Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare

This paper develops a framework to study empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk and to evaluate the associated welfare consequences. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income ris...

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Main Authors: Krebs, Tom, Krishna, Pravin, Maloney, William
Format: Journal Article
Language:EN
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4645
id okr-10986-4645
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-46452021-04-23T14:02:18Z Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare Krebs, Tom Krishna, Pravin Maloney, William Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions D310 Trade Policy International Trade Organizations F130 Wage Level and Structure Wage Differentials J310 Economic Development: Human Resources Human Development Income Distribution Migration O150 International Linkages to Development Role of International Organizations O190 This paper develops a framework to study empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk and to evaluate the associated welfare consequences. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in various manufacturing sectors. Second, the estimated income risk parameters and data on trade barriers are used to analyze the relationship between trade policy and income risk. Finally, a simple dynamic incomplete-market model is used to assess the corresponding welfare costs. In the implementation of this methodology using Mexican data, we find that trade policy changes have a significant short-run effect on income risk. Further, while the tariff level has an insignificant mean effect, it nevertheless changes the degree to which macroeconomic shocks affect income risk. 2012-03-30T07:29:00Z 2012-03-30T07:29:00Z 2010 Journal Article Review of Economics and Statistics 00346535 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4645 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article Mexico
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language EN
topic Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions D310
Trade Policy
International Trade Organizations F130
Wage Level and Structure
Wage Differentials J310
Economic Development: Human Resources
Human Development
Income Distribution
Migration O150
International Linkages to Development
Role of International Organizations O190
spellingShingle Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions D310
Trade Policy
International Trade Organizations F130
Wage Level and Structure
Wage Differentials J310
Economic Development: Human Resources
Human Development
Income Distribution
Migration O150
International Linkages to Development
Role of International Organizations O190
Krebs, Tom
Krishna, Pravin
Maloney, William
Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare
geographic_facet Mexico
relation http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description This paper develops a framework to study empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk and to evaluate the associated welfare consequences. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in various manufacturing sectors. Second, the estimated income risk parameters and data on trade barriers are used to analyze the relationship between trade policy and income risk. Finally, a simple dynamic incomplete-market model is used to assess the corresponding welfare costs. In the implementation of this methodology using Mexican data, we find that trade policy changes have a significant short-run effect on income risk. Further, while the tariff level has an insignificant mean effect, it nevertheless changes the degree to which macroeconomic shocks affect income risk.
format Journal Article
author Krebs, Tom
Krishna, Pravin
Maloney, William
author_facet Krebs, Tom
Krishna, Pravin
Maloney, William
author_sort Krebs, Tom
title Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare
title_short Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare
title_full Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare
title_fullStr Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare
title_full_unstemmed Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare
title_sort trade policy, income risk, and welfare
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4645
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