Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets

The economic benefits of debt relief for recipient countries have been the subject of arduous debate, at least partly motivated by the difficulty of identifying the causal effect of debt relief on economic performance-given that performance itself...

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Main Author: Raddatz, Claudio
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090323094828
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4067
id okr-10986-4067
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-40672021-04-23T14:02:15Z Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets Raddatz, Claudio ACCOUNTING AFFILIATES ASSETS BASIS POINTS BILATERAL CREDITORS BUSINESS TAXES BUYBACK CAPITAL FORMATION CHECKS COLLECT DEBT COMMERCIAL CREDITORS COMMERCIAL LOANS COMMODITIES CONSUMER CONSUMER GOODS CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CREDITOR CREDITOR RIGHTS CREDITORS CURRENT DEBT DEBT DEBT ACCUMULATION DEBT BURDEN DEBT BURDENS DEBT FORGIVENESS DEBT LEVELS DEBT OBLIGATIONS DEBT OVERHANG DEBT PROBLEMS DEBT REDUCTION DEBT RELIEF DEBT RELIEF INITIATIVE DEBT RELIEF INITIATIVES DEBT RELIEF PACKAGE DEBT SERVICE DEBT STOCK DEBT STOCK REDUCTIONS DEBT SUSTAINABILITY DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS DEBTOR DEBTOR COUNTRIES DEBTS DEPENDENT DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT BANK DIVIDEND DUMMY VARIABLE EARNINGS ECONOMIC COSTS EFFECT OF DEBT EMERGING MARKETS EMERGING STOCK MARKET EMERGING STOCK MARKETS EMPLOYMENT EQUIPMENT EXCESSIVE DEBT EXPENDITURE EXPROPRIATION FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL SERVICES FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOREIGN CREDITORS GLOBAL MARKETS GOVERNMENT REVENUE HOLDINGS HOST COUNTRY HUMAN CAPITAL ILLIQUIDITY IMPACT OF DEBT IMPLICIT TAX INCOME INCOME TAXES INDEBTED INDEBTED POOR COUNTRIES INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL FINANCE INVESTMENT CORPORATION INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES INVESTMENT PROJECTS LEVELS OF DEBT LIFE ASSURANCE LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LOW INCOME LOW- INCOME LOW-INCOME LYON MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE MACROECONOMICS MAJOR DEBT MARKET CAPITALIZATION MARKET RETURN MARKET TURNOVER MASSIVE DEBT MONETARY FUND MULTILATERAL DEBT MULTILATERAL DEBT RELIEF OPEN ECONOMIES PAR VALUE PARENT COMPANIES PARENT COMPANY POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PRESS COVERAGE PRIVATE CREDIT PRIVATE INVESTMENT PROBABILITY PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC GOODS REAL EXCHANGE RATE RECIPIENT COUNTRIES REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS RENTS REPAYMENT RESEARCH ASSISTANCE RETURN RETURNS SALES SECURITIES SENIOR SHARE PRICES SOVEREIGN DEBT STOCK EXCHANGE STOCK MARKETS STOCK OF DEBT STOCK RETURN STOCK RETURNS STOCKS SUBSIDIARIES SUBSIDIARY SUBSTANTIAL DEBT SUBSTANTIAL DEBT RELIEF TAXATION TRADING TYPE OF DEBT VALUABLE VALUATION VALUE OF DEBT WORLD MARKETS WORTH The economic benefits of debt relief for recipient countries have been the subject of arduous debate, at least partly motivated by the difficulty of identifying the causal effect of debt relief on economic performance-given that performance itself may drive the decision to grant relief. This paper conducts an event study to assess the economic consequences of multilateral debt relief for recipient countries that is robust to these reverse causality issues. It estimates the response of the stock prices of South African multinationals with subsidiaries in those countries to the announcement of debt relief initiatives, and shows that stock prices exhibit a significant increase above those of other firms, especially around the launching of the recent Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative. The improvement in financial markets' assessment of the value of these multinationals is consistent with lower expected levels of future taxation in the recipient countries. Overall, the results are consistent with the "debt overhang" argument for debt relief. 2012-03-19T19:09:25Z 2012-03-19T19:09:25Z 2009-03-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090323094828 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4067 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4872 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCOUNTING
AFFILIATES
ASSETS
BASIS POINTS
BILATERAL CREDITORS
BUSINESS TAXES
BUYBACK
CAPITAL FORMATION
CHECKS
COLLECT DEBT
COMMERCIAL CREDITORS
COMMERCIAL LOANS
COMMODITIES
CONSUMER
CONSUMER GOODS
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
CREDITOR
CREDITOR RIGHTS
CREDITORS
CURRENT DEBT
DEBT
DEBT ACCUMULATION
DEBT BURDEN
DEBT BURDENS
DEBT FORGIVENESS
DEBT LEVELS
DEBT OBLIGATIONS
DEBT OVERHANG
DEBT PROBLEMS
DEBT REDUCTION
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT RELIEF INITIATIVE
DEBT RELIEF INITIATIVES
DEBT RELIEF PACKAGE
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT STOCK
DEBT STOCK REDUCTIONS
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
DEBTOR
DEBTOR COUNTRIES
DEBTS
DEPENDENT
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DIVIDEND
DUMMY VARIABLE
EARNINGS
ECONOMIC COSTS
EFFECT OF DEBT
EMERGING MARKETS
EMERGING STOCK MARKET
EMERGING STOCK MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUIPMENT
EXCESSIVE DEBT
EXPENDITURE
EXPROPRIATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FOREIGN CREDITORS
GLOBAL MARKETS
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
HOLDINGS
HOST COUNTRY
HUMAN CAPITAL
ILLIQUIDITY
IMPACT OF DEBT
IMPLICIT TAX
INCOME
INCOME TAXES
INDEBTED
