Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars

Foreign aid, the real exchange rate (RER), and economic growth are three key variables that shape the aftermath of civil wars in many developing countries. Panel estimations drawn from a sample of 39 conflict and 44 nonconflict countries between 1970 and 2004 indicate that although postconflict coun...

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Main Authors: Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed, Kaltani, Linda, Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus
Format: Journal Article
Published: World Bank 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4474
id okr-10986-4474
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-44742021-04-23T14:02:18Z Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed Kaltani, Linda Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus adverse effect competitiveness currency assets Development Economics Economic Growth Economic Research Economics Research equilibrium export growth overvaluation Foreign aid, the real exchange rate (RER), and economic growth are three key variables that shape the aftermath of civil wars in many developing countries. Panel estimations drawn from a sample of 39 conflict and 44 nonconflict countries between 1970 and 2004 indicate that although postconflict countries receive larger aid flows and exhibit moderate RER overvaluation after peace is attained, overvaluation cannot be traced to aid. Yet foreign aid is among the significant determinants of the equilibrium RER. Aid is also an important determinant of economic growth, particularly after peace is reached. Aid exhibits decreasing returns, however, and interacts negatively with RER overvaluation. RER overvaluation reduces growth, but this effect is ameliorated by financial development. Postconflict policies should therefore aim to use aid prudently, avoid RER misalignment, and support financial and capital market development to achieve high and stable growth in the aftermath of war and beyond. 2012-03-30T07:12:36Z 2012-03-30T07:12:36Z 2008-01-30 Journal Article World Bank Economic Review 1564-698X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4474 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank Journal Article Africa Netherlands Antilles Chile Congo, Republic of
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
topic adverse effect
competitiveness
currency assets
Development Economics
Economic Growth
Economic Research
Economics Research
equilibrium
export growth
overvaluation
spellingShingle adverse effect
competitiveness
currency assets
Development Economics
Economic Growth
Economic Research
Economics Research
equilibrium
export growth
overvaluation
Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed
Kaltani, Linda
Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus
Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars
geographic_facet Africa
Netherlands Antilles
Chile
Congo, Republic of
description Foreign aid, the real exchange rate (RER), and economic growth are three key variables that shape the aftermath of civil wars in many developing countries. Panel estimations drawn from a sample of 39 conflict and 44 nonconflict countries between 1970 and 2004 indicate that although postconflict countries receive larger aid flows and exhibit moderate RER overvaluation after peace is attained, overvaluation cannot be traced to aid. Yet foreign aid is among the significant determinants of the equilibrium RER. Aid is also an important determinant of economic growth, particularly after peace is reached. Aid exhibits decreasing returns, however, and interacts negatively with RER overvaluation. RER overvaluation reduces growth, but this effect is ameliorated by financial development. Postconflict policies should therefore aim to use aid prudently, avoid RER misalignment, and support financial and capital market development to achieve high and stable growth in the aftermath of war and beyond.
format Journal Article
author Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed
Kaltani, Linda
Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus
author_facet Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed
Kaltani, Linda
Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus
author_sort Elbadawi, Ibrahim Ahmed
title Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars
title_short Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars
title_full Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars
title_fullStr Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars
title_full_unstemmed Foreign Aid, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth in the Aftermath of Civil Wars
title_sort foreign aid, the real exchange rate, and economic growth in the aftermath of civil wars
publisher World Bank
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4474
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