Guinea : Development Policy Review
Following a decade of relatively strong growth, Guinea's economic performance weakened beginning in 2000. During 1992-1999, growth averaged 4.4 percent a year as the Government implemented a program of economic reforms aimed at liberalizing it...
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Format: | Development Policy Review (DPR) |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
Washington, DC
2012
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/10114965/guinea-development-policy-review http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7871 |
Summary: | Following a decade of relatively strong
growth, Guinea's economic performance weakened
beginning in 2000. During 1992-1999, growth averaged 4.4
percent a year as the Government implemented a program of
economic reforms aimed at liberalizing its economy and
improving the environment for private sector investment.
With a tightening of financial policies over the 1990s,
inflation reached single digits by the late 1990s and the
fiscal deficit averaged just over 3 percent of Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) in the second half of the 1990s.
However, since 2000 growth slowed to an average of 2.8
percent a year and inflation increased to 39 by 2006.
Guinea's worsening economic performance since 2000
reflects a weaker policy framework and exogenous shocks.
Macroeconomic policies were relaxed, as fiscal policy was
loosened and monetary policy became highly accommodative.
Government revenues from the mining sector dropped, despite
a recovery in the price of bauxite-Guinea's most
important export. Also, a heightened level of regional
insecurity and a resulting considerable influx of refugees
in Guinea put pressure on government expenditures. As a
result, the fiscal deficit rose to an average of 5 percent
of GDP in 2000-2004. An accommodative monetary policy led to
double digit inflation and a crowding out of credit to the
private sector. A concomitant slowdown in the implementation
of economic reforms, coupled with increased uncertainty in
the political climate and deteriorating quality of public
institutions, contributed to the slowdown in economic activity. |
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