Aggregate Income Shocks and Infant Mortality in the Developing World

The diffusion of cost-effective life saving technologies has reduced infant mortality in much of the developing world. Income gains may also play a direct, protective role in ensuring child survival, although the empirical findings to date on this...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Baird, Sarah, Friedman, Jed, Schady, Norbert
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
HIV
SEX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/09/9323631/infant-mortality-over-business-cycle-developing-world
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7627
id okr-10986-7627
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-76272021-04-23T14:02:35Z Aggregate Income Shocks and Infant Mortality in the Developing World Baird, Sarah Friedman, Jed Schady, Norbert ABILITY TO PAY ADULT HEALTH ADULT MORTALITY AIDS EPIDEMIC AIR POLLUTION ARMED CONFLICT ARMED CONFLICTS BABIES CARE FOR CHILDREN CENSUSES CHILD BIRTH CHILD DEATHS CHILD HEALTH CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL WAR COMPLICATIONS DEMOGRAPHIC SURVEYS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DISCRIMINATION DISEASE CONTROL ECONOMIC CHANGE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICY EQUILIBRIUM EXPENDITURES FAMILIES FEMALE CHILDREN FEMALE EDUCATION FEMALE MORTALITY FERTILITY FIRST BIRTHS GENDER GENDER DIFFERENCES GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT HEALTH ECONOMICS HEALTH OUTCOMES HEALTH SERVICES HEALTH STATUS HIV HIV INFECTION HUMAN DEVELOPMENT HUMAN RESOURCES HYGIENE IMPROVEMENTS IN CHILD SURVIVAL INCOME INFANT INFANT DEATH INFANT DEATHS INFANT HEALTH INFANT MORTALITY INFANT MORTALITY RATE INFANT MORTALITY RATES INFANTS INFECTION RATES INTEGRATION LIFE EXPECTANCY LIVE BIRTHS LOW BIRTHWEIGHT MALARIA MALE MORTALITY MANDATES MATERNAL HEALTH MEDICAL ATTENTION MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS MORBIDITY MORTALITY DECLINE MORTALITY RISK MOTHER MULTIPLE BIRTH MULTIPLE BIRTHS NATALITY DATA NEONATAL MORTALITY NUMBER OF BIRTHS NUMBER OF DEATHS NUTRITION OLDER WOMEN PEACE PLACE OF RESIDENCE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT POPULATION ASSOCIATION PREGNANCY PRENATAL CARE PREVENTIVE HEALTH CARE PRIMARY SCHOOLING PROBABILITY PROGRESS PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC HEALTH EXPENDITURES PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES PUBLIC SERVICES PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY RADIATION RESPECT RURAL AREAS SEX SEX RATIO SMOKING SOCIAL SCIENCE STATE UNIVERSITY SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO URBAN AREAS USE OF HEALTH SERVICES VITAL STATISTICS VULNERABILITY WOMAN WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION YOUNG CHILDREN YOUNG MOTHER YOUNG MOTHERS The diffusion of cost-effective life saving technologies has reduced infant mortality in much of the developing world. Income gains may also play a direct, protective role in ensuring child survival, although the empirical findings to date on this issue have been mixed. This paper assembles data from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) in 59 countries to analyze the relationship between changes in per capita GDP and infant mortality. The authors show that there is a strong, negative association between changes in per capita GDP and infant mortality- in a first-differenced specification the implied elasticity of infant mortality with respect to per capita GDP is approximately -0.56. In addition to this central result, two findings are noteworthy. First, although there is some evidence of changes in the composition of women giving birth during economic upturns and downturns, the observed changes in infant mortality are not a result of mothers with protective characteristics timing fertility to correspond with the business cycle. Second, the association between infant mortality and per capita GDP is particularly pronounced for periods of large contractions in GDP, suggesting the inability of developing country households or health systems (or both) to smooth resources. Simple back-of-the-envelope calculations using the estimates suggest that there may have been more than 1 million "excess" deaths in the developing world since 1980 as a result of large, negative contractions in per capita GDP. 2012-06-11T14:19:29Z 2012-06-11T14:19:29Z 2007-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/09/9323631/infant-mortality-over-business-cycle-developing-world http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7627 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4346 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABILITY TO PAY
ADULT HEALTH
ADULT MORTALITY
AIDS EPIDEMIC
AIR POLLUTION
ARMED CONFLICT
ARMED CONFLICTS
BABIES
CARE FOR CHILDREN
CENSUSES
CHILD BIRTH
CHILD DEATHS
CHILD HEALTH
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL WAR
COMPLICATIONS
DEMOGRAPHIC SURVEYS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISCRIMINATION
DISEASE CONTROL
ECONOMIC CHANGE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
EQUILIBRIUM
EXPENDITURES
FAMILIES
FEMALE CHILDREN
FEMALE EDUCATION
FEMALE MORTALITY
FERTILITY
FIRST BIRTHS
GENDER
GENDER DIFFERENCES
GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT
HEALTH ECONOMICS
HEALTH OUTCOMES
HEALTH SERVICES
HEALTH STATUS
HIV
HIV INFECTION
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RESOURCES
HYGIENE
IMPROVEMENTS IN CHILD SURVIVAL
INCOME
INFANT
INFANT DEATH
INFANT DEATHS
INFANT HEALTH
INFANT MORTALITY
INFANT MORTALITY RATE
INFANT MORTALITY RATES
INFANTS
