Nigeria's Growth Record : Dutch Disease or Debt Overhang?

Nigeria's oil boom has not brought an end to perennial stagnation in the non-oil economy. Is this the unavoidable consequence of the resource boom or have misguided policies contributed? This paper indicates that the extreme volatility of expe...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Budina, Nina, Pang, Gaobo, van Wijnbergen, Sweder
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7726727/nigerias-growth-record-dutch-disease-or-debt-overhang
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7418
Description
Summary:Nigeria's oil boom has not brought an end to perennial stagnation in the non-oil economy. Is this the unavoidable consequence of the resource boom or have misguided policies contributed? This paper indicates that the extreme volatility of expenditure rather than Dutch Disease effects are behind the disappointing non-oil growth record. Fiscal policies failed to smooth highly volatile oil income; on the contrary government expenditure was more volatile than oil income. The authors provide econometric evidence showing that volatility of expenditure was increased by debt overhang problems. Moreover, they also find evidence of voracity effects that exacerbated expenditure volatility prior to 1984.