Poverty Effects of Higher Food Prices : A Global Perspective

The spike in food prices between 2005 and the first half of 2008 has highlighted the vulnerabilities of poor consumers to higher prices of agricultural goods and generated calls for massive policy action. This paper provides a formal assessment of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: De Hoyos, Rafael E., Medvedev, Denis
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
CA
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090330112537
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4082
id okr-10986-4082
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURAL INCOMES
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRICES
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS
AGRICULTURAL SELF-EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL WAGE
AGRICULTURE
CA
CALORIC INTAKE
CENTRAL BANKS
CHANGES IN POVERTY
CLIMATE CHANGE
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COMPETITION POLICY
CONSUMER DEMAND
CONSUMER DEMANDS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMER PRICES
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION PATTERNS
CORN
CROP YIELDS
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT ISSUES
DOLLAR POVERTY INCIDENCE
DOMESTIC COMPETITION
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MARKETS
DOMESTIC PRICE
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC REVIEW
ECONOMIC THEORY
EMPIRICAL QUESTION
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
EXPENSIVE FOOD
EXPORT PRICE INDEX
EXTREME POVERTY
EXTREME POVERTY LINE
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FAIR TRADE
FARM ACTIVITIES
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
FARM INCOMES
FARMER
FARMERS
FARMING ACTIVITIES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FOOD BASKET
FOOD BASKETS
FOOD BUNDLE
FOOD BUYERS
FOOD COMMODITIES
FOOD CONSUMERS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD EXPENDITURE
FOOD ITEM
FOOD ITEMS
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD PRICING
FOOD PRODUCERS
FOOD SHARE
FOOD STAPLES
FOOD SUPPLY
FREE TRADE
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
GLOBAL POVERTY
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION
GRAINS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HARMONIZATION
HEADCOUNT RATIO
HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
IMPACT ON POVERTY
INCIDENCE OF POVERTY
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GAINS
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME ON FOOD
INEQUALITY
INFLATION RATES
INSTITUTIONAL CONSTRAINTS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LABOR MARKET
LAND PRICES
LIBERALIZATION
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET DISTORTIONS
MEAN INCOME
MEATS
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
MILLION PEOPLE
NATIONAL POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY HEADCOUNT
NATURAL RESOURCES
NET FOOD CONSUMERS
NEW POOR
NON-FOOD CONSUMPTION
NON-FOOD EXPENDITURE
NON-FOOD ITEMS
NONFOOD ITEMS
PADDY
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
POLICY RESEARCH
POOR
POOR CONSUMERS
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POOR INFRASTRUCTURE
POOR PEOPLE
POORER HOUSEHOLDS
POORER REGIONS
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY IMPACT
POVERTY INCREASE
POVERTY INDICATOR
POVERTY INDICATORS
POVERTY INDICES
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY POVERTY
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE CHANGES
PRICES INCREASE
PROCESSED FOODS
PURCHASING POWER
REAL INCOMES
REAL TERMS
REDUCTION IN POVERTY
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
RURAL INCOME
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL WELFARE
SAVINGS
SMALL FARMERS
SUGAR
SUGAR CANE
TARGETING
TOTAL POVERTY
URBAN AREA
URBAN AREAS
URBAN CONSUMERS
URBAN HOUSEHOLDS
WAGE EARNERS
WAGE PREMIUM
WELFARE INDICATOR
WELFARE MEASURES
WHEAT
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD TRADE
spellingShingle AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURAL INCOMES
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRICES
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS
AGRICULTURAL SELF-EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL WAGE
AGRICULTURE
CA
CALORIC INTAKE
CENTRAL BANKS
CHANGES IN POVERTY
CLIMATE CHANGE
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COMPETITION POLICY
CONSUMER DEMAND
