Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea

Telling a policy maker that poverty will increase due to the recent increase in food prices is not very useful; telling the policy makers where the impact is likely to be larger is better, so that measures to cope with the impact of the crisis can...

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Main Authors:	Coulombe, Harold, Wodon, Quentin
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ANTI-POVERTY CALORIC INTAKE CAPITA EXPENDITURE CASE STUDY CHANGE IN POVERTY CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION DATA CULTURAL CHANGE DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH GROUP DIET DISAGGREGATED LEVEL DISTRICT LEVEL ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS ERROR TERM ERROR TERMS ESTIMATES OF POVERTY ESTIMATION OF POVERTY EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FARM WORKERS FARMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD IMPORTS FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SUPPLY GEOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF POVERTY GINI INDEX HEADCOUNT RATIO HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF SHOCKS IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GAINS INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INEQUALITY INEQUALITY MEASURES LEVEL OF POVERTY MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY HEADCOUNT NEGATIVE EFFECT NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS PARAMETER ESTIMATES PER CAPITA EXPENDITURE POINT ESTIMATE POLICY INTERVENTIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR AREAS POOR HOUSEHOLDS POPULATION SIZE POPULATION SUBGROUPS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY GAP POVERTY GAP INDEX POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY MAP POVERTY MAPPING POVERTY MAPPING EXERCISE POVERTY MAPPING INITIATIVE POVERTY MAPPING METHODOLOGY POVERTY MAPS POVERTY MEASURE POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY PROFILE POVERTY PROFILES POVERTY PROGRAMS POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY SEVERITY PRO-POOR PROGRESS PUBLIC POLICY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL POOR RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SAFETY NET PROGRAMS SAFETY NETS SIMULATIONS SOCIAL ASSISTANCE SOCIAL PROTECTION SQUARED POVERTY GAP SQUARED POVERTY GAP INDEX STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD ERRORS SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TARGETING TRANSITION COUNTRIES URBAN AREAS URBAN POOR URBAN POVERTY VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX VILLAGE LEVEL WELFARE INDICATORS
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9900976/assessing-geographic-impact-higher-food-prices-guinea http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6943