INDEBTED POOR COUNTRIES
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INVESTMENT CORPORATION
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
LEVELS OF DEBT
LIFE ASSURANCE
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
LOW INCOME
LOW- INCOME
LOW-INCOME
LYON
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
MACROECONOMICS
MAJOR DEBT
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
MARKET RETURN
MARKET TURNOVER
MASSIVE DEBT
MONETARY FUND
MULTILATERAL DEBT
MULTILATERAL DEBT RELIEF
OPEN ECONOMIES
PAR VALUE
PARENT COMPANIES
PARENT COMPANY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PRESS COVERAGE
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PROBABILITY
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC GOODS
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
RECIPIENT COUNTRIES
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS
RENTS
REPAYMENT
RESEARCH ASSISTANCE
RETURN
RETURNS
SALES
SECURITIES
SENIOR
SHARE PRICES
SOVEREIGN DEBT
STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK MARKETS
STOCK OF DEBT
STOCK RETURN
STOCK RETURNS
STOCKS
SUBSIDIARIES
SUBSIDIARY
SUBSTANTIAL DEBT
SUBSTANTIAL DEBT RELIEF
TAXATION
TRADING
TYPE OF DEBT
VALUABLE
VALUATION
VALUE OF DEBT
WORLD MARKETS
WORTH
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
AFFILIATES
ASSETS
BASIS POINTS
BILATERAL CREDITORS
BUSINESS TAXES
BUYBACK
CAPITAL FORMATION
CHECKS
COLLECT DEBT
COMMERCIAL CREDITORS
COMMERCIAL LOANS
COMMODITIES
CONSUMER
CONSUMER GOODS
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
CREDITOR
CREDITOR RIGHTS
CREDITORS
CURRENT DEBT
DEBT
DEBT ACCUMULATION
DEBT BURDEN
DEBT BURDENS
DEBT FORGIVENESS
DEBT LEVELS
DEBT OBLIGATIONS
DEBT OVERHANG
DEBT PROBLEMS
DEBT REDUCTION
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT RELIEF INITIATIVE
DEBT RELIEF INITIATIVES
DEBT RELIEF PACKAGE
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT STOCK
DEBT STOCK REDUCTIONS
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
DEBTOR
DEBTOR COUNTRIES
DEBTS
DEPENDENT
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DIVIDEND
DUMMY VARIABLE
EARNINGS
ECONOMIC COSTS
EFFECT OF DEBT
EMERGING MARKETS
EMERGING STOCK MARKET
EMERGING STOCK MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUIPMENT
EXCESSIVE DEBT
EXPENDITURE
EXPROPRIATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FOREIGN CREDITORS
GLOBAL MARKETS
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
HOLDINGS
HOST COUNTRY
HUMAN CAPITAL
ILLIQUIDITY
IMPACT OF DEBT
IMPLICIT TAX
INCOME
INCOME TAXES
INDEBTED
INDEBTED POOR COUNTRIES
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INVESTMENT CORPORATION
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
LEVELS OF DEBT
LIFE ASSURANCE
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
LOW INCOME
LOW- INCOME
LOW-INCOME
LYON
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
MACROECONOMICS
MAJOR DEBT
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
MARKET RETURN
MARKET TURNOVER
MASSIVE DEBT
MONETARY FUND
MULTILATERAL DEBT
MULTILATERAL DEBT RELIEF
OPEN ECONOMIES
PAR VALUE
PARENT COMPANIES
PARENT COMPANY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PRESS COVERAGE
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PROBABILITY
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC GOODS
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
RECIPIENT COUNTRIES
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS
RENTS
REPAYMENT
RESEARCH ASSISTANCE
RETURN
RETURNS
SALES
SECURITIES
SENIOR
SHARE PRICES
SOVEREIGN DEBT
STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK MARKETS
STOCK OF DEBT
STOCK RETURN
STOCK RETURNS
STOCKS
SUBSIDIARIES
SUBSIDIARY
SUBSTANTIAL DEBT
SUBSTANTIAL DEBT RELIEF
TAXATION
TRADING
TYPE OF DEBT
VALUABLE
VALUATION
VALUE OF DEBT
WORLD MARKETS
WORTH
Raddatz, Claudio
Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4872
description The economic benefits of debt relief for recipient countries have been the subject of arduous debate, at least partly motivated by the difficulty of identifying the causal effect of debt relief on economic performance-given that performance itself may drive the decision to grant relief. This paper conducts an event study to assess the economic consequences of multilateral debt relief for recipient countries that is robust to these reverse causality issues. It estimates the response of the stock prices of South African multinationals with subsidiaries in those countries to the announcement of debt relief initiatives, and shows that stock prices exhibit a significant increase above those of other firms, especially around the launching of the recent Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative. The improvement in financial markets' assessment of the value of these multinationals is consistent with lower expected levels of future taxation in the recipient countries. Overall, the results are consistent with the "debt overhang" argument for debt relief.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Raddatz, Claudio
author_facet Raddatz, Claudio
author_sort Raddatz, Claudio
title Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets
title_short Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets
title_full Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets
title_fullStr Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets
title_full_unstemmed Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets
title_sort multilateral debt relief through the eyes of financial markets
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090323094828
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4067
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