From Red to Gray : The "Third Transition" of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union

This report focuses on the challenges that the region's aging countries will now face in having to deal with multiple transitions. It argues that their task ahead, though uniquely daunting, is by no means impossible. Indeed, many of the potent...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chawla, Mukesh, Betcherman, Gordon, Banerji, Arup
Other Authors: Bakilana, Anne M.
Format: Publication
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2012
Subjects:
HIV
TV
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/01/8101813/red-gray-third-transition-aging-populations-eastern-europe-former-soviet-union
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6741
id okr-10986-6741
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCESS TO CREDIT
ADDITIONAL SAVINGS
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
AVERAGE WAGE
BANKS
BENEFICIARIES
BIRTH RATES
BUSINESS CLIMATE
CALCULATIONS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CHANGE IN POPULATION
CHANGE IN POPULATION SIZE
CHILD CARE
CHILDBEARING
CHILDREN PER WOMAN
CITIZENS
CONSUMER
CONTRIBUTION
CONTRIBUTION PENSION SCHEMES
CONTRIBUTIONS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT PENSION
DECLINES IN FERTILITY
DEFINED-CONTRIBUTION PENSION
DEMOCRACY
DEMOGRAPHERS
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEMOGRAPHIC PRESSURE
DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE
DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES
DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPOSITS
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DISABILITY
DISSEMINATION
DIVORCE
EARLY RETIREMENT
EARNINGS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC TRANSITION
EDUCATION SYSTEMS
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
ELDERLY
ELDERLY POPULATION
EXISTING POPULATION
FAMILY ALLOWANCES
FAMILY POLICIES
FEMALE LABOR FORCE
FEMALE LIFE EXPECTANCY
FERTILITY
FERTILITY DECLINES
FERTILITY RATE
FERTILITY RATES
FERTILITY TRANSITION
FINANCIAL AFFAIRS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL OPTIONS
FINANCIAL PRODUCTS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FISCAL EFFORT
FISCAL PROBLEMS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
FORCED SAVINGS
FUTURE GROWTH
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS NATIONAL INCOME
HEALTH CARE
HIV
HOUSEHOLD SAVING
HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS
HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS
IMMIGRATION
INCOME
INCOMES
INFLATION
INVESTING
INVESTMENT CLIMATES
JOB OPPORTUNITIES
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCES
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET TRANSITIONS
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR SHORTAGES
LABOR SUPPLY
LARGER FAMILIES
LEGAL STATUS
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
LEVELS OF FERTILITY
LIFE EXPECTANCIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIFE SPAN
LIFELONG LEARNING
LIFETIME
LITERACY
LIVING STANDARDS
LONG-TERM CARE
LONG-TERM CARE POLICY
LONGER LIFE
MARITAL STATUS
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
MARKET ECONOMIES
MARKET ECONOMY
MATERNITY HOSPITALS
MATERNITY LEAVE
MATH
MATHEMATICS
MEDICAL CARE
MIGRANTS
MORTALITY
NATIONAL LEGISLATION
NEW JOBS
NUMBER OF CHILDREN
OLD-AGE
OLDER INDIVIDUALS
OLDER PEOPLE
OLDER WOMEN
OLDER WORKERS
OPPORTUNITIES FOR WOMEN
PARENTAL LEAVE
PENSION
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION FUND
PENSION POLICIES
PENSION POLICY
PENSION REFORM
PENSION REFORMS
PENSION SPENDING
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY MAKERS
POOR POPULATIONS
POOR WOMEN
POPULATION AGE STRUCTURE
POPULATION CHANGE
POPULATION DECLINE
POPULATION DECLINES
POPULATION DECREASES
POPULATION DIVISION
POPULATION ESTIMATES
POPULATION FORECASTING
POPULATION GROWTH
POPULATION GROWTH RATES
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
POPULATION STRUCTURE
POPULATION STRUCTURES
PREGNANT WOMEN
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSIONS
PRIVATE SAVING
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRESS
PROSPERITY
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC HEALTH
PUBLIC HOSPITALS
PUBLIC PENSION
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RAPID GROWTH
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL ESTATE
RELATED COSTS
REMITTANCES
REPLACEMENT LEVEL
REPRODUCTIVE CHOICES
RESEARCH ASSISTANCE
RETIRED
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT AGES
REVERSE MORTGAGES
RISK PROFILES
SAVERS
SAVING BEHAVIOR
SAVINGS
SAVINGS ACCUMULATION
SAVINGS INSTRUMENTS
SCHOOL-AGE POPULATION
