Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey
Agricultural production is heavily dependent on water availability in Turkey, where half the crop production relies on irrigation. Irrigated agriculture consumes about 75 percent of total water used, which is about 30 percent of renewable water ava...
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
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Washington, DC: World Bank
2012
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/11/10032275/macro-micro-feedback-links-irrigation-water-management-turkey http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6350 |
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okr-10986-63502021-04-23T14:02:30Z Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey Cakmak, Erol H. Dudu, Hasan Saracoglu, Sirin Diao, Xinshen Roe, Terry Tsur, Yacov ADEQUATE WATER ADVERSE EFFECTS AGGREGATE SUPPLY AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL USES AGRICULTURAL WATER AGRICULTURAL WATER USE AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION OF WATER ANNUAL RAINFALL AQUIFERS AVAILABILITY OF WATER AVAILABLE WATER AVAILABLE WATER RESOURCES AVERAGE ANNUAL PRECIPITATION BASE YEAR BUDGETARY SUPPORT CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC DIVERSITY COMPETITION FOR WATER CONSTRUCTION CONSUMPTION INCREASES COST OF WATER COST RECOVERY COST RECOVERY POLICIES COVERING CROP PRODUCTION CULTIVATED AREA DAMS DEMAND FOR WATER DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS DIVIDENDS DOMESTIC USE DRINKING WATER DRIP IRRIGATION DROUGHT EFFICIENT USE OF WATER ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EQUILIBRIUM EVAPORATION EXPORTS FACTOR DEMAND FIXED INPUTS FLOOD CONTROL FLOODING FOOD PRODUCTION FUTURE RESEARCH GAS GDP GINI COEFFICIENT GNP GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GRAVITY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT GROUND WATER GROUNDWATER GROUNDWATER RESOURCES HIGH LEVELS HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INDUSTRIAL SECTOR INDUSTRIAL USE INDUSTRIAL WATER INDUSTRIAL WATER SUPPLY INDUSTRIALIZATION INHERITANCE INTERNATIONAL WATER INVESTMENT COSTS IRRIGATION IRRIGATION DEVELOPMENT IRRIGATION WATER LAKES LAND USE LARGE URBAN AREAS LARGE URBAN CENTERS LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LOW INCOME CONSUMERS Agricultural production is heavily dependent on water availability in Turkey, where half the crop production relies on irrigation. Irrigated agriculture consumes about 75 percent of total water used, which is about 30 percent of renewable water availability. This study analyzes the likely effects of increased competition for water resources and changes in the Turkish economy. The analysis uses an economy-wide Walrasian Computable General Equilibrium model with a detailed account of the agricultural sector. The study investigated the economy-wide effects of two external shocks, namely a permanent increase in the world prices of agricultural commodities and climate change, along with the impact of the domestic reallocation of water between agricultural and non-agricultural uses. It was also recognized that because of spatial heterogeneity of the climate, the simulated scenarios have differential impact on the agricultural production and hence on the allocation of factors of production including water. The greatest effects on major macroeconomic indicators occur in the climate change simulations. As a result of the transfer of water from rural to urban areas, overall production of all crops declines. Although production on rainfed land increases, production on irrigated land declines, most notably the production of maize and fruits. The decrease in agricultural production, coupled with the domestic price increase, is further reflected in net trade. Agricultural imports increase with a greater decline in agricultural exports. 2012-05-24T15:25:18Z 2012-05-24T15:25:18Z 2008-11 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/11/10032275/macro-micro-feedback-links-irrigation-water-management-turkey http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6350 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4781 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Europe and Central Asia Turkey |
repository_type |
Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English |
topic |