id	okr-10986-6943
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-69432021-04-23T14:02:32Z Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea Coulombe, Harold Wodon, Quentin AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ANTI-POVERTY CALORIC INTAKE CAPITA EXPENDITURE CASE STUDY CHANGE IN POVERTY CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION DATA CULTURAL CHANGE DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH GROUP DIET DISAGGREGATED LEVEL DISTRICT LEVEL ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS ERROR TERM ERROR TERMS ESTIMATES OF POVERTY ESTIMATION OF POVERTY EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FARM WORKERS FARMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD IMPORTS FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SUPPLY GEOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF POVERTY GINI INDEX HEADCOUNT RATIO HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF SHOCKS IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GAINS INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INEQUALITY INEQUALITY MEASURES LEVEL OF POVERTY MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY HEADCOUNT NEGATIVE EFFECT NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS PARAMETER ESTIMATES PER CAPITA EXPENDITURE POINT ESTIMATE POLICY INTERVENTIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR AREAS POOR HOUSEHOLDS POPULATION SIZE POPULATION SUBGROUPS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY GAP POVERTY GAP INDEX POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY MAP POVERTY MAPPING POVERTY MAPPING EXERCISE POVERTY MAPPING INITIATIVE POVERTY MAPPING METHODOLOGY POVERTY MAPS POVERTY MEASURE POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY PROFILE POVERTY PROFILES POVERTY PROGRAMS POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY SEVERITY PRO-POOR PROGRESS PUBLIC POLICY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL POOR RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SAFETY NET PROGRAMS SAFETY NETS SIMULATIONS SOCIAL ASSISTANCE SOCIAL PROTECTION SQUARED POVERTY GAP SQUARED POVERTY GAP INDEX STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD ERRORS SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TARGETING TRANSITION COUNTRIES URBAN AREAS URBAN POOR URBAN POVERTY VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX VILLAGE LEVEL WELFARE INDICATORS Telling a policy maker that poverty will increase due to the recent increase in food prices is not very useful; telling the policy makers where the impact is likely to be larger is better, so that measures to cope with the impact of the crisis can be targeted to areas that need them the most. This paper shows how to use poverty mapping techniques to assess where higher food prices are likely to hurt the most using Guinea census and survey data as a case study. The results suggest that in the case of a rice price increase, the poorest areas of the country will not be the hardest hit, especially if the potential positive impact of higher food prices on rice producers is taken into account, in which case poverty may decline in some of these areas even if for the country as a whole poverty will increase significantly due to the large share of rice in the household consumption budget. 2012-06-01T21:51:49Z 2012-06-01T21:51:49Z 2008-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9900976/assessing-geographic-impact-higher-food-prices-guinea http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6943 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4743 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Guinea
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ANTI-POVERTY CALORIC INTAKE CAPITA EXPENDITURE CASE STUDY CHANGE IN POVERTY CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION DATA CULTURAL CHANGE DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH GROUP DIET DISAGGREGATED LEVEL DISTRICT LEVEL ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS ERROR TERM ERROR TERMS ESTIMATES OF POVERTY ESTIMATION OF POVERTY EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FARM WORKERS FARMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD IMPORTS FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SUPPLY GEOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF POVERTY GINI INDEX HEADCOUNT RATIO HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF SHOCKS IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GAINS INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INEQUALITY INEQUALITY MEASURES LEVEL OF POVERTY MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY HEADCOUNT NEGATIVE EFFECT NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS PARAMETER ESTIMATES PER CAPITA EXPENDITURE POINT ESTIMATE POLICY INTERVENTIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR AREAS POOR HOUSEHOLDS POPULATION SIZE POPULATION SUBGROUPS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY GAP POVERTY GAP INDEX POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY MAP POVERTY MAPPING POVERTY MAPPING EXERCISE POVERTY MAPPING INITIATIVE POVERTY MAPPING METHODOLOGY POVERTY MAPS POVERTY MEASURE POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY PROFILE POVERTY PROFILES POVERTY PROGRAMS POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY SEVERITY PRO-POOR PROGRESS PUBLIC POLICY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL POOR RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SAFETY NET PROGRAMS SAFETY NETS SIMULATIONS SOCIAL ASSISTANCE SOCIAL PROTECTION SQUARED POVERTY GAP SQUARED POVERTY GAP INDEX STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD ERRORS SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TARGETING TRANSITION COUNTRIES URBAN AREAS URBAN POOR URBAN POVERTY VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX VILLAGE LEVEL WELFARE INDICATORS
spellingShingle	AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ANTI-POVERTY CALORIC INTAKE CAPITA EXPENDITURE CASE STUDY CHANGE IN POVERTY CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION DATA CULTURAL CHANGE DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH GROUP DIET DISAGGREGATED LEVEL DISTRICT LEVEL ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS ERROR TERM ERROR TERMS ESTIMATES OF POVERTY ESTIMATION OF POVERTY EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FARM WORKERS FARMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD IMPORTS FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SUPPLY GEOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF POVERTY GINI INDEX HEADCOUNT RATIO HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF SHOCKS IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GAINS INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INEQUALITY INEQUALITY MEASURES LEVEL OF POVERTY MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY HEADCOUNT NEGATIVE EFFECT NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS PARAMETER ESTIMATES PER CAPITA EXPENDITURE POINT ESTIMATE POLICY INTERVENTIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR AREAS POOR HOUSEHOLDS POPULATION SIZE POPULATION SUBGROUPS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY GAP POVERTY GAP INDEX POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY MAP POVERTY MAPPING POVERTY MAPPING EXERCISE POVERTY MAPPING INITIATIVE POVERTY MAPPING METHODOLOGY POVERTY MAPS POVERTY MEASURE POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY PROFILE POVERTY PROFILES POVERTY PROGRAMS POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY SEVERITY PRO-POOR PROGRESS PUBLIC POLICY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL POOR RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SAFETY NET PROGRAMS SAFETY NETS SIMULATIONS SOCIAL ASSISTANCE SOCIAL PROTECTION SQUARED POVERTY GAP SQUARED POVERTY GAP INDEX STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD ERRORS SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA TARGETING TRANSITION COUNTRIES URBAN AREAS URBAN POOR URBAN POVERTY VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX VILLAGE LEVEL WELFARE INDICATORS Coulombe, Harold Wodon, Quentin Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea
geographic_facet	Africa Guinea
relation	Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4743
description	Telling a policy maker that poverty will increase due to the recent increase in food prices is not very useful; telling the policy makers where the impact is likely to be larger is better, so that measures to cope with the impact of the crisis can be targeted to areas that need them the most. This paper shows how to use poverty mapping techniques to assess where higher food prices are likely to hurt the most using Guinea census and survey data as a case study. The results suggest that in the case of a rice price increase, the poorest areas of the country will not be the hardest hit, especially if the potential positive impact of higher food prices on rice producers is taken into account, in which case poverty may decline in some of these areas even if for the country as a whole poverty will increase significantly due to the large share of rice in the household consumption budget.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Coulombe, Harold Wodon, Quentin
author_facet	Coulombe, Harold Wodon, Quentin
author_sort	Coulombe, Harold
title	Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea
title_short	Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea
title_full	Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea
title_fullStr	Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea
title_full_unstemmed	Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea
title_sort	assessing the geographic impact of higher food prices in guinea
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2012
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9900976/assessing-geographic-impact-higher-food-prices-guinea http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6943
_version_	1764401387332960256

Assessing the Geographic Impact of Higher Food Prices in Guinea

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