Climate Change Impacts on Animal Husbandry in Africa : A Ricardian Analysis

This paper analyzes the impact of climate change on animal husbandry in Africa. It regresses the net revenue from raising animals in small and large farms across Africa on climate, soil, and other control variables to test the climate sensitivity o...

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Main Authors: Seo, Sungno Niggol, Mendelsohn, Robert
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
CO2
PIG
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7745606/climate-change-impacts-animal-husbandry-africa-ricardian-analysis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7423
id okr-10986-7423
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-74232021-04-23T14:02:33Z Climate Change Impacts on Animal Husbandry in Africa : A Ricardian Analysis Seo, Sungno Niggol Mendelsohn, Robert AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURE ANIMAL ANIMAL DISEASES ANIMAL HUSBANDRY ANIMAL PERFORMANCE ANIMAL POWER ANIMAL PRODUCTS ANIMALS ASSESSMENT REPORT ATMOSPHERE BARNS BEAR BEEF BEEF CATTLE BEES BREEDING BREEDS BULLS BUTTER CAMELS CATTLE POPULATION CHEESE CHICKEN CHICKENS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATIC CHANGE CO2 COMMUNAL LANDS CROPS DAIRY DAIRY CATTLE DAIRY FARM DAIRY FARMING DESERTS DISEASE VECTORS DROUGHT ECONOMICS ECOSYSTEMS EGGS ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY EQUIPMENT EXPOSURE EXTENSION FARM FARMERS FARMS FEED FEEDING FEEDLOT CATTLE FEEDLOTS FORAGE FOREST FORESTRY FORESTS FOWL GENDER GENETICS GLOBAL WARMING GOAT GOATS GRASSLAND GRASSLANDS GRAZING GRAZING ANIMALS GRAZING LAND GREENHOUSE GAS HEAT WAVES HORSES HUMAN ECOLOGY INCOMES INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC ISSUES LAND VALUE LEATHER LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK DISEASES LIVESTOCK ENVIRONMENT LIVESTOCK FARMER LIVESTOCK FARMS LIVESTOCK HUSBANDRY LIVESTOCK INCOME LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT LIVESTOCK OWNERS LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP LIVESTOCK PRODUCT LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS LIVESTOCK RESEARCH LIVESTOCK SECTOR MANURE MEAT MILK MILK PRODUCTION MILKING MILKING EQUIPMENT NEW TECHNOLOGIES NORTH AFRICA NUTRITION PARASITES PASTURE PASTURE PRODUCTIVITY PIG PIGS POPULATION DENSITIES POPULATION DENSITY POPULATION ESTIMATES PRECIPITATION RAINFALL RANGELANDS SAHEL SATELLITE DATA SHEEP SMALL RUMINANTS SOIL SOILS SPECIES SPECIES COMPOSITION TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA TOURISM TRYPANOSOMIASIS VETERINARY VETERINARY CARE WATER USE WOOL WOOL PRODUCTION This paper analyzes the impact of climate change on animal husbandry in Africa. It regresses the net revenue from raising animals in small and large farms across Africa on climate, soil, and other control variables to test the climate sensitivity of livestock. The study is based on a survey of over 9,000 farmers across 11 countries conducted by the World Bank and the Global Environment Facility. From this dataset, 5,400 farms were found to rely on livestock. The paper develops models to test whether the climate coefficients of small and large farms are similar. It turns out that small farms tend to be more labor intensive, rely on native stocks, and have few animals. Large farms tend to be more commercial operations, with much larger stocks and more modern approaches. The analysis finds that warming is good for small farms because they can substitute animals that are heat tolerant. Large farms, by