The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach
This paper uses the Ricardian approach to examine how farmers in 11 countries in Africa have adapted to existing climatic conditions. It then estimates the effects of predicted changes in climate while accounting for whatever farmer adaptation migh...
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044187/impact-climate-change-african-agriculture-ricardian-approach http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7510 |
| id |
okr-10986-7510 |
|---|---|
| recordtype |
oai_dc |
| spelling |
okr-10986-75102021-04-23T14:02:34Z The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach Maddison, David Manley, Marita Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURE CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CARBON EMISSIONS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATES CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC ZONES CO2 CROPS DEVELOPING COUNTRY CONTEXT DISEASES DRAINAGE ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMICS ELECTRICITY ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL AMENITIES ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EQUILIBRIUM EQUIPMENT EVAPORATION FARMERS FARMS FERTILIZATION FLOODING FROST GDP GENDER GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FACILITY GLOBAL WARMING HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE HYDROMETEOROLOGY INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION KYOTO PROTOCOL LABOR INPUTS LAND ECONOMICS LAND TENURE LAND VALUE LIVESTOCK PESTS POPULATION GROWTH POTENTIAL IMPACTS PRECIPITATION PRODUCTIVITY PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC GOODS RAINFALL RIVERS RUNOFF RURAL DEVELOPMENT SATELLITES SCIENTISTS SEA SOIL STREAMS SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGE TRANSPIRATION WEATHER WEATHER STATIONS WILLINGNESS TO PAY This paper uses the Ricardian approach to examine how farmers in 11 countries in Africa have adapted to existing climatic conditions. It then estimates the effects of predicted changes in climate while accounting for whatever farmer adaptation might occur. This study differs from earlier ones by using farmers' own perceptions of the value of their land. Previous research, by contrast, has relied on either observed sale prices or net revenues, sometimes aggregated over geographically large tracts of terrain. The study also makes use of high resolution data describing soil quality and runoff. Furthermore, it tackles the challenges involved in modeling the effect of climate on agriculture in a study that includes countries in the northern and southern hemispheres, as well as the tropics. The study confirms that African agriculture is particularly vulnerable to climate change. Even with perfect adaptation, regional climate change by 2050 is predicted to entail production losses of 19.9 percent for Burkina Faso and 30.5 percent for Niger. By contrast, countries such as Ethiopia and South Africa are hardly affected at all, suffering productivity losses of only 1.3 percent and 3 percent, respectively. The study also confirms the importance of water supplies as measured by runoff, which, being affected by both temperature and precipitation, may itself be highly sensitive to climate change. 2012-06-08T14:34:27Z 2012-06-08T14:34:27Z 2007-08 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044187/impact-climate-change-african-agriculture-ricardian-approach http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7510 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4306 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURE CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CARBON EMISSIONS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATES CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC ZONES CO2 CROPS DEVELOPING COUNTRY CONTEXT DISEASES DRAINAGE ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMICS ELECTRICITY ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL AMENITIES ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EQUILIBRIUM EQUIPMENT EVAPORATION FARMERS FARMS FERTILIZATION FLOODING FROST GDP GENDER GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FACILITY GLOBAL WARMING HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE HYDROMETEOROLOGY INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION KYOTO PROTOCOL LABOR INPUTS LAND ECONOMICS LAND TENURE LAND VALUE LIVESTOCK PESTS POPULATION GROWTH POTENTIAL IMPACTS PRECIPITATION PRODUCTIVITY PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC GOODS RAINFALL RIVERS RUNOFF RURAL DEVELOPMENT SATELLITES SCIENTISTS SEA SOIL STREAMS SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGE TRANSPIRATION WEATHER WEATHER STATIONS WILLINGNESS TO PAY |
| spellingShingle |
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURE CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CARBON EMISSIONS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATES CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC ZONES CO2 CROPS DEVELOPING COUNTRY CONTEXT DISEASES DRAINAGE ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMICS ELECTRICITY ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL AMENITIES ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EQUILIBRIUM EQUIPMENT EVAPORATION FARMERS FARMS FERTILIZATION FLOODING FROST GDP GENDER GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FACILITY GLOBAL WARMING HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE HYDROMETEOROLOGY INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION KYOTO PROTOCOL LABOR INPUTS LAND ECONOMICS LAND TENURE LAND VALUE LIVESTOCK PESTS POPULATION GROWTH POTENTIAL IMPACTS PRECIPITATION PRODUCTIVITY PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC GOODS RAINFALL RIVERS RUNOFF RURAL DEVELOPMENT SATELLITES SCIENTISTS SEA SOIL STREAMS SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGE TRANSPIRATION WEATHER WEATHER STATIONS WILLINGNESS TO PAY Maddison, David Manley, Marita Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach |
| geographic_facet |
Africa |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4306 |
| description |
This paper uses the Ricardian approach
to examine how farmers in 11 countries in Africa have
adapted to existing climatic conditions. It then estimates
the effects of predicted changes in climate while accounting
for whatever farmer adaptation might occur. This study
differs from earlier ones by using farmers' own
perceptions of the value of their land. Previous research,
by contrast, has relied on either observed sale prices or
net revenues, sometimes aggregated over geographically large
tracts of terrain. The study also makes use of high
resolution data describing soil quality and runoff.
Furthermore, it tackles the challenges involved in modeling
the effect of climate on agriculture in a study that
includes countries in the northern and southern hemispheres,
as well as the tropics. The study confirms that African
agriculture is particularly vulnerable to climate change.
Even with perfect adaptation, regional climate change by
2050 is predicted to entail production losses of 19.9
percent for Burkina Faso and 30.5 percent for Niger. By
contrast, countries such as Ethiopia and South Africa are
hardly affected at all, suffering productivity losses of
only 1.3 percent and 3 percent, respectively. The study also
confirms the importance of water supplies as measured by
runoff, which, being affected by both temperature and
precipitation, may itself be highly sensitive to climate change. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Maddison, David Manley, Marita Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep |
| author_facet |
Maddison, David Manley, Marita Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep |
| author_sort |
Maddison, David |
| title |
The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach |
| title_short |
The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach |
| title_full |
The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach |
| title_fullStr |
The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach |
| title_sort |
impact of climate change on african agriculture : a ricardian approach |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044187/impact-climate-change-african-agriculture-ricardian-approach http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7510 |
| _version_ |
1764402206977556480 |