ADEQUATE WATER ADVERSE EFFECTS AGGREGATE SUPPLY AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL USES AGRICULTURAL WATER AGRICULTURAL WATER USE AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION OF WATER ANNUAL RAINFALL AQUIFERS AVAILABILITY OF WATER AVAILABLE WATER AVAILABLE WATER RESOURCES AVERAGE ANNUAL PRECIPITATION BASE YEAR BUDGETARY SUPPORT CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC DIVERSITY COMPETITION FOR WATER CONSTRUCTION CONSUMPTION INCREASES COST OF WATER COST RECOVERY COST RECOVERY POLICIES COVERING CROP PRODUCTION CULTIVATED AREA DAMS DEMAND FOR WATER DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS DIVIDENDS DOMESTIC USE DRINKING WATER DRIP IRRIGATION DROUGHT EFFICIENT USE OF WATER ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EQUILIBRIUM EVAPORATION EXPORTS FACTOR DEMAND FIXED INPUTS FLOOD CONTROL FLOODING FOOD PRODUCTION FUTURE RESEARCH GAS GDP GINI COEFFICIENT GNP GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GRAVITY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT GROUND WATER GROUNDWATER GROUNDWATER RESOURCES HIGH LEVELS HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INDUSTRIAL SECTOR INDUSTRIAL USE INDUSTRIAL WATER INDUSTRIAL WATER SUPPLY INDUSTRIALIZATION INHERITANCE INTERNATIONAL WATER INVESTMENT COSTS IRRIGATION IRRIGATION DEVELOPMENT IRRIGATION WATER LAKES LAND USE LARGE URBAN AREAS LARGE URBAN CENTERS LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LOW INCOME CONSUMERS |
spellingShingle |
ADEQUATE WATER ADVERSE EFFECTS AGGREGATE SUPPLY AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL USES AGRICULTURAL WATER AGRICULTURAL WATER USE AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION OF WATER ANNUAL RAINFALL AQUIFERS AVAILABILITY OF WATER AVAILABLE WATER AVAILABLE WATER RESOURCES AVERAGE ANNUAL PRECIPITATION BASE YEAR BUDGETARY SUPPORT CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC DIVERSITY COMPETITION FOR WATER CONSTRUCTION CONSUMPTION INCREASES COST OF WATER COST RECOVERY COST RECOVERY POLICIES COVERING CROP PRODUCTION CULTIVATED AREA DAMS DEMAND FOR WATER DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS DIVIDENDS DOMESTIC USE DRINKING WATER DRIP IRRIGATION DROUGHT EFFICIENT USE OF WATER ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EQUILIBRIUM EVAPORATION EXPORTS FACTOR DEMAND FIXED INPUTS FLOOD CONTROL FLOODING FOOD PRODUCTION FUTURE RESEARCH GAS GDP GINI COEFFICIENT GNP GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GRAVITY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT GROUND WATER GROUNDWATER GROUNDWATER RESOURCES HIGH LEVELS HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INDUSTRIAL SECTOR INDUSTRIAL USE INDUSTRIAL WATER INDUSTRIAL WATER SUPPLY INDUSTRIALIZATION INHERITANCE INTERNATIONAL WATER INVESTMENT COSTS IRRIGATION IRRIGATION DEVELOPMENT IRRIGATION WATER LAKES LAND USE LARGE URBAN AREAS LARGE URBAN CENTERS LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LOW INCOME CONSUMERS Cakmak, Erol H. Dudu, Hasan Saracoglu, Sirin Diao, Xinshen Roe, Terry Tsur, Yacov Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey |
geographic_facet |
Europe and Central Asia Turkey |
relation |
Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4781 |
description |
Agricultural production is heavily
dependent on water availability in Turkey, where half the
crop production relies on irrigation. Irrigated agriculture
consumes about 75 percent of total water used, which is
about 30 percent of renewable water availability. This study
analyzes the likely effects of increased competition for
water resources and changes in the Turkish economy. The
analysis uses an economy-wide Walrasian Computable General
Equilibrium model with a detailed account of the
agricultural sector. The study investigated the economy-wide
effects of two external shocks, namely a permanent increase
in the world prices of agricultural commodities and climate
change, along with the impact of the domestic reallocation
of water between agricultural and non-agricultural uses. It
was also recognized that because of spatial heterogeneity of
the climate, the simulated scenarios have differential
impact on the agricultural production and hence on the
allocation of factors of production including water. The
greatest effects on major macroeconomic indicators occur in
the climate change simulations. As a result of the transfer
of water from rural to urban areas, overall production of
all crops declines. Although production on rainfed land
increases, production on irrigated land declines, most
notably the production of maize and fruits. The decrease in
agricultural production, coupled with the domestic price
increase, is further reflected in net trade. Agricultural
imports increase with a greater decline in agricultural exports. |
format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
author |
Cakmak, Erol H. Dudu, Hasan Saracoglu, Sirin Diao, Xinshen Roe, Terry Tsur, Yacov |
author_facet |
Cakmak, Erol H. Dudu, Hasan Saracoglu, Sirin Diao, Xinshen Roe, Terry Tsur, Yacov |
author_sort |
Cakmak, Erol H. |
title |
Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey |
title_short |
Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey |
title_full |
Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey |
title_fullStr |
Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey |
title_full_unstemmed |
Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey |
title_sort |
macro-micro feedback links of irrigation water management in turkey |
publisher |
Washington, DC: World Bank |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/11/10032275/macro-micro-feedback-links-irrigation-water-management-turkey http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6350 |
_version_ |
1764399930648035328 |