Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies

This paper examines the effects of inflation targeting (IT) on output growth over the "globalization years" of 1986-2004. Employing static panel data methods that control for traditional growth determinants, trade openness and financial globalization, the paper finds that the adoption of a...

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Main Authors: Mollick, Andre Varella, Cabral, Rene, Carneiro, Francisco G.
Format: Journal Article
Language:EN
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4781
id okr-10986-4781
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-47812021-04-23T14:02:19Z Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies Mollick, Andre Varella Cabral, Rene Carneiro, Francisco G. Macroeconomics: Production E230 Price Level Inflation Deflation E310 Monetary Policy E520 Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O110 Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development O230 This paper examines the effects of inflation targeting (IT) on output growth over the "globalization years" of 1986-2004. Employing static panel data methods that control for traditional growth determinants, trade openness and financial globalization, the paper finds that the adoption of a fully fledged IT regime results in higher output income per capita for industrial and emerging economies. However, under dynamic model specifications, the estimated long-run output impact of inflation targeting for emerging market economies is found to be lower than in the case of static models. We argue that this might be due to the long lags until the full effects of greater credibility are felt in the real economy and the fact that emerging market economies adopted the regime much later than industrial economies. 2012-03-30T07:29:43Z 2012-03-30T07:29:43Z 2011 Journal Article Journal of Policy Modeling 01618938 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4781 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language EN
topic Macroeconomics: Production E230
Price Level
Inflation
Deflation E310
Monetary Policy E520
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O110
Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development O230
spellingShingle Macroeconomics: Production E230
Price Level
Inflation
Deflation E310
Monetary Policy E520
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O110
Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development O230
Mollick, Andre Varella
Cabral, Rene
Carneiro, Francisco G.
Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies
relation http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description This paper examines the effects of inflation targeting (IT) on output growth over the "globalization years" of 1986-2004. Employing static panel data methods that control for traditional growth determinants, trade openness and financial globalization, the paper finds that the adoption of a fully fledged IT regime results in higher output income per capita for industrial and emerging economies. However, under dynamic model specifications, the estimated long-run output impact of inflation targeting for emerging market economies is found to be lower than in the case of static models. We argue that this might be due to the long lags until the full effects of greater credibility are felt in the real economy and the fact that emerging market economies adopted the regime much later than industrial economies.
format Journal Article
author Mollick, Andre Varella
Cabral, Rene
Carneiro, Francisco G.
author_facet Mollick, Andre Varella
Cabral, Rene
Carneiro, Francisco G.
author_sort Mollick, Andre Varella
title Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies
title_short Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies
title_full Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies
title_fullStr Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies
title_full_unstemmed Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies
title_sort does inflation targeting matter for output growth? evidence from industrial and emerging economies
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4781
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