INFECTION RATES
INTEGRATION
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIVE BIRTHS
LOW BIRTHWEIGHT
MALARIA
MALE MORTALITY
MANDATES
MATERNAL HEALTH
MEDICAL ATTENTION
MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS
MORBIDITY
MORTALITY DECLINE
MORTALITY RISK
MOTHER
MULTIPLE BIRTH
MULTIPLE BIRTHS
NATALITY DATA
NEONATAL MORTALITY
NUMBER OF BIRTHS
NUMBER OF DEATHS
NUTRITION
OLDER WOMEN
PEACE
PLACE OF RESIDENCE
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT
POPULATION ASSOCIATION
PREGNANCY
PRENATAL CARE
PREVENTIVE HEALTH CARE
PRIMARY SCHOOLING
PROBABILITY
PROGRESS
PUBLIC HEALTH
PUBLIC HEALTH EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES
PUBLIC SERVICES
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RADIATION
RESPECT
RURAL AREAS
SEX
SEX RATIO
SMOKING
SOCIAL SCIENCE
STATE UNIVERSITY
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
URBAN AREAS
USE OF HEALTH SERVICES
VITAL STATISTICS
VULNERABILITY
WOMAN
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
YOUNG CHILDREN
YOUNG MOTHER
YOUNG MOTHERS
spellingShingle ABILITY TO PAY
ADULT HEALTH
ADULT MORTALITY
AIDS EPIDEMIC
AIR POLLUTION
ARMED CONFLICT
ARMED CONFLICTS
BABIES
CARE FOR CHILDREN
CENSUSES
CHILD BIRTH
CHILD DEATHS
CHILD HEALTH
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL WAR
COMPLICATIONS
DEMOGRAPHIC SURVEYS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISCRIMINATION
DISEASE CONTROL
ECONOMIC CHANGE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
EQUILIBRIUM
EXPENDITURES
FAMILIES
FEMALE CHILDREN
FEMALE EDUCATION
FEMALE MORTALITY
FERTILITY
FIRST BIRTHS
GENDER
GENDER DIFFERENCES
GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT
HEALTH ECONOMICS
HEALTH OUTCOMES
HEALTH SERVICES
HEALTH STATUS
HIV
HIV INFECTION
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RESOURCES
HYGIENE
IMPROVEMENTS IN CHILD SURVIVAL
INCOME
INFANT
INFANT DEATH
INFANT DEATHS
INFANT HEALTH
INFANT MORTALITY
INFANT MORTALITY RATE
INFANT MORTALITY RATES
INFANTS
INFECTION RATES
INTEGRATION
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIVE BIRTHS
LOW BIRTHWEIGHT
MALARIA
MALE MORTALITY
MANDATES
MATERNAL HEALTH
MEDICAL ATTENTION
MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS
MORBIDITY
MORTALITY DECLINE
MORTALITY RISK
MOTHER
MULTIPLE BIRTH
MULTIPLE BIRTHS
NATALITY DATA
NEONATAL MORTALITY
NUMBER OF BIRTHS
NUMBER OF DEATHS
NUTRITION
OLDER WOMEN
PEACE
PLACE OF RESIDENCE
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT
POPULATION ASSOCIATION
PREGNANCY
PRENATAL CARE
PREVENTIVE HEALTH CARE
PRIMARY SCHOOLING
PROBABILITY
PROGRESS
PUBLIC HEALTH
PUBLIC HEALTH EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES
PUBLIC SERVICES
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RADIATION
RESPECT
RURAL AREAS
SEX
SEX RATIO
SMOKING
SOCIAL SCIENCE
STATE UNIVERSITY
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
URBAN AREAS
USE OF HEALTH SERVICES
VITAL STATISTICS
VULNERABILITY
WOMAN
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
YOUNG CHILDREN
YOUNG MOTHER
YOUNG MOTHERS
Baird, Sarah
Friedman, Jed
Schady, Norbert
Aggregate Income Shocks and Infant Mortality in the Developing World
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4346
description The diffusion of cost-effective life saving technologies has reduced infant mortality in much of the developing world. Income gains may also play a direct, protective role in ensuring child survival, although the empirical findings to date on this issue have been mixed. This paper assembles data from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) in 59 countries to analyze the relationship between changes in per capita GDP and infant mortality. The authors show that there is a strong, negative association between changes in per capita GDP and infant mortality- in a first-differenced specification the implied elasticity of infant mortality with respect to per capita GDP is approximately -0.56. In addition to this central result, two findings are noteworthy. First, although there is some evidence of changes in the composition of women giving birth during economic upturns and downturns, the observed changes in infant mortality are not a result of mothers with protective characteristics timing fertility to correspond with the business cycle. Second, the association between infant mortality and per capita GDP is particularly pronounced for periods of large contractions in GDP, suggesting the inability of developing country households or health systems (or both) to smooth resources. Simple back-of-the-envelope calculations using the estimates suggest that there may have been more than 1 million "excess" deaths in the developing world since 1980 as a result of large, negative contractions in per capita GDP.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Baird, Sarah
Friedman, Jed
Schady, Norbert
author_facet Baird, Sarah
Friedman, Jed
Schady, Norbert
author_sort Baird, Sarah
title Aggregate Income Shocks and Infant Mortality in the Developing World
title_short Aggregate Income Shocks and Infant Mortality in the Developing World
title_full Aggregate Income Shocks and Infant Mortality in the Developing World
title_fullStr Aggregate Income Shocks and Infant Mortality in the Developing World
title_full_unstemmed Aggregate Income Shocks and Infant Mortality in the Developing World
title_sort aggregate income shocks and infant mortality in the developing world
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/09/9323631/infant-mortality-over-business-cycle-developing-world
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7627
_version_ 1764402841842089984