CONSUMER DEMANDS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMER PRICES
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION PATTERNS
CORN
CROP YIELDS
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT ISSUES
DOLLAR POVERTY INCIDENCE
DOMESTIC COMPETITION
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MARKETS
DOMESTIC PRICE
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC REVIEW
ECONOMIC THEORY
EMPIRICAL QUESTION
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
EXPENSIVE FOOD
EXPORT PRICE INDEX
EXTREME POVERTY
EXTREME POVERTY LINE
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FAIR TRADE
FARM ACTIVITIES
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
FARM INCOMES
FARMER
FARMERS
FARMING ACTIVITIES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FOOD BASKET
FOOD BASKETS
FOOD BUNDLE
FOOD BUYERS
FOOD COMMODITIES
FOOD CONSUMERS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD EXPENDITURE
FOOD ITEM
FOOD ITEMS
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD PRICING
FOOD PRODUCERS
FOOD SHARE
FOOD STAPLES
FOOD SUPPLY
FREE TRADE
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
GLOBAL POVERTY
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION
GRAINS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HARMONIZATION
HEADCOUNT RATIO
HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
IMPACT ON POVERTY
INCIDENCE OF POVERTY
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GAINS
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME ON FOOD
INEQUALITY
INFLATION RATES
INSTITUTIONAL CONSTRAINTS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LABOR MARKET
LAND PRICES
LIBERALIZATION
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET DISTORTIONS
MEAN INCOME
MEATS
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
MILLION PEOPLE
NATIONAL POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY HEADCOUNT
NATURAL RESOURCES
NET FOOD CONSUMERS
NEW POOR
NON-FOOD CONSUMPTION
NON-FOOD EXPENDITURE
NON-FOOD ITEMS
NONFOOD ITEMS
PADDY
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
POLICY RESEARCH
POOR
POOR CONSUMERS
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POOR INFRASTRUCTURE
POOR PEOPLE
POORER HOUSEHOLDS
POORER REGIONS
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY IMPACT
POVERTY INCREASE
POVERTY INDICATOR
POVERTY INDICATORS
POVERTY INDICES
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY POVERTY
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE CHANGES
PRICES INCREASE
PROCESSED FOODS
PURCHASING POWER
REAL INCOMES
REAL TERMS
REDUCTION IN POVERTY
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
RURAL INCOME
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL WELFARE
SAVINGS
SMALL FARMERS
SUGAR
SUGAR CANE
TARGETING
TOTAL POVERTY
URBAN AREA
URBAN AREAS
URBAN CONSUMERS
URBAN HOUSEHOLDS
WAGE EARNERS
WAGE PREMIUM
WELFARE INDICATOR
WELFARE MEASURES
WHEAT
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD TRADE
De Hoyos, Rafael E.
Medvedev, Denis
Poverty Effects of Higher Food Prices : A Global Perspective
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4887
description The spike in food prices between 2005 and the first half of 2008 has highlighted the vulnerabilities of poor consumers to higher prices of agricultural goods and generated calls for massive policy action. This paper provides a formal assessment of the direct and indirect impacts of higher prices on global poverty using a representative sample of 63 to 93 percent of the population of the developing world. To assess the direct effects, the paper uses domestic food consumer price data between January 2005 and December 2007--when the relative price of food rose by an average of 5.6 percent --to find that the implied increase in the extreme poverty headcount at the global level is 1.7 percentage points, with significant regional variation. To take the second-order effects into account, the paper links household survey data with a global general equilibrium model, finding that a 5.5 percent increase in agricultural prices (due to rising demand for first-generation biofuels) could raise global poverty in 2010 by 0.6 percentage points at the extreme poverty line and 0.9 percentage points at the moderate poverty line. Poverty increases at the regional level vary substantially, with nearly all of the increase in extreme poverty occurring in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author De Hoyos, Rafael E.
Medvedev, Denis
author_facet De Hoyos, Rafael E.
