Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 Emissions : Near-term Reductions and Intensity-based Targets
This study analyzes CO2 emissions reduction targets for various countries and geopolitical regions by the year 2030 in order to stabilize atmospheric concentrations of CO2 at the level of 450 ppm (550 ppm including non CO2 greenhouse gases). It als...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/09/8290686/atmospheric-stabilization-co2-emissions-near-term-reductions-intensity-based-targets http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7300 |
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okr-10986-73002021-04-23T14:02:34Z Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 Emissions : Near-term Reductions and Intensity-based Targets Timilsina, Govinda R. ABSOLUTE EMISSION REDUCTION AIR EMISSIONS ANTHROPOGENIC INTERFERENCE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATIONS CEMENT CENTRAL ASIAN CLEAN AIR CLEAN ENERGY CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION POLICIES CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY CLIMATE POLICY CLIMATE SYSTEM CO2 CO2 EMISSIONS COAL EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT EMISSION EMISSION INTENSITIES EMISSION INTENSITY EMISSION LEVEL EMISSION LEVELS EMISSION PATHS EMISSION REDUCTION EMISSION REDUCTION TARGET EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSION TARGETS EMISSIONS FROM ENERGY EMISSIONS REDUCTION EMISSIONS REDUCTION TARGETS EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY INTENSITY ENERGY INTENSIVE ENERGY POLICY ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY FORESTRY FOSSIL FOSSIL FUELS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE FUEL FUEL SUBSTITUTION GAS DATA GAS FLARING GDP GHGS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL EMISSION GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GLOBAL WARMING POTENTIAL GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GASES HEAVY RELIANCE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY IPCC KYOTO PROTOCOL LAND USE NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCES NEGOTIATIONS OIL POWER SINK SOUTH AMERICA SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT WORLD ENERGY WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK This study analyzes CO2 emissions reduction targets for various countries and geopolitical regions by the year 2030 in order to stabilize atmospheric concentrations of CO2 at the level of 450 ppm (550 ppm including non CO2 greenhouse gases). It also determines CO2 intensity cuts that would be needed in those countries and regions if the emission reductions were achieved through intensity-based targets while assuming no effect on forecasted economic growth. Considering that the stabilization of CO2 concentrations at 450 ppm requires the global trend of CO2 emissions to reverse before 2030, this study develops two scenarios: reversing the global CO2 trend in (i) 2020 and (ii) 2025. The study shows that global CO2 emissions would be 42 percent above the 1990 level in 2030 if the increasing trend of global CO2 emissions is reversed by 2020. If reversing the trend is delayed by 5 years, the 2030 global CO2 emissions would be 52 percent higher than the 1990 level. The study also finds that to achieve these targets while maintaining assumed economic growth, the global average CO2 intensity would require a 68 percent drop from the 1990 level or a 60 percent drop from the 2004 level by 2030. 2012-06-06T18:43:08Z 2012-06-06T18:43:08Z 2007-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/09/8290686/atmospheric-stabilization-co2-emissions-near-term-reductions-intensity-based-targets http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7300 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4352 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
ABSOLUTE EMISSION REDUCTION AIR EMISSIONS ANTHROPOGENIC INTERFERENCE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATIONS CEMENT CENTRAL ASIAN CLEAN AIR CLEAN ENERGY CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION POLICIES CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY CLIMATE POLICY CLIMATE SYSTEM CO2 CO2 EMISSIONS COAL EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT EMISSION EMISSION INTENSITIES EMISSION INTENSITY EMISSION LEVEL EMISSION LEVELS EMISSION PATHS EMISSION REDUCTION EMISSION REDUCTION TARGET EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSION TARGETS EMISSIONS FROM ENERGY EMISSIONS REDUCTION EMISSIONS REDUCTION TARGETS EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY INTENSITY ENERGY INTENSIVE ENERGY POLICY ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY FORESTRY FOSSIL FOSSIL FUELS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE FUEL FUEL SUBSTITUTION GAS DATA GAS FLARING GDP GHGS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL EMISSION GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GLOBAL WARMING POTENTIAL GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GASES HEAVY RELIANCE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY IPCC KYOTO PROTOCOL LAND USE NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCES NEGOTIATIONS OIL POWER SINK SOUTH AMERICA SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT WORLD ENERGY WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK |
| spellingShingle |
ABSOLUTE EMISSION REDUCTION AIR EMISSIONS ANTHROPOGENIC INTERFERENCE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATIONS CEMENT CENTRAL ASIAN CLEAN AIR CLEAN ENERGY CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION POLICIES CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY CLIMATE POLICY CLIMATE SYSTEM CO2 CO2 EMISSIONS COAL EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT EMISSION EMISSION INTENSITIES EMISSION INTENSITY EMISSION LEVEL EMISSION LEVELS EMISSION PATHS EMISSION REDUCTION EMISSION REDUCTION TARGET EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSION TARGETS EMISSIONS FROM ENERGY EMISSIONS REDUCTION EMISSIONS REDUCTION TARGETS EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY INTENSITY ENERGY INTENSIVE ENERGY POLICY ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY FORESTRY FOSSIL FOSSIL FUELS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE FUEL FUEL SUBSTITUTION GAS DATA GAS FLARING GDP GHGS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL EMISSION GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GLOBAL WARMING POTENTIAL GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GASES HEAVY RELIANCE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY IPCC KYOTO PROTOCOL LAND USE NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCES NEGOTIATIONS OIL POWER SINK SOUTH AMERICA SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT WORLD ENERGY WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK Timilsina, Govinda R. Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 Emissions : Near-term Reductions and Intensity-based Targets |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4352 |
| description |
This study analyzes CO2 emissions
reduction targets for various countries and geopolitical
regions by the year 2030 in order to stabilize atmospheric
concentrations of CO2 at the level of 450 ppm (550 ppm
including non CO2 greenhouse gases). It also determines CO2
intensity cuts that would be needed in those countries and
regions if the emission reductions were achieved through
intensity-based targets while assuming no effect on
forecasted economic growth. Considering that the
stabilization of CO2 concentrations at 450 ppm requires the
global trend of CO2 emissions to reverse before 2030, this
study develops two scenarios: reversing the global CO2 trend
in (i) 2020 and (ii) 2025. The study shows that global CO2
emissions would be 42 percent above the 1990 level in 2030
if the increasing trend of global CO2 emissions is reversed
by 2020. If reversing the trend is delayed by 5 years, the
2030 global CO2 emissions would be 52 percent higher than
the 1990 level. The study also finds that to achieve these
targets while maintaining assumed economic growth, the
global average CO2 intensity would require a 68 percent drop
from the 1990 level or a 60 percent drop from the 2004 level
by 2030. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| author_facet |
Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| author_sort |
Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| title |
Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 Emissions : Near-term Reductions and Intensity-based Targets |
| title_short |
Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 Emissions : Near-term Reductions and Intensity-based Targets |
| title_full |
Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 Emissions : Near-term Reductions and Intensity-based Targets |
| title_fullStr |
Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 Emissions : Near-term Reductions and Intensity-based Targets |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 Emissions : Near-term Reductions and Intensity-based Targets |
| title_sort |
atmospheric stabilization of co2 emissions : near-term reductions and intensity-based targets |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/09/8290686/atmospheric-stabilization-co2-emissions-near-term-reductions-intensity-based-targets http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7300 |
| _version_ |
1764402314392633344 |