Walking up the Down Escalator : Public Investment and Fiscal Stability

When growth-promoting spending is cut so much that the present value of future government revenues falls by more than the immediate improvement in the cash deficit, fiscal adjustment becomes like walking up the down escalator. Although short-term cash flows matter, too tight a focus on them encourag...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Easterly, William, Irwin, Timothy, Servén, Luis
Format: Journal Article
Published: World Bank 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4414
id okr-10986-4414
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-44142021-04-23T14:02:17Z Walking up the Down Escalator : Public Investment and Fiscal Stability Easterly, William Irwin, Timothy Servén, Luis accounting budgeting cash flows debt expenditure expenditures fiscal deficit fiscal policy government revenues infrastructure investment international bank investment spending macroeconomic stability macroeconomic stabilization market reforms political economy private investment public finances public investment solvency When growth-promoting spending is cut so much that the present value of future government revenues falls by more than the immediate improvement in the cash deficit, fiscal adjustment becomes like walking up the down escalator. Although short-term cash flows matter, too tight a focus on them encourages governments to invest too little. Cash-flow targets also encourage governments to shift investment spending off budget by seeking private investment in public projects, irrespective of its real fiscal or economic benefits. To deal with this problem, some observers have suggested excluding certain investments (such as those undertaken by public enterprises deemed commercial or financed by multilaterals) from cash-flow targets. These stopgap remedies may help protect some investments, but they do not provide a satisfactory solution to the underlying problem. Governments can more effectively reduce the biases created by the focus on short-term cash flows by developing indicators of the long-term fiscal effects of their decisions, including accounting and economic measures of net worth, and, where appropriate, including such measures in fiscal targets or even fiscal rules. 2012-03-30T07:12:33Z 2012-03-30T07:12:33Z 2008-03-01 Journal Article World Bank Research Observer 1564-6971 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4414 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO World Bank World Bank Journal Article Latin America & Caribbean Brazil Chile Colombia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
topic accounting
budgeting
cash flows
debt
expenditure
expenditures
fiscal deficit
fiscal policy
government revenues
infrastructure investment
international bank
investment spending
macroeconomic stability
macroeconomic stabilization
market reforms
political economy
private investment
public finances
public investment
solvency
spellingShingle accounting
budgeting
cash flows
debt
expenditure
expenditures
fiscal deficit
fiscal policy
government revenues
infrastructure investment
international bank
investment spending
macroeconomic stability
macroeconomic stabilization
market reforms
political economy
private investment
public finances
public investment
solvency
Easterly, William
Irwin, Timothy
Servén, Luis
Walking up the Down Escalator : Public Investment and Fiscal Stability
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
description When growth-promoting spending is cut so much that the present value of future government revenues falls by more than the immediate improvement in the cash deficit, fiscal adjustment becomes like walking up the down escalator. Although short-term cash flows matter, too tight a focus on them encourages governments to invest too little. Cash-flow targets also encourage governments to shift investment spending off budget by seeking private investment in public projects, irrespective of its real fiscal or economic benefits. To deal with this problem, some observers have suggested excluding certain investments (such as those undertaken by public enterprises deemed commercial or financed by multilaterals) from cash-flow targets. These stopgap remedies may help protect some investments, but they do not provide a satisfactory solution to the underlying problem. Governments can more effectively reduce the biases created by the focus on short-term cash flows by developing indicators of the long-term fiscal effects of their decisions, including accounting and economic measures of net worth, and, where appropriate, including such measures in fiscal targets or even fiscal rules.
format Journal Article
author Easterly, William
Irwin, Timothy
Servén, Luis
author_facet Easterly, William
Irwin, Timothy
Servén, Luis
author_sort Easterly, William
title Walking up the Down Escalator : Public Investment and Fiscal Stability
title_short Walking up the Down Escalator : Public Investment and Fiscal Stability
title_full Walking up the Down Escalator : Public Investment and Fiscal Stability
title_fullStr Walking up the Down Escalator : Public Investment and Fiscal Stability
title_full_unstemmed Walking up the Down Escalator : Public Investment and Fiscal Stability
title_sort walking up the down escalator : public investment and fiscal stability
publisher World Bank
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4414
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