Medvedev, Denis
author_sort De Hoyos, Rafael E.
title Poverty Effects of Higher Food Prices : A Global Perspective
title_short Poverty Effects of Higher Food Prices : A Global Perspective
title_full Poverty Effects of Higher Food Prices : A Global Perspective
title_fullStr Poverty Effects of Higher Food Prices : A Global Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Poverty Effects of Higher Food Prices : A Global Perspective
title_sort poverty effects of higher food prices : a global perspective
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090330112537
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4082
_version_ 1764389836273221632
spelling okr-10986-40822021-04-23T14:02:15Z Poverty Effects of Higher Food Prices : A Global Perspective De Hoyos, Rafael E. Medvedev, Denis AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITY AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL INCOMES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRICES AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURAL SECTORS AGRICULTURAL SELF-EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL WAGE AGRICULTURE CA CALORIC INTAKE CENTRAL BANKS CHANGES IN POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICES COMPETITION POLICY CONSUMER DEMAND CONSUMER DEMANDS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION PATTERNS CORN CROP YIELDS DEMOGRAPHIC DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING ECONOMIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT ISSUES DOLLAR POVERTY INCIDENCE DOMESTIC COMPETITION DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC REVIEW ECONOMIC THEORY EMPIRICAL QUESTION ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS EXPENSIVE FOOD EXPORT PRICE INDEX EXTREME POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY LINE FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FAIR TRADE FARM ACTIVITIES FARM HOUSEHOLDS FARM INCOMES FARMER FARMERS FARMING ACTIVITIES FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD BASKET FOOD BASKETS FOOD BUNDLE FOOD BUYERS FOOD COMMODITIES FOOD CONSUMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURE FOOD ITEM FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRICING FOOD PRODUCERS FOOD SHARE FOOD STAPLES FOOD SUPPLY FREE TRADE GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS GLOBAL POVERTY GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GRAINS GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HARMONIZATION HEADCOUNT RATIO HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES HOUSEHOLD BUDGET HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSEHOLD WELFARE IMPACT ON POVERTY INCIDENCE OF POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GAINS INCOME GROUPS INCOME ON FOOD INEQUALITY INFLATION RATES INSTITUTIONAL CONSTRAINTS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LABOR MARKET LAND PRICES LIBERALIZATION LIVING STANDARDS LOCAL CURRENCY LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MARKET ACCESS MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET DISTORTIONS MEAN INCOME MEATS MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES MILLION PEOPLE NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY HEADCOUNT NATURAL RESOURCES NET FOOD CONSUMERS NEW POOR NON-FOOD CONSUMPTION NON-FOOD EXPENDITURE NON-FOOD ITEMS NONFOOD ITEMS PADDY PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION POLICY RESEARCH POOR POOR CONSUMERS POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR INFRASTRUCTURE POOR PEOPLE POORER HOUSEHOLDS POORER REGIONS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INCREASE POVERTY INDICATOR POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY INDICES POVERTY LINES POVERTY POVERTY POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION PRICE CHANGES PRICES INCREASE PROCESSED FOODS PURCHASING POWER REAL INCOMES REAL TERMS REDUCTION IN POVERTY RELATIVE PRICE RELATIVE PRICES RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL HOUSEHOLD RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL INCOME RURAL POVERTY RURAL WELFARE SAVINGS SMALL FARMERS SUGAR SUGAR CANE TARGETING TOTAL POVERTY URBAN AREA URBAN AREAS URBAN CONSUMERS URBAN HOUSEHOLDS WAGE EARNERS WAGE PREMIUM WELFARE INDICATOR WELFARE MEASURES WHEAT WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLD TRADE The spike in food prices between 2005 and the first half of 2008 has highlighted the vulnerabilities of poor consumers to higher prices of agricultural goods and generated calls for massive policy action. This paper provides a formal assessment of the direct and indirect impacts of higher prices on global poverty using a representative sample of 63 to 93 percent of the population of the developing world. To assess the direct effects, the paper uses domestic food consumer price data between January 2005 and December 2007--when the relative price of food rose by an average of 5.6 percent --to find that the implied increase in the extreme poverty headcount at the global level is 1.7 percentage points, with significant regional variation. To take the second-order effects into account, the paper links household survey data with a global general equilibrium model, finding that a 5.5 percent increase in agricultural prices (due to rising demand for first-generation biofuels) could raise global poverty in 2010 by 0.6 percentage points at the extreme poverty line and 0.9 percentage points at the moderate poverty line. Poverty increases at the regional level vary substantially, with nearly all of the increase in extreme poverty occurring in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. 2012-03-19T19:09:40Z 2012-03-19T19:09:40Z 2009-03-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090330112537 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4082 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4887 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region