Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease : Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects, The Case of Equatorial Guinea

Referring to the original context of Dutch Disease, the term refers to the fears of de-industrialization that gripped the Netherlands as a result of the appreciation of the Dutch currency that followed the discovery of natural gas deposits. Expansi...

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Main Author: Toto Same, Achille
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9362493/mineral-rich-countries-dutch-disease-understanding-macroeconomic-implications-windfalls-development-prospects-the-case-equatorial-guinea
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6747
id okr-10986-6747
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABSORPTIVE CAPACITY
ACCOUNTABILITY
ACCOUNTING
ADMINISTRATIVE FEES
ADVERSE CONSEQUENCE
ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES
ADVERSE IMPACT
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL EXPENSES
APPROVAL PROCEDURE
ASSET MANAGEMENT
AUDITING
AUDITS
BANK ACCOUNTS
BANK OF CENTRAL AFRICAN STATES
BANK POLICY
BUDGET DEFICIT
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRIES
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL MARKETS
CASH MANAGEMENT
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRALIZATION
CHECKS
COMMERCIAL BANK
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITIES
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
COMPREHENSIVE DEVELOPMENT
CONTINGENCY
CONTRIBUTION
CREDITS
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT EXPENDITURES
DEBT
DEBT BURDENS
DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC INFLATION
DURABLE
DUTCH DISEASE
ECONOMETRIC EVIDENCE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC STRUCTURE
ECONOMICS RESEARCH
EMPLOYMENT
EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURE RESTRAINT
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT EARNINGS
EXPORT REVENUES
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
FAVORABLE TERMS
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL MANAGEMENT
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL POSITION
FISCAL SURPLUS
FORECASTS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EARNING
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EARNINGS
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN RESERVES
FORMAL EDUCATION
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GOVERNANCE ISSUES
GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS REVENUES
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RESOURCE
ILLITERACY
IMBALANCE
IMPORT
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME FLOWS
INCOME TAX
INCOMES
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INFLATION
INFLATION DIFFERENTIAL
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INSTRUMENT
INTERNATIONAL AUDITING STANDARDS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INVESTING
INVESTMENT ACCOUNTS
INVESTMENT PROGRAM
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LEVEL OF COMMITMENTS
LIQUIDITY
LOW-INCOME
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMIC RISKS
MARKET PRICES
MOBILIZATION OF RESOURCES
MODEL CONTRACTS
MONETARY FUND
NATIONAL SAVINGS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
OIL BOOM
OIL EXPORT
OIL EXPORTER
OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES
OIL EXPORTS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OIL PRODUCING COUNTRIES
OIL RESOURCE
OIL RESOURCES
OIL REVENUE
OIL REVENUES
OIL-EXPORTING COUNTRIES
PAYMENT OBLIGATIONS
PAYMENT ORDER
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL STABILITY
POOR GROWTH PERFORMANCE
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRIMARY COMMODITIES
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRIVATE HOUSING
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRODUCTION INPUTS
PRODUCTIVITY
PROFIT SHARING
PROFITABILITY
PUBLIC AGENCIES
PUBLIC ENTERPRISES
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCE LAW
PUBLIC FINANCES
PUBLIC FUNDS
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SERVICES
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE APPRECIATION
REAL GDP
REAL SECTOR
RECURRENT COST
RECURRENT EXPENDITURE
RENTS
RESERVE
RESERVE FUND
RESERVES
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
RESOURCE MOVEMENT EFFECT
RESPONSIBILITIES
RETURN
SALE
SALES
SAVINGS RATE
SECURITIES
SHAREHOLDER
SLOWDOWN
SOURCES OF INCOME
STATE ENTERPRISES
STATUTORY REQUIREMENT
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
SUPERVISORY BOARD
SURPLUSES
TAX
TAX OBLIGATION
TAX REVENUES
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TOTAL EXPORTS
TOTAL REVENUE
TRADE SECTORS
TRADING
TRADING PARTNER
