Smoke in the Water : The Use of Tariff Policy Flexibility in Crises

As the economic crisis deepens and widens, fears of a return to the protectionist spiral of the 1930s become more common. However, an important difference between the 1930s and today is the existence of the World Trade Organization and the legal li...

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Main Authors: Foletti, Liliana, Fugazza, Marco, Nicita, Alessandro, Olarreaga, Marcelo
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090914082452
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4242
id okr-10986-4242
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-42422021-04-23T14:02:16Z Smoke in the Water : The Use of Tariff Policy Flexibility in Crises Foletti, Liliana Fugazza, Marco Nicita, Alessandro Olarreaga, Marcelo ABSOLUTE VALUE AGRICULTURAL AGREEMENT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS APPLIED TARIFF AVERAGE TARIFF CAPITAL MOBILITY CHECKS DEMAND ELASTICITIES DEMAND ELASTICITY DERIVATIVE DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DOMESTIC PRICE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CRISIS ECONOMIC GROWTH EMERGING ECONOMIES EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE REGIME FINAL GOODS FINANCIAL SUPPORT FIXED EXCHANGE RATE GLOBAL TRADE IMPORT DUTIES IMPORT VALUE IMPORT VALUES IMPORTS INCOME LEVEL INCOME LEVELS INFORMATION SYSTEM INTERMEDIATE GOODS INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL TRADE MEMBER COUNTRIES NON-TARIFF BARRIERS POLICY RESPONSES POSITIVE COEFFICIENT PREFERENTIAL AGREEMENTS PREFERENTIAL TRADE PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS PROTECTIONISM PROTECTIONIST REAL EXCHANGE RATE RECESSIONS REGIONAL TRADE REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS RETURN TARIFF ACT TARIFF BINDING TARIFF BINDINGS TARIFF CHANGES TARIFF INCREASES TARIFF LINE TARIFF LINES TARIFF POLICY TRADE BARRIERS TRADE DISTORTIONS TRADE PROTECTION TRADE VALUES TRANSPARENCY UNION VALUE OF IMPORTS WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION As the economic crisis deepens and widens, fears of a return to the protectionist spiral of the 1930s become more common. However, an important difference between the 1930s and today is the existence of the World Trade Organization and the legal limits it imposes on the protectionist responses members can pursue. The objective of this paper is threefold. First, to assess the extent to which applied tariff can legally be raised without violating tariff-bound obligations, and compare it with what is economically possible. Second, to examine what has been the protectionist response of individual countries when facing an economic crisis since the creation of the WTO. Finally, to predict how far the protectionist responses will go during the current crisis. Results suggest that the policy space left when looking at what is economically possible is indeed quite large. However, in the recent past very little of the available policy space has been used by countries suffering from an economic crisis. Our predictions for the current crisis are modest tariff hikes in the order of 8 percent. 2012-03-19T19:12:28Z 2012-03-19T19:12:28Z 2009-09-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090914082452 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4242 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5050 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABSOLUTE VALUE
AGRICULTURAL AGREEMENT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
APPLIED TARIFF
AVERAGE TARIFF
CAPITAL MOBILITY
CHECKS
DEMAND ELASTICITIES
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DERIVATIVE
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DOMESTIC PRICE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
FINAL GOODS
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
GLOBAL TRADE
IMPORT DUTIES
IMPORT VALUE
IMPORT VALUES
IMPORTS
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME LEVELS
INFORMATION SYSTEM
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
MEMBER COUNTRIES
NON-TARIFF BARRIERS
POLICY RESPONSES
POSITIVE COEFFICIENT
PREFERENTIAL AGREEMENTS
PREFERENTIAL TRADE
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
PROTECTIONISM
PROTECTIONIST
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
RECESSIONS
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
RETURN
TARIFF ACT
TARIFF BINDING
TARIFF BINDINGS
TARIFF CHANGES
TARIFF INCREASES
TARIFF LINE
TARIFF LINES
TARIFF POLICY
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE DISTORTIONS
TRADE PROTECTION
TRADE VALUES
TRANSPARENCY
UNION
VALUE OF IMPORTS
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
spellingShingle ABSOLUTE VALUE
AGRICULTURAL AGREEMENT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
APPLIED TARIFF
AVERAGE TARIFF
CAPITAL MOBILITY
CHECKS
DEMAND ELASTICITIES
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DERIVATIVE
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DOMESTIC PRICE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
FINAL GOODS
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
GLOBAL TRADE
IMPORT DUTIES
IMPORT VALUE
IMPORT VALUES
IMPORTS
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME LEVELS
INFORMATION SYSTEM
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
MEMBER COUNTRIES
NON-TARIFF BARRIERS
POLICY RESPONSES
POSITIVE COEFFICIENT
PREFERENTIAL AGREEMENTS
PREFERENTIAL TRADE
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
PROTECTIONISM
PROTECTIONIST
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
RECESSIONS
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
RETURN
TARIFF ACT
TARIFF BINDING
TARIFF BINDINGS
TARIFF CHANGES
TARIFF INCREASES
TARIFF LINE
TARIFF LINES
TARIFF POLICY
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE DISTORTIONS
TRADE PROTECTION
TRADE VALUES
TRANSPARENCY
UNION
VALUE OF IMPORTS
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
Foletti, Liliana
Fugazza, Marco
Nicita, Alessandro
Olarreaga, Marcelo
Smoke in the Water : The Use of Tariff Policy Flexibility in Crises
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5050
description As the economic crisis deepens and widens, fears of a return to the protectionist spiral of the 1930s become more common. However, an important difference between the 1930s and today is the existence of the World Trade Organization and the legal limits it imposes on the protectionist responses members can pursue. The objective of this paper is threefold. First, to assess the extent to which applied tariff can legally be raised without violating tariff-bound obligations, and compare it with what is economically possible. Second, to examine what has been the protectionist response of individual countries when facing an economic crisis since the creation of the WTO. Finally, to predict how far the protectionist responses will go during the current crisis. Results suggest that the policy space left when looking at what is economically possible is indeed quite large. However, in the recent past very little of the available policy space has been used by countries suffering from an economic crisis. Our predictions for the current crisis are modest tariff hikes in the order of 8 percent.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Foletti, Liliana
Fugazza, Marco
Nicita, Alessandro
Olarreaga, Marcelo
author_facet Foletti, Liliana
Fugazza, Marco
Nicita, Alessandro
Olarreaga, Marcelo
author_sort Foletti, Liliana
title Smoke in the Water : The Use of Tariff Policy Flexibility in Crises
title_short Smoke in the Water : The Use of Tariff Policy Flexibility in Crises
title_full Smoke in the Water : The Use of Tariff Policy Flexibility in Crises
title_fullStr Smoke in the Water : The Use of Tariff Policy Flexibility in Crises
title_full_unstemmed Smoke in the Water : The Use of Tariff Policy Flexibility in Crises
title_sort smoke in the water : the use of tariff policy flexibility in crises
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090914082452
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4242
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