contrast, are more dependent on cattle, which are not heat tolerant. The wetter scenarios are likely to be harmful to grazing animals because greater rainfall implies a shift from grasslands to forests, an increase in harmful disease vectors, and a shift from livestock to crops. Overall, because large farms dominate the sector, African livestock net revenues are expected to fall. However, if future climates turn out to be dry, livestock net revenue will increase. At least against the risk of dryness, livestock offer a good substitute for crops. 2012-06-07T17:46:03Z 2012-06-07T17:46:03Z 2007-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7745606/climate-change-impacts-animal-husbandry-africa-ricardian-analysis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7423 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4261 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGRICULTURAL LAND
AGRICULTURE
ANIMAL
ANIMAL DISEASES
ANIMAL HUSBANDRY
ANIMAL PERFORMANCE
ANIMAL POWER
ANIMAL PRODUCTS
ANIMALS
ASSESSMENT REPORT
ATMOSPHERE
BARNS
BEAR
BEEF
BEEF CATTLE
BEES
BREEDING
BREEDS
BULLS
BUTTER
CAMELS
CATTLE POPULATION
CHEESE
CHICKEN
CHICKENS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
CLIMATE SYSTEM
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATIC CHANGE
CO2
COMMUNAL LANDS
CROPS
DAIRY
DAIRY CATTLE
DAIRY FARM
DAIRY FARMING
DESERTS
DISEASE VECTORS
DROUGHT
ECONOMICS
ECOSYSTEMS
EGGS
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY
EQUIPMENT
EXPOSURE
EXTENSION
FARM
FARMERS
FARMS
FEED
FEEDING
FEEDLOT CATTLE
FEEDLOTS
FORAGE
FOREST
FORESTRY
FORESTS
FOWL
GENDER
GENETICS
GLOBAL WARMING
GOAT
GOATS
GRASSLAND
GRASSLANDS
GRAZING
GRAZING ANIMALS
GRAZING LAND
GREENHOUSE GAS
HEAT WAVES
HORSES
HUMAN ECOLOGY
INCOMES
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
ISSUES
LAND VALUE
LEATHER
LIVESTOCK
LIVESTOCK DISEASES
LIVESTOCK ENVIRONMENT
LIVESTOCK FARMER
LIVESTOCK FARMS
LIVESTOCK HUSBANDRY
LIVESTOCK INCOME
LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT
LIVESTOCK OWNERS
LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP
LIVESTOCK PRODUCT
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
LIVESTOCK RESEARCH
LIVESTOCK SECTOR
MANURE
MEAT
MILK
MILK PRODUCTION
MILKING
MILKING EQUIPMENT
NEW TECHNOLOGIES
NORTH AFRICA
NUTRITION
PARASITES
PASTURE
PASTURE PRODUCTIVITY
PIG
PIGS
POPULATION DENSITIES
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION ESTIMATES
PRECIPITATION
RAINFALL
RANGELANDS
SAHEL
SATELLITE DATA
SHEEP
SMALL RUMINANTS
SOIL
SOILS
SPECIES
SPECIES COMPOSITION
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TEMPERATURE DATA
TOURISM
TRYPANOSOMIASIS
VETERINARY
VETERINARY CARE
WATER USE
WOOL
WOOL PRODUCTION
spellingShingle AGRICULTURAL LAND
AGRICULTURE
ANIMAL
ANIMAL DISEASES
ANIMAL HUSBANDRY
ANIMAL PERFORMANCE
ANIMAL POWER
ANIMAL PRODUCTS
ANIMALS
ASSESSMENT REPORT
ATMOSPHERE
BARNS
BEAR
BEEF
BEEF CATTLE
BEES
BREEDING
BREEDS
BULLS
BUTTER
CAMELS
CATTLE POPULATION
CHEESE
CHICKEN
CHICKENS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
CLIMATE SYSTEM
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATIC CHANGE
CO2
COMMUNAL LANDS
CROPS
DAIRY
DAIRY CATTLE
DAIRY FARM
DAIRY FARMING
DESERTS
DISEASE VECTORS
DROUGHT
ECONOMICS
ECOSYSTEMS
EGGS
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY
EQUIPMENT
EXPOSURE
EXTENSION
FARM
FARMERS
FARMS
FEED
FEEDING
FEEDLOT CATTLE
FEEDLOTS
FORAGE
FOREST
FORESTRY
FORESTS
FOWL
GENDER
GENETICS
GLOBAL WARMING
GOAT
GOATS
GRASSLAND
GRASSLANDS
GRAZING
GRAZING ANIMALS
GRAZING LAND
GREENHOUSE GAS
HEAT WAVES
HORSES
HUMAN ECOLOGY
