Who Bears the Cost of Russia's Military Draft?

In this paper, we use data from a large nationally representative survey in Russia to empirically estimate the distribution of the burden induced by the military draft. We focus on draft avoidance as a common response to the conscription system ridden by corruption. We develop a simple theoretical m...

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Main Authors: Lokshin, Michael, Yemtsov, Ruslan
Format: Journal Article
Language:EN
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4728
id okr-10986-4728
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-47282021-04-23T14:02:19Z Who Bears the Cost of Russia's Military Draft? Lokshin, Michael Yemtsov, Ruslan National Security and War H560 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty I320 Public Sector Labor Markets J450 Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Political Economy Property Rights P260 Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: Consumer Economics Health Education and Training: Welfare, Income, Wealth, and Poverty P360 In this paper, we use data from a large nationally representative survey in Russia to empirically estimate the distribution of the burden induced by the military draft. We focus on draft avoidance as a common response to the conscription system ridden by corruption. We develop a simple theoretical model that describes household compliance decisions with respect to enlistment as a function of its pre-draft welfare. We employ the full information maximum-likelihood instrumental variable model to estimate the effect of household characteristics on the probability of serving in the army. Our results indicate that the burden of conscription falls excessively on the poor. Poor, low-educated, rural households are much more likely to have their sons enlisted compared to urban, wealthy and better-educated families. Using the predicted probability of draft avoidance, we estimate the short-term direct economic cost of the draft as lost wages of serving conscripts. Our results suggest that losses incurred by the poor are disproportionately large and exceed the statutory rates of personal income taxes. 2012-03-30T07:29:26Z 2012-03-30T07:29:26Z 2008 Journal Article Economics of Transition 09670750 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4728 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article Russian Federation
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language EN
topic National Security and War H560
Measurement and Analysis of Poverty I320
Public Sector Labor Markets J450
Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Political Economy
Property Rights P260
Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: Consumer Economics
Health
Education and Training: Welfare, Income, Wealth, and Poverty P360
spellingShingle National Security and War H560
Measurement and Analysis of Poverty I320
Public Sector Labor Markets J450
Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Political Economy
Property Rights P260
Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: Consumer Economics
Health
Education and Training: Welfare, Income, Wealth, and Poverty P360
Lokshin, Michael
Yemtsov, Ruslan
Who Bears the Cost of Russia's Military Draft?
geographic_facet Russian Federation
relation http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description In this paper, we use data from a large nationally representative survey in Russia to empirically estimate the distribution of the burden induced by the military draft. We focus on draft avoidance as a common response to the conscription system ridden by corruption. We develop a simple theoretical model that describes household compliance decisions with respect to enlistment as a function of its pre-draft welfare. We employ the full information maximum-likelihood instrumental variable model to estimate the effect of household characteristics on the probability of serving in the army. Our results indicate that the burden of conscription falls excessively on the poor. Poor, low-educated, rural households are much more likely to have their sons enlisted compared to urban, wealthy and better-educated families. Using the predicted probability of draft avoidance, we estimate the short-term direct economic cost of the draft as lost wages of serving conscripts. Our results suggest that losses incurred by the poor are disproportionately large and exceed the statutory rates of personal income taxes.
format Journal Article
author Lokshin, Michael
Yemtsov, Ruslan
author_facet Lokshin, Michael
Yemtsov, Ruslan
author_sort Lokshin, Michael
title Who Bears the Cost of Russia's Military Draft?
title_short Who Bears the Cost of Russia's Military Draft?
title_full Who Bears the Cost of Russia's Military Draft?
title_fullStr Who Bears the Cost of Russia's Military Draft?
title_full_unstemmed Who Bears the Cost of Russia's Military Draft?
title_sort who bears the cost of russia's military draft?
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4728
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