Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars
Foreign aid, the real exchange rate (RER), and economic growth are three key variables that shape the aftermath of civil wars in many developing countries. Panel estimations drawn from a sample of 39 conflict and 44 nonconflict countries between 1970 and 2004 indicate that although postconflict coun...
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okr-10986-44742021-04-23T14:02:18Z Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed Kaltani, Linda Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus adverse effect competitiveness currency assets Development Economics Economic Growth Economic Research Economics Research equilibrium export growth overvaluation Foreign aid, the real exchange rate (RER), and economic growth are three key variables that shape the aftermath of civil wars in many developing countries. Panel estimations drawn from a sample of 39 conflict and 44 nonconflict countries between 1970 and 2004 indicate that although postconflict countries receive larger aid flows and exhibit moderate RER overvaluation after peace is attained, overvaluation cannot be traced to aid. Yet foreign aid is among the significant determinants of the equilibrium RER. Aid is also an important determinant of economic growth, particularly after peace is reached. Aid exhibits decreasing returns, however, and interacts negatively with RER overvaluation. RER overvaluation reduces growth, but this effect is ameliorated by financial development. Postconflict policies should therefore aim to use aid prudently, avoid RER misalignment, and support financial and capital market development to achieve high and stable growth in the aftermath of war and beyond. 2012-03-30T07:12:36Z 2012-03-30T07:12:36Z 2008-01-30 Journal Article World Bank Economic Review 1564-698X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4474 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank Journal Article Africa Netherlands Antilles Chile Congo, Republic of |
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adverse effect competitiveness currency assets Development Economics Economic Growth Economic Research Economics Research equilibrium export growth overvaluation |
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adverse effect competitiveness currency assets Development Economics Economic Growth Economic Research Economics Research equilibrium export growth overvaluation Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed Kaltani, Linda Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars |
geographic_facet |
Africa Netherlands Antilles Chile Congo, Republic of |
description |
Foreign aid, the real exchange rate (RER), and economic growth are three key variables that shape the aftermath of civil wars in many developing countries. Panel estimations drawn from a sample of 39 conflict and 44 nonconflict countries between 1970 and 2004 indicate that although postconflict countries receive larger aid flows and exhibit moderate RER overvaluation after peace is attained, overvaluation cannot be traced to aid. Yet foreign aid is among the significant determinants of the equilibrium RER. Aid is also an important determinant of economic growth, particularly after peace is reached. Aid exhibits decreasing returns, however, and interacts negatively with RER overvaluation. RER overvaluation reduces growth, but this effect is ameliorated by financial development. Postconflict policies should therefore aim to use aid prudently, avoid RER misalignment, and support financial and capital market development to achieve high and stable growth in the aftermath of war and beyond. |
format |
Journal Article |
author |
Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed Kaltani, Linda Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus |
author_facet |
Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed Kaltani, Linda Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus |
author_sort |
Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed |
title |
Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars |
title_short |
Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars |
title_full |
Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars |
title_fullStr |
Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars |
title_full_unstemmed |
Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars |
title_sort |
foreign aid, the real exchange rate, and economic growth in the aftermath of civil wars |
publisher |
World Bank |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4474 |
_version_ |
1764391523146792960 |