INCOMES
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
ISSUES
LAND VALUE
LEATHER
LIVESTOCK
LIVESTOCK DISEASES
LIVESTOCK ENVIRONMENT
LIVESTOCK FARMER
LIVESTOCK FARMS
LIVESTOCK HUSBANDRY
LIVESTOCK INCOME
LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT
LIVESTOCK OWNERS
LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP
LIVESTOCK PRODUCT
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
LIVESTOCK RESEARCH
LIVESTOCK SECTOR
MANURE
MEAT
MILK
MILK PRODUCTION
MILKING
MILKING EQUIPMENT
NEW TECHNOLOGIES
NORTH AFRICA
NUTRITION
PARASITES
PASTURE
PASTURE PRODUCTIVITY
PIG
PIGS
POPULATION DENSITIES
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION ESTIMATES
PRECIPITATION
RAINFALL
RANGELANDS
SAHEL
SATELLITE DATA
SHEEP
SMALL RUMINANTS
SOIL
SOILS
SPECIES
SPECIES COMPOSITION
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TEMPERATURE DATA
TOURISM
TRYPANOSOMIASIS
VETERINARY
VETERINARY CARE
WATER USE
WOOL
WOOL PRODUCTION
Seo, Sungno Niggol
Mendelsohn, Robert
Climate Change Impacts on Animal Husbandry in Africa : A Ricardian Analysis
geographic_facet Africa
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4261
description This paper analyzes the impact of climate change on animal husbandry in Africa. It regresses the net revenue from raising animals in small and large farms across Africa on climate, soil, and other control variables to test the climate sensitivity of livestock. The study is based on a survey of over 9,000 farmers across 11 countries conducted by the World Bank and the Global Environment Facility. From this dataset, 5,400 farms were found to rely on livestock. The paper develops models to test whether the climate coefficients of small and large farms are similar. It turns out that small farms tend to be more labor intensive, rely on native stocks, and have few animals. Large farms tend to be more commercial operations, with much larger stocks and more modern approaches. The analysis finds that warming is good for small farms because they can substitute animals that are heat tolerant. Large farms, by contrast, are more dependent on cattle, which are not heat tolerant. The wetter scenarios are likely to be harmful to grazing animals because greater rainfall implies a shift from grasslands to forests, an increase in harmful disease vectors, and a shift from livestock to crops. Overall, because large farms dominate the sector, African livestock net revenues are expected to fall. However, if future climates turn out to be dry, livestock net revenue will increase. At least against the risk of dryness, livestock offer a good substitute for crops.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Seo, Sungno Niggol
Mendelsohn, Robert
author_facet Seo, Sungno Niggol
Mendelsohn, Robert
author_sort Seo, Sungno Niggol
title Climate Change Impacts on Animal Husbandry in Africa : A Ricardian Analysis
title_short Climate Change Impacts on Animal Husbandry in Africa : A Ricardian Analysis
title_full Climate Change Impacts on Animal Husbandry in Africa : A Ricardian Analysis
title_fullStr Climate Change Impacts on Animal Husbandry in Africa : A Ricardian Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Climate Change Impacts on Animal Husbandry in Africa : A Ricardian Analysis
title_sort climate change impacts on animal husbandry in africa : a ricardian analysis
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7745606/climate-change-impacts-animal-husbandry-africa-ricardian-analysis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7423
_version_ 1764402027823104000