Fungibility and the Impact of Development Assistance : Evidence from Vietnam's Health Sector
How can the impact of aid be estimated in the presence of fungibility? And how far does fungibility reduce its benefits? These questions are analyzed in a context where a donor wants to target its efforts on a specific sector and specific geographi...
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Washington, DC: World Bank
2012
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/12/10309754/fungibility-impact-development-assistance-evidence-vietnams-health-sector http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6328 |
Summary: | How can the impact of aid be estimated
in the presence of fungibility? And how far does fungibility
reduce its benefits? These questions are analyzed in a
context where a donor wants to target its efforts on a
specific sector and specific geographic areas. A traditional
differences-in-differences method comparing the change in
outcomes between the target and nontarget areas before and
after the project risks misestimating the project's
benefits. The paper develops an alternative estimation
method in which intersectoral fungibility reduces project
benefits insofar as government spending has a smaller impact
in the sector to which the funds leak than in the target
sector, while intrasectoral fungibility reduces benefits
insofar as the donor is able to leverage productivity
increases in government spending in the target areas. The
methods are applied to two contemporaneous World Bank health
projects that set out to target assistance on approximately
one-half of Vietnam's provinces. Aid is not apparently
fungible between Vietnam's health sector and other
sectors, but is fungible across provinces within the health
sector. Differences-in-differences yield an insignificant
impact on infant mortality, while the use of the new method
yields a statistically significant impact of around 4 per
1000 live births. The results, however, are ambiguous on the
costs associated with intrasectoral fungibility. |
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