Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence

Previous research has interpreted the correlation between per capita income and civil war as evidence that poverty is a main determinant of conflict. In this paper, we find that the relationship between poverty and civil war is spurious and is accounted for by historical phenomena that jointly deter...

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Main Authors:	Djankov, Simeon, Reynal-Querol, Marta
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	EN
Published:	2012
Subjects:	Conflict Conflict Resolution Alliances D740 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty I320 Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy: General, International, or Comparative N300 Economic History: Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation: General, International, or Comparative N400 Economic Development: Human Resources Human Development Income Distribution Migration O150 Formal and Informal Sectors Shadow Economy Institutional Arrangements O170
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5665

id	okr-10986-5665
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-56652021-04-23T14:02:23Z Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence Djankov, Simeon Reynal-Querol, Marta Conflict Conflict Resolution Alliances D740 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty I320 Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy: General, International, or Comparative N300 Economic History: Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation: General, International, or Comparative N400 Economic Development: Human Resources Human Development Income Distribution Migration O150 Formal and Informal Sectors Shadow Economy Institutional Arrangements O170 Previous research has interpreted the correlation between per capita income and civil war as evidence that poverty is a main determinant of conflict. In this paper, we find that the relationship between poverty and civil war is spurious and is accounted for by historical phenomena that jointly determine income evolution and conflict. In particular, the statistical association between poverty and civil wars disappears once we include country fixed effects. Also, using cross-section data for 1960 to 2000, we find that once historical variables like European settler mortality rates and the population density in 1500 are included in civil war regressions, poverty does not have an effect on civil wars. These results are confirmed using longer time series from 1825 to 2000. 2012-03-30T07:33:56Z 2012-03-30T07:33:56Z 2010 Journal Article Review of Economics and Statistics 00346535 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5665 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	EN
topic	Conflict Conflict Resolution Alliances D740 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty I320 Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy: General, International, or Comparative N300 Economic History: Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation: General, International, or Comparative N400 Economic Development: Human Resources Human Development Income Distribution Migration O150 Formal and Informal Sectors Shadow Economy Institutional Arrangements O170
spellingShingle	Conflict Conflict Resolution Alliances D740 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty I320 Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy: General, International, or Comparative N300 Economic History: Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation: General, International, or Comparative N400 Economic Development: Human Resources Human Development Income Distribution Migration O150 Formal and Informal Sectors Shadow Economy Institutional Arrangements O170 Djankov, Simeon Reynal-Querol, Marta Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence
relation	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description	Previous research has interpreted the correlation between per capita income and civil war as evidence that poverty is a main determinant of conflict. In this paper, we find that the relationship between poverty and civil war is spurious and is accounted for by historical phenomena that jointly determine income evolution and conflict. In particular, the statistical association between poverty and civil wars disappears once we include country fixed effects. Also, using cross-section data for 1960 to 2000, we find that once historical variables like European settler mortality rates and the population density in 1500 are included in civil war regressions, poverty does not have an effect on civil wars. These results are confirmed using longer time series from 1825 to 2000.
format	Journal Article
author	Djankov, Simeon Reynal-Querol, Marta
author_facet	Djankov, Simeon Reynal-Querol, Marta
author_sort	Djankov, Simeon
title	Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence
title_short	Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence
title_full	Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence
title_fullStr	Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence
title_full_unstemmed	Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence
title_sort	poverty and civil war: revisiting the evidence
publishDate	2012
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5665
_version_	1764395874985705472

Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence

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