SCHOOL-AGE POPULATIONS
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SECURITIES
SIGNIFICANT POLICY
SOCIAL AFFAIRS
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
SOCIAL POLICIES
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIOECONOMIC STATUS
STOCK MARKET
TAX BREAKS
TOTAL SAVINGS
TV
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
WAGE
WAGE GROWTH
WAGES
WOMAN
WORK HOURS
WORKING-AGE POPULATION
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
WORLD POPULATION
YOUNGER COHORTS
YOUNGER PEOPLE
spellingShingle ACCESS TO CREDIT
ADDITIONAL SAVINGS
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
AVERAGE WAGE
BANKS
BENEFICIARIES
BIRTH RATES
BUSINESS CLIMATE
CALCULATIONS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CHANGE IN POPULATION
CHANGE IN POPULATION SIZE
CHILD CARE
CHILDBEARING
CHILDREN PER WOMAN
CITIZENS
CONSUMER
CONTRIBUTION
CONTRIBUTION PENSION SCHEMES
CONTRIBUTIONS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT PENSION
DECLINES IN FERTILITY
DEFINED-CONTRIBUTION PENSION
DEMOCRACY
DEMOGRAPHERS
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEMOGRAPHIC PRESSURE
DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE
DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES
DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPOSITS
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DISABILITY
DISSEMINATION
DIVORCE
EARLY RETIREMENT
EARNINGS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC TRANSITION
EDUCATION SYSTEMS
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
ELDERLY
ELDERLY POPULATION
EXISTING POPULATION
FAMILY ALLOWANCES
FAMILY POLICIES
FEMALE LABOR FORCE
FEMALE LIFE EXPECTANCY
FERTILITY
FERTILITY DECLINES
FERTILITY RATE
FERTILITY RATES
FERTILITY TRANSITION
FINANCIAL AFFAIRS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL OPTIONS
FINANCIAL PRODUCTS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FISCAL EFFORT
FISCAL PROBLEMS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
FORCED SAVINGS
FUTURE GROWTH
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS NATIONAL INCOME
HEALTH CARE
HIV
HOUSEHOLD SAVING
HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS
HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS
IMMIGRATION
INCOME
INCOMES
INFLATION
INVESTING
INVESTMENT CLIMATES
JOB OPPORTUNITIES
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCES
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET TRANSITIONS
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR SHORTAGES
LABOR SUPPLY
LARGER FAMILIES
LEGAL STATUS
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
LEVELS OF FERTILITY
LIFE EXPECTANCIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIFE SPAN
LIFELONG LEARNING
LIFETIME
LITERACY
LIVING STANDARDS
LONG-TERM CARE
LONG-TERM CARE POLICY
LONGER LIFE
MARITAL STATUS
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
MARKET ECONOMIES
MARKET ECONOMY
MATERNITY HOSPITALS
MATERNITY LEAVE
MATH
MATHEMATICS
MEDICAL CARE
MIGRANTS
MORTALITY
NATIONAL LEGISLATION
NEW JOBS
NUMBER OF CHILDREN
OLD-AGE
OLDER INDIVIDUALS
OLDER PEOPLE
OLDER WOMEN
OLDER WORKERS
OPPORTUNITIES FOR WOMEN
PARENTAL LEAVE
PENSION
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION FUND
PENSION POLICIES
PENSION POLICY
PENSION REFORM
PENSION REFORMS
PENSION SPENDING
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY MAKERS
POOR POPULATIONS
POOR WOMEN
POPULATION AGE STRUCTURE
POPULATION CHANGE
POPULATION DECLINE
POPULATION DECLINES
POPULATION DECREASES
POPULATION DIVISION
POPULATION ESTIMATES
POPULATION FORECASTING
POPULATION GROWTH
POPULATION GROWTH RATES
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
POPULATION STRUCTURE
POPULATION STRUCTURES
PREGNANT WOMEN
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSIONS
PRIVATE SAVING
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRESS
PROSPERITY
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC HEALTH
PUBLIC HOSPITALS
PUBLIC PENSION
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RAPID GROWTH
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL ESTATE
RELATED COSTS
REMITTANCES
REPLACEMENT LEVEL
REPRODUCTIVE CHOICES
RESEARCH ASSISTANCE
RETIRED
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT AGES
REVERSE MORTGAGES
RISK PROFILES
SAVERS
SAVING BEHAVIOR
SAVINGS
SAVINGS ACCUMULATION
SAVINGS INSTRUMENTS
SCHOOL-AGE POPULATION
SCHOOL-AGE POPULATIONS
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SECURITIES
SIGNIFICANT POLICY
SOCIAL AFFAIRS
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
SOCIAL POLICIES
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIOECONOMIC STATUS
STOCK MARKET
TAX BREAKS
TOTAL SAVINGS
TV
