Is Anywhere Stuck in a Malthusian Trap?

The key features of the Malthusian model are that (i) income determines population growth, with rising wages increasing survival rates and (ii) there is a vital factor of production (land) which is fixed, implying decreased returns to scale for all other factors. The equilibrium state in such a mode...

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Main Author: Kenny, Charles
Format: Journal Article
Language:EN
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4619
id okr-10986-4619
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-46192021-04-23T14:02:18Z Is Anywhere Stuck in a Malthusian Trap? Kenny, Charles Demographic Trends and Forecasts General Migration J110 Economic History: Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment, and Extractive Industries: General, International, or Comparative N500 One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models O410 Measurement of Economic Growth Aggregate Productivity Cross-Country Output Convergence O470 Renewable Resources and Conservation: Land Q240 The key features of the Malthusian model are that (i) income determines population growth, with rising wages increasing survival rates and (ii) there is a vital factor of production (land) which is fixed, implying decreased returns to scale for all other factors. The equilibrium state in such a model is a population living on subsistence incomes. The country-level analysis in this paper suggests that (i) the link between income and population growth is (almost) everywhere broken and (ii) there is little evidence of declining returns to scale because of constraints imposed by land carrying capacity anywhere. Population dynamics are being driven by non-income factors in a manner that is reducing population growth rates everywhere. At the same time, output is increasing everywhere, in a manner inconsistent with significantly declining returns to scale based on land being a vital factor of production. 2012-03-30T07:28:51Z 2012-03-30T07:28:51Z 2010 Journal Article Kyklos 00235962 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4619 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language EN
topic Demographic Trends and Forecasts
General Migration J110
Economic History: Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment, and Extractive Industries: General, International, or Comparative N500
One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models O410
Measurement of Economic Growth
Aggregate Productivity
Cross-Country Output Convergence O470
Renewable Resources and Conservation: Land Q240
spellingShingle Demographic Trends and Forecasts
General Migration J110
Economic History: Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment, and Extractive Industries: General, International, or Comparative N500
One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models O410
Measurement of Economic Growth
Aggregate Productivity
Cross-Country Output Convergence O470
Renewable Resources and Conservation: Land Q240
Kenny, Charles
Is Anywhere Stuck in a Malthusian Trap?
relation http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description The key features of the Malthusian model are that (i) income determines population growth, with rising wages increasing survival rates and (ii) there is a vital factor of production (land) which is fixed, implying decreased returns to scale for all other factors. The equilibrium state in such a model is a population living on subsistence incomes. The country-level analysis in this paper suggests that (i) the link between income and population growth is (almost) everywhere broken and (ii) there is little evidence of declining returns to scale because of constraints imposed by land carrying capacity anywhere. Population dynamics are being driven by non-income factors in a manner that is reducing population growth rates everywhere. At the same time, output is increasing everywhere, in a manner inconsistent with significantly declining returns to scale based on land being a vital factor of production.
format Journal Article
author Kenny, Charles
author_facet Kenny, Charles
author_sort Kenny, Charles
title Is Anywhere Stuck in a Malthusian Trap?
title_short Is Anywhere Stuck in a Malthusian Trap?
title_full Is Anywhere Stuck in a Malthusian Trap?
title_fullStr Is Anywhere Stuck in a Malthusian Trap?
title_full_unstemmed Is Anywhere Stuck in a Malthusian Trap?
title_sort is anywhere stuck in a malthusian trap?
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4619
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