Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali

Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Joseph, George, Wodon, Quentin
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	ABSOLUTE TERMS AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL WAGE AGRICULTURE AVERAGE INCOME BREAD BULLETIN CEREAL PRICES CEREALS COMPENSATORY MEASURES CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CORN COST OF FOOD CULTURAL CHANGE DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DIET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EXCHANGE RATE FARMERS FOOD CONSUMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD CROPS FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRICING FOOD PRODUCERS FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUBSIDIES FOODS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASE POVERTY INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MAIZE MEDIUM TERM NATIONAL LEVEL NATIONAL POVERTY NEGATIVE EFFECT NEGATIVE IMPACT NET INCOME NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS PATTERNS OF CONSUMPTION POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR BENEFIT POOR HOUSEHOLD POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PRODUCERS POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY GAP POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INCREASES POVERTY LINE POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY POVERTY POVERTY REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRODUCTION SIDE PROGRESS REDUCTION IN POVERTY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL HEADCOUNT RURAL HEADCOUNT INDEX RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SHORT-TERM IMPACT SQUARED POVERTY GAP SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA URBAN AREAS URBAN DWELLERS VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS WHEAT
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9902947/assessing-potential-impact-poverty-rising-cereals-prices-case-mali http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6928

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Summary:	Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from an increase in prices) and food consumers (who loose out when the price increases), with a focus on poor producers and consumers. In Mali the impact of a change in the price of rice is not ambiguous because about half of the rice consumed in the country is imported, so that the negative impact for consumers is much larger than the positive impact for producers. By contrast, for millet and sorghum, as well as corn, the impact is more ambiguous since much of the consumption is locally produced. Using a recent and comprehensive household survey, this paper provides an assessment of the potential impact of higher food prices on the poor in Mali using both simple statistical analysis and non-parametric methods. The paper finds that rising food prices for rice, millet and sorghum, corn, as well as wheat and bread could together lead to a substantial increase in poverty, with the increase in the price of rice having by far the largest negative impact.

Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Mali

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