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
WAGE
WAGE GROWTH
WAGES
WOMAN
WORK HOURS
WORKING-AGE POPULATION
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
WORLD POPULATION
YOUNGER COHORTS
YOUNGER PEOPLE
Chawla, Mukesh
Betcherman, Gordon
Banerji, Arup
From Red to Gray : The "Third Transition" of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
description This report focuses on the challenges that the region's aging countries will now face in having to deal with multiple transitions. It argues that their task ahead, though uniquely daunting, is by no means impossible. Indeed, many of the potential problems can be addressed through sensible and thoughtful policies that can be enacted over the next few years. The only danger likely lies in complacency, in not being proactive in addressing the challenges. This report finds, first, that some of the concerns about aging in Eastern European and Former Soviet countries are probably misplaced. Second, the analysis in the report validates concerns about future fiscal strains in some of the region's aging countries, but finds that many of the drivers of higher future public expenditures are unrelated to aging. This report is particularly focused on the future-a future in the region that is critically dependent on actions that countries and societies take now, and over the next few years. The report sends two central messages, which are analyzed against the different patterns of aging across the region. Red light to green light: Growing older does not have to mean growing slower. Aging is not a stop sign for growth-if countries enact policies that boost productivity and labor force participation. Red ink to black ink: Waging sensible policies can ease aging's spending impact. The policies needed to manage much of the expected jump in public spending-especially the impacts on pensions and on health care-are well known. They need only to be enacted and implemented.
author2 Bakilana, Anne M.
author_facet Bakilana, Anne M.
Chawla, Mukesh
Betcherman, Gordon
Banerji, Arup
format Publications & Research :: Publication
author Chawla, Mukesh
Betcherman, Gordon
Banerji, Arup
author_sort Chawla, Mukesh
title From Red to Gray : The "Third Transition" of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
title_short From Red to Gray : The "Third Transition" of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
title_full From Red to Gray : The "Third Transition" of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
title_fullStr From Red to Gray : The "Third Transition" of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
title_full_unstemmed From Red to Gray : The "Third Transition" of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
title_sort from red to gray : the "third transition" of aging populations in eastern europe and the former soviet union
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/01/8101813/red-gray-third-transition-aging-populations-eastern-europe-former-soviet-union
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6741
_version_ 1764398476716670976
spelling okr-10986-67412021-04-23T14:02:26Z From Red to Gray : The "Third Transition" of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union Chawla, Mukesh Betcherman, Gordon Banerji, Arup Bakilana, Anne M. Feher, Csaba Mertaugh, Michael Sanchez Puerta, Maria Laura Schwartz, Anita M. Sondergaard, Lars Burns, Andrew ACCESS TO CREDIT ADDITIONAL SAVINGS ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS AVERAGE WAGE BANKS BENEFICIARIES BIRTH RATES BUSINESS CLIMATE CALCULATIONS CAPITAL MARKETS CHANGE IN POPULATION CHANGE IN POPULATION SIZE CHILD CARE CHILDBEARING CHILDREN PER WOMAN CITIZENS CONSUMER CONTRIBUTION CONTRIBUTION PENSION SCHEMES CONTRIBUTIONS CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT PENSION DECLINES IN FERTILITY DEFINED-CONTRIBUTION PENSION DEMOCRACY DEMOGRAPHERS DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES DEMOGRAPHIC PRESSURE DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS DEPENDENCY RATIO DEPOSITS DIRECT INVESTMENT DISABILITY DISSEMINATION DIVORCE EARLY RETIREMENT EARNINGS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS ECONOMIC TRANSITION EDUCATION SYSTEMS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ELDERLY ELDERLY POPULATION EXISTING POPULATION FAMILY ALLOWANCES FAMILY POLICIES FEMALE LABOR FORCE FEMALE LIFE EXPECTANCY FERTILITY FERTILITY DECLINES FERTILITY RATE FERTILITY RATES FERTILITY TRANSITION FINANCIAL AFFAIRS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL OPTIONS FINANCIAL PRODUCTS FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SYSTEMS FISCAL EFFORT FISCAL PROBLEMS FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY FORCED SAVINGS FUTURE GROWTH GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS NATIONAL INCOME HEALTH CARE HIV HOUSEHOLD SAVING HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS IMMIGRATION INCOME INCOMES INFLATION INVESTING INVESTMENT CLIMATES JOB OPPORTUNITIES LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCES LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET TRANSITIONS LABOR MARKETS LABOR SHORTAGES LABOR SUPPLY LARGER FAMILIES LEGAL STATUS LEVEL OF EDUCATION LEVELS OF FERTILITY LIFE EXPECTANCIES LIFE EXPECTANCY LIFE SPAN LIFELONG LEARNING LIFETIME LITERACY LIVING STANDARDS LONG-TERM CARE LONG-TERM CARE POLICY LONGER LIFE MARITAL STATUS MARKET CAPITALIZATION MARKET ECONOMIES MARKET ECONOMY MATERNITY HOSPITALS MATERNITY LEAVE MATH MATHEMATICS MEDICAL CARE MIGRANTS MORTALITY NATIONAL LEGISLATION NEW JOBS NUMBER OF CHILDREN OLD-AGE OLDER INDIVIDUALS OLDER PEOPLE OLDER WOMEN OLDER WORKERS OPPORTUNITIES FOR WOMEN PARENTAL LEAVE PENSION PENSION BENEFITS PENSION FUND PENSION POLICIES PENSION POLICY PENSION REFORM PENSION REFORMS PENSION SPENDING PENSION SYSTEM PENSION SYSTEMS PENSIONERS PENSIONS POLICY IMPLICATIONS POLICY MAKERS POOR POPULATIONS POOR WOMEN POPULATION AGE STRUCTURE POPULATION CHANGE POPULATION DECLINE POPULATION DECLINES POPULATION DECREASES POPULATION DIVISION POPULATION ESTIMATES POPULATION FORECASTING POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION GROWTH RATES POPULATION PROJECTIONS POPULATION STRUCTURE POPULATION STRUCTURES PREGNANT WOMEN PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIVATE PENSION PRIVATE PENSIONS PRIVATE SAVING PRIVATE SAVINGS PRODUCTIVITY PROGRESS PROSPERITY PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC HOSPITALS PUBLIC PENSION PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY RAPID GROWTH RATE OF GROWTH REAL ESTATE RELATED COSTS REMITTANCES REPLACEMENT LEVEL REPRODUCTIVE CHOICES RESEARCH ASSISTANCE RETIRED RETIREMENT RETIREMENT AGE RETIREMENT AGES REVERSE MORTGAGES RISK PROFILES SAVERS SAVING BEHAVIOR SAVINGS SAVINGS ACCUMULATION SAVINGS INSTRUMENTS SCHOOL-AGE POPULATION SCHOOL-AGE POPULATIONS SECONDARY EDUCATION SECURITIES SIGNIFICANT POLICY SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOCIAL ASSISTANCE SOCIAL POLICIES SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL SECURITY SOCIOECONOMIC STATUS STOCK MARKET TAX BREAKS TOTAL SAVINGS TV UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATES WAGE WAGE GROWTH WAGES WOMAN WORK HOURS WORKING-AGE POPULATION WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION WORLD POPULATION YOUNGER COHORTS YOUNGER PEOPLE This report focuses on the challenges that the region's aging countries will now face in having to deal with multiple transitions. It argues that their task ahead, though uniquely daunting, is by no means impossible. Indeed, many of the potential problems can be addressed through sensible and thoughtful policies that can be enacted over the next few years. The only danger likely lies in complacency, in not being proactive in addressing the challenges. This report finds, first, that some of the concerns about aging in Eastern European and Former Soviet countries are probably misplaced. Second, the analysis in the report validates concerns about future fiscal strains in some of the region's aging countries, but finds that many of the drivers of higher future public expenditures are unrelated to aging. This report is particularly focused on the future-a future in the region that is critically dependent on actions that countries and societies take now, and over the next few years. The report sends two central messages, which are analyzed against the different patterns of aging across the region. Red light to green light: Growing older does not have to mean growing slower. Aging is not a stop sign for growth-if countries enact policies that boost productivity and labor force participation. Red ink to black ink: Waging sensible policies can ease aging's spending impact. The policies needed to manage much of the expected jump in public spending-especially the impacts on pensions and on health care-are well known. They need only to be enacted and implemented. 2012-05-31T15:08:56Z 2012-05-31T15:08:56Z 2007 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/01/8101813/red-gray-third-transition-aging-populations-eastern-europe-former-soviet-union 978-0-8213-7129-9 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6741 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research :: Publication Publications & Research :: Publication Europe and Central Asia