of using development aid to attain regional balanced growth through optimizing growth spillover effects. Based on provincial panel data from 1978-99 she constructs an indicator "neighborhood performance" to measure the geographic spillover effects of aggregate growth from and to different provinces according to their relative richness and geographic position. Analysis of a Solow-type growth model suggests that positive spillover effects dominate negative shadow effects at the national level as well as the regional level, and some coastal provinces provide growth pull and growth push forces for their neighbors and serve as locomotives. The results show that the rapid takeoff of the coastal provinces has the largest spillover effects on the Chinese economy, but at the expense of a widening regional gap. A policy of encouraging the growth of the non-coastal regional hubs would have strong forward and backward linkages with the inland and western regions and thus reduce the regional development gap without sacrificing much aggregate growth. The author offers support for the policy of developing inland hubs, and argues that directing development aid to Hubei and Sichuan would optimize the growth spillover impacts on inland regions.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Luo, Xubei
author_facet	Luo, Xubei
author_sort	Luo, Xubei
title	Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces
title_short	Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces
title_full	Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces
title_fullStr	Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces
title_full_unstemmed	Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces
title_sort	growth spillover effects and regional development patterns : the case of chinese provinces
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2012
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/06/5866633/growth-spillover-effects-regional-development-patterns-case-chinese-provinces http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8193
_version_	1764407460028743680

Growth Spillover Effects and Regional Development Patterns : The Case of Chinese Provinces

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