TRADING SYSTEM
TRANSPARENCY
TREASURY
TREASURY INVESTMENT
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATOR
WORLD MARKET
spellingShingle ABSORPTIVE CAPACITY
ACCOUNTABILITY
ACCOUNTING
ADMINISTRATIVE FEES
ADVERSE CONSEQUENCE
ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES
ADVERSE IMPACT
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL EXPENSES
APPROVAL PROCEDURE
ASSET MANAGEMENT
AUDITING
AUDITS
BANK ACCOUNTS
BANK OF CENTRAL AFRICAN STATES
BANK POLICY
BUDGET DEFICIT
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRIES
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL MARKETS
CASH MANAGEMENT
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRALIZATION
CHECKS
COMMERCIAL BANK
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITIES
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
COMPREHENSIVE DEVELOPMENT
CONTINGENCY
CONTRIBUTION
CREDITS
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT EXPENDITURES
DEBT
DEBT BURDENS
DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC INFLATION
DURABLE
DUTCH DISEASE
ECONOMETRIC EVIDENCE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC STRUCTURE
ECONOMICS RESEARCH
EMPLOYMENT
EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURE RESTRAINT
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT EARNINGS
EXPORT REVENUES
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
FAVORABLE TERMS
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL MANAGEMENT
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL POSITION
FISCAL SURPLUS
FORECASTS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EARNING
FOREIGN EXCHANGE EARNINGS
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN RESERVES
FORMAL EDUCATION
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GOVERNANCE ISSUES
GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS REVENUES
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RESOURCE
ILLITERACY
IMBALANCE
IMPORT
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME FLOWS
INCOME TAX
INCOMES
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INFLATION
INFLATION DIFFERENTIAL
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INSTRUMENT
INTERNATIONAL AUDITING STANDARDS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INVESTING
INVESTMENT ACCOUNTS
INVESTMENT PROGRAM
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LEVEL OF COMMITMENTS
LIQUIDITY
LOW-INCOME
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMIC RISKS
MARKET PRICES
MOBILIZATION OF RESOURCES
MODEL CONTRACTS
MONETARY FUND
NATIONAL SAVINGS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
OIL BOOM
OIL EXPORT
OIL EXPORTER
OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES
OIL EXPORTS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OIL PRODUCING COUNTRIES
OIL RESOURCE
OIL RESOURCES
OIL REVENUE
OIL REVENUES
OIL-EXPORTING COUNTRIES
PAYMENT OBLIGATIONS
PAYMENT ORDER
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL STABILITY
POOR GROWTH PERFORMANCE
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRIMARY COMMODITIES
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRIVATE HOUSING
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRODUCTION INPUTS
PRODUCTIVITY
PROFIT SHARING
PROFITABILITY
PUBLIC AGENCIES
PUBLIC ENTERPRISES
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCE LAW
PUBLIC FINANCES
PUBLIC FUNDS
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SERVICES
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE APPRECIATION
REAL GDP
REAL SECTOR
RECURRENT COST
RECURRENT EXPENDITURE
RENTS
RESERVE
RESERVE FUND
RESERVES
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
RESOURCE MOVEMENT EFFECT
RESPONSIBILITIES
RETURN
SALE
SALES
SAVINGS RATE
SECURITIES
SHAREHOLDER
SLOWDOWN
SOURCES OF INCOME
STATE ENTERPRISES
STATUTORY REQUIREMENT
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
SUPERVISORY BOARD
SURPLUSES
TAX
TAX OBLIGATION
TAX REVENUES
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TOTAL EXPORTS
TOTAL REVENUE
TRADE SECTORS
TRADING
TRADING PARTNER
TRADING SYSTEM
TRANSPARENCY
TREASURY
TREASURY INVESTMENT
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATOR
WORLD MARKET
Toto Same, Achille
Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease : Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects, The Case of Equatorial Guinea
geographic_facet Africa
Equatorial Guinea
relation Policy Research Working Paper No. 4595
