Lock-in Effects of Road Expansion on CO2 Emissions : Results from a Core-Periphery Model of Beijing
In the urban planning literature, it is frequently explicitly asserted or strongly implied that ongoing urban sprawl and decentralization can lead to development patterns that are unsustainable in the long run. One manifestation of such an outcome...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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2012
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| Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090811141152 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4209 |
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okr-10986-42092021-04-23T14:02:16Z Lock-in Effects of Road Expansion on CO2 Emissions : Results from a Core-Periphery Model of Beijing Anas, Alex Timilsina, Govinda R. ACCELERATION AGGREGATE EMISSION AGGREGATES AIR AIR QUALITY AUTO DEPENDENCE AUTO OWNERSHIP AUTO TRAVEL AUTO TRIPS AUTOMOBILE AUTOMOBILE DEPENDENCE AUTOMOBILES AVERAGE COMMUTE TIME AVERAGE SPEED BICYCLING BUS BUSES CALIBRATION CAR CAR FUEL CAR OWNERS CAR OWNERSHIP CAR TRAVEL CAR USERS CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS CARBON EMISSIONS CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT CLEAN AIR CLEAN ENERGY CLIMATE CHANGE COMMUTERS COMMUTING CONGESTION CONGESTION EXTERNALITIES CONGESTION TOLLS CONSUMER PREFERENCES CONSUMER SURPLUS CONSUMERS COST OF TRAVEL DAMAGES DECENTRALIZATION DISPOSABLE INCOME DRIVING ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC THEORY ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY EMISSION LEVEL EMISSION LEVELS EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSIONS ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY PRICES EQUATIONS EQUILIBRIUM EXPECTED UTILITY EXTERNALITIES FLOOR AREA FLOOR SPACE FREEWAY FUEL FUEL COMBUSTION FUEL CONSUMPTION FUEL COST FUEL EFFICIENCY FUEL TAXES FUEL USE GAS CONSUMPTION GASOLINE GASOLINE CONSUMPTION GASOLINE USE GDP GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION GREENHOUSE GASES HIGH ENERGY HIGHWAY HIGHWAY CAPACITY HIGHWAY EXPANSION HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENT HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENTS HIGHWAY INVESTMENT HOUSING DEVELOPMENT INCOME LEVELS INDIRECT UTILITY INDIRECT UTILITY FUNCTION INEFFICIENCY INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY LAND USE LAND USE PATTERN LAND USE PATTERNS LEVEL OF EMISSIONS LOCAL AIR POLLUTION In the urban planning literature, it is frequently explicitly asserted or strongly implied that ongoing urban sprawl and decentralization can lead to development patterns that are unsustainable in the long run. One manifestation of such an outcome is that if extensive road investments occur, urban sprawl and decentralization are advanced and locked-in, making subsequent investments in public transit less effective in reducing vehicle kilometers traveled by car, gasoline use and carbon dioxide emissions. Using a simple core-periphery model of Beijing, the authors numerically assess this effect. The analysis confirms that improving the transit travel time in Beijing s core would reduce the city s overall carbon dioxide emissions, whereas the opposite would be the case if peripheral road capacity were expanded. This effect is robust to perturbations in the model s calibrated parameters. In particular, the effect persists for a wide range of assumptions about how location choice depends on travel time and a wide range of assumptions about other aspects of consumer preferences. 2012-03-19T19:11:52Z 2012-03-19T19:11:52Z 2009-08-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090811141152 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4209 English Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5017 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific East Asia and Pacific East Asia Asia China |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
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Foreign Institution |
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Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
ACCELERATION AGGREGATE EMISSION AGGREGATES AIR AIR QUALITY AUTO DEPENDENCE AUTO OWNERSHIP AUTO TRAVEL AUTO TRIPS AUTOMOBILE AUTOMOBILE DEPENDENCE AUTOMOBILES AVERAGE COMMUTE TIME AVERAGE SPEED BICYCLING BUS BUSES CALIBRATION CAR CAR FUEL CAR OWNERS CAR OWNERSHIP CAR TRAVEL CAR USERS CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS CARBON EMISSIONS CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT CLEAN AIR CLEAN ENERGY CLIMATE CHANGE COMMUTERS COMMUTING CONGESTION CONGESTION EXTERNALITIES CONGESTION TOLLS CONSUMER PREFERENCES CONSUMER SURPLUS CONSUMERS COST OF TRAVEL DAMAGES DECENTRALIZATION DISPOSABLE INCOME DRIVING ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC THEORY ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY EMISSION LEVEL EMISSION LEVELS EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSIONS ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY PRICES EQUATIONS EQUILIBRIUM EXPECTED UTILITY EXTERNALITIES FLOOR AREA FLOOR SPACE FREEWAY FUEL FUEL COMBUSTION FUEL CONSUMPTION FUEL COST FUEL EFFICIENCY FUEL TAXES FUEL USE GAS CONSUMPTION GASOLINE GASOLINE CONSUMPTION GASOLINE USE GDP GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION GREENHOUSE GASES HIGH ENERGY HIGHWAY HIGHWAY CAPACITY HIGHWAY EXPANSION HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENT HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENTS HIGHWAY INVESTMENT HOUSING DEVELOPMENT INCOME LEVELS INDIRECT UTILITY INDIRECT UTILITY FUNCTION INEFFICIENCY INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY LAND USE LAND USE PATTERN LAND USE PATTERNS LEVEL OF EMISSIONS LOCAL AIR POLLUTION |
| spellingShingle |
ACCELERATION AGGREGATE EMISSION AGGREGATES AIR AIR QUALITY AUTO DEPENDENCE AUTO OWNERSHIP AUTO TRAVEL AUTO TRIPS AUTOMOBILE AUTOMOBILE DEPENDENCE AUTOMOBILES AVERAGE COMMUTE TIME AVERAGE SPEED BICYCLING BUS BUSES CALIBRATION CAR CAR FUEL CAR OWNERS CAR OWNERSHIP CAR TRAVEL CAR USERS CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS CARBON EMISSIONS CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT CLEAN AIR CLEAN ENERGY CLIMATE CHANGE COMMUTERS COMMUTING CONGESTION CONGESTION EXTERNALITIES CONGESTION TOLLS CONSUMER PREFERENCES CONSUMER SURPLUS CONSUMERS COST OF TRAVEL DAMAGES DECENTRALIZATION DISPOSABLE INCOME DRIVING ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC THEORY ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY EMISSION LEVEL EMISSION LEVELS EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSIONS ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY PRICES EQUATIONS EQUILIBRIUM EXPECTED UTILITY EXTERNALITIES FLOOR AREA FLOOR SPACE FREEWAY FUEL FUEL COMBUSTION FUEL CONSUMPTION FUEL COST FUEL EFFICIENCY FUEL TAXES FUEL USE GAS CONSUMPTION GASOLINE GASOLINE CONSUMPTION GASOLINE USE GDP GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION GREENHOUSE GASES HIGH ENERGY HIGHWAY HIGHWAY CAPACITY HIGHWAY EXPANSION HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENT HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENTS HIGHWAY INVESTMENT HOUSING DEVELOPMENT INCOME LEVELS INDIRECT UTILITY INDIRECT UTILITY FUNCTION INEFFICIENCY INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY LAND USE LAND USE PATTERN LAND USE PATTERNS LEVEL OF EMISSIONS LOCAL AIR POLLUTION Anas, Alex Timilsina, Govinda R. Lock-in Effects of Road Expansion on CO2 Emissions : Results from a Core-Periphery Model of Beijing |
| geographic_facet |
East Asia and Pacific East Asia and Pacific East Asia Asia China |
| relation |
Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change
Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5017 |
| description |
In the urban planning literature, it is
frequently explicitly asserted or strongly implied that
ongoing urban sprawl and decentralization can lead to
development patterns that are unsustainable in the long run.
One manifestation of such an outcome is that if extensive
road investments occur, urban sprawl and decentralization
are advanced and locked-in, making subsequent investments in
public transit less effective in reducing vehicle kilometers
traveled by car, gasoline use and carbon dioxide emissions.
Using a simple core-periphery model of Beijing, the authors
numerically assess this effect. The analysis confirms that
improving the transit travel time in Beijing s core would
reduce the city s overall carbon dioxide emissions, whereas
the opposite would be the case if peripheral road capacity
were expanded. This effect is robust to perturbations in the
model s calibrated parameters. In particular, the effect
persists for a wide range of assumptions about how location
choice depends on travel time and a wide range of
assumptions about other aspects of consumer preferences. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Anas, Alex Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| author_facet |
Anas, Alex Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| author_sort |
Anas, Alex |
| title |
Lock-in Effects of Road Expansion on CO2 Emissions : Results from a Core-Periphery Model of Beijing |
| title_short |
Lock-in Effects of Road Expansion on CO2 Emissions : Results from a Core-Periphery Model of Beijing |
| title_full |
Lock-in Effects of Road Expansion on CO2 Emissions : Results from a Core-Periphery Model of Beijing |
| title_fullStr |
Lock-in Effects of Road Expansion on CO2 Emissions : Results from a Core-Periphery Model of Beijing |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Lock-in Effects of Road Expansion on CO2 Emissions : Results from a Core-Periphery Model of Beijing |
| title_sort |
lock-in effects of road expansion on co2 emissions : results from a core-periphery model of beijing |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090811141152 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4209 |
| _version_ |
1764390419747045376 |