Regional Household and Poverty Effects of Russia's Accession to the World Trade Organization
This paper develops a seven-region comparative static computable general equilibrium model of Russia to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade Organization on these seven regions (the federal okrugs) of Russia. In order to assess poverty...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/03/9121130/regional-household-poverty-effects-russias-accession-world-trade-organization http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6548 |
Summary: | This paper develops a seven-region
comparative static computable general equilibrium model of
Russia to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade
Organization on these seven regions (the federal okrugs) of
Russia. In order to assess poverty and distributional
impacts, the model includes ten households in each of the
seven federal okrugs, where household data are taken from
the Household Budget Survey of Rosstat. The model allows for
foreign direct investment in business services and
endogenous productivity effects from additional varieties of
business services and goods, which the analysis shows are
crucial to the results. National welfare gains are about 4.5
percent of gross domestic product in the model, but in a
constant returns to scale model they are only 0.1 percent.
All deciles of the population in all seven federal okrugs
can be expected to significantly gain from Russian World
Trade Organization accession, but due to the capacity of
their regions to attract foreign direct investment,
households in the Northwest region gain the most, followed
by households in the Far East and Volga regions. Households
in Siberia and the Urals gain the least. Distribution
impacts within regions are rather flat for the first nine
deciles; but the richest decile of the population in the
three regions that attract a lot of foreign investment gains
significantly more than the other nine representative
households in those regions. |
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