Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali

Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from...

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Main Authors:	Joseph, George, Wodon, Quentin
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	ABSOLUTE TERMS AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL WAGE AGRICULTURE AVERAGE INCOME BREAD BULLETIN CEREAL PRICES CEREALS COMPENSATORY MEASURES CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CORN COST OF FOOD CULTURAL CHANGE DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DIET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EXCHANGE RATE FARMERS FOOD CONSUMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD CROPS FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRICING FOOD PRODUCERS FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUBSIDIES FOODS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASE POVERTY INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MAIZE MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL LEVEL NATIONAL POVERTY NEGATIVE EFFECT NEGATIVE IMPACT NET INCOME NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS PATTERNS OF CONSUMPTION POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR BENEFIT POOR HOUSEHOLD POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PRODUCERS POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY GAP POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INCREASES POVERTY LINE POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY POVERTY POVERTY REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRODUCTION SIDE PROGRESS REDUCTION IN POVERTY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL HEADCOUNT RURAL HEADCOUNT INDEX RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SHORT-TERM IMPACT SQUARED POVERTY GAP SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA URBAN AREAS URBAN DWELLERS VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS WHEAT
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9902947/assessing-potential-impact-poverty-rising-cereals-prices-case-mali http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6928

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recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-69282021-04-23T14:02:32Z Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali Joseph, George Wodon, Quentin ABSOLUTE TERMS AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL WAGE AGRICULTURE AVERAGE INCOME BREAD BULLETIN CEREAL PRICES CEREALS COMPENSATORY MEASURES CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CORN COST OF FOOD CULTURAL CHANGE DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DIET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EXCHANGE RATE FARMERS FOOD CONSUMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD CROPS FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRICING FOOD PRODUCERS FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUBSIDIES FOODS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASE POVERTY INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MAIZE MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL LEVEL NATIONAL POVERTY NEGATIVE EFFECT NEGATIVE IMPACT NET INCOME NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS PATTERNS OF CONSUMPTION POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR BENEFIT POOR HOUSEHOLD POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PRODUCERS POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY GAP POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INCREASES POVERTY LINE POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY POVERTY POVERTY REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRODUCTION SIDE PROGRESS REDUCTION IN POVERTY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL HEADCOUNT RURAL HEADCOUNT INDEX RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SHORT-TERM IMPACT SQUARED POVERTY GAP SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA URBAN AREAS URBAN DWELLERS VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS WHEAT Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from an increase in prices) and food consumers (who loose out when the price increases), with a focus on poor producers and consumers. In Mali the impact of a change in the price of rice is not ambiguous because about half of the rice consumed in the country is imported, so that the negative impact for consumers is much larger than the positive impact for producers. By contrast, for millet and sorghum, as well as corn, the impact is more ambiguous since much of the consumption is locally produced. Using a recent and comprehensive household survey, this paper provides an assessment of the potential impact of higher food prices on the poor in Mali using both simple statistical analysis and non-parametric methods. The paper finds that rising food prices for rice, millet and sorghum, corn, as well as wheat and bread could together lead to a substantial increase in poverty, with the increase in the price of rice having by far the largest negative impact. 2012-06-01T20:30:39Z 2012-06-01T20:30:39Z 2008-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9902947/assessing-potential-impact-poverty-rising-cereals-prices-case-mali http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6928 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4744 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Mali
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	ABSOLUTE TERMS AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL WAGE AGRICULTURE AVERAGE INCOME BREAD BULLETIN CEREAL PRICES CEREALS COMPENSATORY MEASURES CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CORN COST OF FOOD CULTURAL CHANGE DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DIET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EXCHANGE RATE FARMERS FOOD CONSUMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD CROPS FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRICING FOOD PRODUCERS FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUBSIDIES FOODS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASE POVERTY INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MAIZE MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL LEVEL NATIONAL POVERTY NEGATIVE EFFECT NEGATIVE IMPACT NET INCOME NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS PATTERNS OF CONSUMPTION POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR BENEFIT POOR HOUSEHOLD POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PRODUCERS POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY GAP POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INCREASES POVERTY LINE POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY POVERTY POVERTY REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRODUCTION SIDE PROGRESS REDUCTION IN POVERTY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL HEADCOUNT RURAL HEADCOUNT INDEX RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SHORT-TERM IMPACT SQUARED POVERTY GAP SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA URBAN AREAS URBAN DWELLERS VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS WHEAT
spellingShingle	ABSOLUTE TERMS AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL WAGE AGRICULTURE AVERAGE INCOME BREAD BULLETIN CEREAL PRICES CEREALS COMPENSATORY MEASURES CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CORN COST OF FOOD CULTURAL CHANGE DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DIET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EXCHANGE RATE FARMERS FOOD CONSUMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD CROPS FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRICING FOOD PRODUCERS FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUBSIDIES FOODS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASE POVERTY INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MAIZE MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL LEVEL NATIONAL POVERTY NEGATIVE EFFECT NEGATIVE IMPACT NET INCOME NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS PATTERNS OF CONSUMPTION POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR BENEFIT POOR HOUSEHOLD POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PRODUCERS POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY GAP POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INCREASES POVERTY LINE POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY POVERTY POVERTY REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRODUCTION SIDE PROGRESS REDUCTION IN POVERTY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL HEADCOUNT RURAL HEADCOUNT INDEX RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SHORT-TERM IMPACT SQUARED POVERTY GAP SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA URBAN AREAS URBAN DWELLERS VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS WHEAT Joseph, George Wodon, Quentin Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali
geographic_facet	Africa Mali
relation	Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4744
description	Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from an increase in prices) and food consumers (who loose out when the price increases), with a focus on poor producers and consumers. In Mali the impact of a change in the price of rice is not ambiguous because about half of the rice consumed in the country is imported, so that the negative impact for consumers is much larger than the positive impact for producers. By contrast, for millet and sorghum, as well as corn, the impact is more ambiguous since much of the consumption is locally produced. Using a recent and comprehensive household survey, this paper provides an assessment of the potential impact of higher food prices on the poor in Mali using both simple statistical analysis and non-parametric methods. The paper finds that rising food prices for rice, millet and sorghum, corn, as well as wheat and bread could together lead to a substantial increase in poverty, with the increase in the price of rice having by far the largest negative impact.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Joseph, George Wodon, Quentin
author_facet	Joseph, George Wodon, Quentin
author_sort	Joseph, George
title	Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali
title_short	Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali
title_full	Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali
title_fullStr	Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali
title_full_unstemmed	Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali
title_sort	assessing the potential impact on poverty of rising cereals prices : the case of mali
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2012
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9902947/assessing-potential-impact-poverty-rising-cereals-prices-case-mali http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6928
_version_	1764401335404331008

Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali

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