description Referring to the original context of Dutch Disease, the term refers to the fears of de-industrialization that gripped the Netherlands as a result of the appreciation of the Dutch currency that followed the discovery of natural gas deposits. Expansion of petroleum exports in the 1960s not only crowded out other exports, it actually reduced other exports disproportionately and fueled the fears of dire consequences for Dutch manufacturing. In the case of Equatorial Guinea, the secondary sector represents about 2 percent of the gross domestic product, manufacturing represents less than 1 percent, and oil represents more than 95 percent. The negative impact of the Dutch Disease in this context would be limited given the structure of the economy and on the contrary may even be a good thing because it fuels the structural transformational process of the economy, which is needed in Equatorial Guinea. This paper argues that the ongoing Dutch Disease is a natural and necessary reallocation of resources in the economy of Equatorial Guinea. The magnitude of negative macroeconomic consequences of the Dutch Disease depends on the country's economic structure and stage of development. In a country where the manufacturing sector barely exists or where the non-oil primary sector is structurally deficient, as has been the case of Equatorial Guinea, there is little to fear about the disease. The oil boom is a blessing, given that oil revenues when properly managed can play a special and critical role in overall economic development and poverty reduction in low-income countries. To promote good governance in the management of the country's oil wealth, the government may wish to adhere to clear standards of accountability and transparency; especially by complying with the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI++).
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Toto Same, Achille
author_facet Toto Same, Achille
author_sort Toto Same, Achille
title Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease : Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects, The Case of Equatorial Guinea
title_short Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease : Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects, The Case of Equatorial Guinea
title_full Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease : Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects, The Case of Equatorial Guinea
title_fullStr Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease : Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects, The Case of Equatorial Guinea
title_full_unstemmed Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease : Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects, The Case of Equatorial Guinea
title_sort mineral-rich countries and dutch disease : understanding the macroeconomic implications of windfalls and the development prospects, the case of equatorial guinea
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9362493/mineral-rich-countries-dutch-disease-understanding-macroeconomic-implications-windfalls-development-prospects-the-case-equatorial-guinea
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6747
_version_ 1764400795736866816
spelling okr-10986-67472021-04-23T14:02:31Z Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease : Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects, The Case of Equatorial Guinea Toto Same, Achille ABSORPTIVE CAPACITY ACCOUNTABILITY ACCOUNTING ADMINISTRATIVE FEES ADVERSE CONSEQUENCE ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES ADVERSE IMPACT AGRICULTURE ANNUAL EXPENSES APPROVAL PROCEDURE ASSET MANAGEMENT AUDITING AUDITS BANK ACCOUNTS BANK OF CENTRAL AFRICAN STATES BANK POLICY BUDGET DEFICIT CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL EXPENDITURE CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRIES CAPITAL INVESTMENT CAPITAL MARKETS CASH MANAGEMENT CENTRAL BANK CENTRALIZATION CHECKS COMMERCIAL BANK COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMODITIES COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPETITIVENESS COMPREHENSIVE DEVELOPMENT CONTINGENCY CONTRIBUTION CREDITS CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT CURRENT EXPENDITURES DEBT DEBT BURDENS DEPOSIT DEPOSITS DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY DOMESTIC CURRENCY DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC INFLATION DURABLE DUTCH DISEASE ECONOMETRIC EVIDENCE ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMIC STRUCTURE ECONOMICS RESEARCH EMPLOYMENT EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURE RESTRAINT EXPENDITURES EXPORT EARNINGS EXPORT REVENUES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXPORTS FAVORABLE TERMS FINANCIAL ASSETS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS FISCAL BALANCE FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL MANAGEMENT FISCAL POLICY FISCAL POSITION FISCAL SURPLUS FORECASTS FOREIGN ASSETS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE EARNING FOREIGN EXCHANGE EARNINGS FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN RESERVES FORMAL EDUCATION GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL ECONOMY GOVERNANCE ISSUES GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GOVERNMENT REVENUE GOVERNMENT REVENUES GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS REVENUES HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT HUMAN RESOURCE ILLITERACY IMBALANCE IMPORT IMPORTS INCOME INCOME FLOWS INCOME TAX INCOMES INDUSTRIALIZATION INFLATION INFLATION DIFFERENTIAL INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INSTRUMENT INTERNATIONAL AUDITING STANDARDS INTERNATIONAL BANK INVESTING INVESTMENT ACCOUNTS INVESTMENT PROGRAM INVESTMENT PROJECTS LEGAL FRAMEWORK LEVEL OF COMMITMENTS LIQUIDITY LOW-INCOME LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACROECONOMIC RISKS MARKET PRICES MOBILIZATION OF RESOURCES MODEL CONTRACTS MONETARY FUND NATIONAL SAVINGS NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES OIL BOOM OIL EXPORT OIL EXPORTER OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES OIL EXPORTS OIL PRICE OIL PRICES OIL PRODUCING COUNTRIES OIL RESOURCE OIL RESOURCES OIL REVENUE OIL REVENUES OIL-EXPORTING COUNTRIES PAYMENT OBLIGATIONS PAYMENT ORDER POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL STABILITY POOR GROWTH PERFORMANCE POVERTY REDUCTION PRIMARY COMMODITIES PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRIVATE HOUSING PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRODUCTION INPUTS PRODUCTIVITY PROFIT SHARING PROFITABILITY PUBLIC AGENCIES PUBLIC ENTERPRISES PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC FINANCE PUBLIC FINANCE LAW PUBLIC FINANCES PUBLIC FUNDS PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC SERVICES REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATE APPRECIATION REAL GDP REAL SECTOR RECURRENT COST RECURRENT EXPENDITURE RENTS RESERVE RESERVE FUND RESERVES RESOURCE ALLOCATION RESOURCE MOVEMENT EFFECT RESPONSIBILITIES RETURN SALE SALES SAVINGS RATE SECURITIES SHAREHOLDER SLOWDOWN SOURCES OF INCOME STATE ENTERPRISES STATUTORY REQUIREMENT STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT SUPERVISORY BOARD SURPLUSES TAX TAX OBLIGATION TAX REVENUES TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TOTAL EXPORTS TOTAL REVENUE TRADE SECTORS TRADING TRADING PARTNER TRADING SYSTEM TRANSPARENCY TREASURY TREASURY INVESTMENT WEALTH WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATOR WORLD MARKET Referring to the original context of Dutch Disease, the term refers to the fears of de-industrialization that gripped the Netherlands as a result of the appreciation of the Dutch currency that followed the discovery of natural gas deposits. Expansion of petroleum exports in the 1960s not only crowded out other exports, it actually reduced other exports disproportionately and fueled the fears of dire consequences for Dutch manufacturing. In the case of Equatorial Guinea, the secondary sector represents about 2 percent of the gross domestic product, manufacturing represents less than 1 percent, and oil represents more than 95 percent. The negative impact of the Dutch Disease in this context would be limited given the structure of the economy and on the contrary may even be a good thing because it fuels the structural transformational process of the economy, which is needed in Equatorial Guinea. This paper argues that the ongoing Dutch Disease is a natural and necessary reallocation of resources in the economy of Equatorial Guinea. The magnitude of negative macroeconomic consequences of the Dutch Disease depends on the country's economic structure and stage of development. In a country where the manufacturing sector barely exists or where the non-oil primary sector is structurally deficient, as has been the case of Equatorial Guinea, there is little to fear about the disease. The oil boom is a blessing, given that oil revenues when properly managed can play a special and critical role in overall economic development and poverty reduction in low-income countries. To promote good governance in the management of the country's oil wealth, the government may wish to adhere to clear standards of accountability and transparency; especially by complying with the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI++). 2012-05-31T15:35:33Z 2012-05-31T15:35:33Z 2008-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9362493/mineral-rich-countries-dutch-disease-understanding-macroeconomic-implications-windfalls-development-prospects-the-case-equatorial-guinea http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6747 English Policy Research Working Paper No. 4595 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Equatorial Guinea