The developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class"

The "developing world's middle class" is defined here as those who are not poor when judged by the median poverty line of developing countries, but are still poor by US standards. The "Western middle class" is defined as th...

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Main Author: Ravallion, Martin
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090112143046
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4013
id okr-10986-4013
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABSOLUTE DIFFERENCE
ABSOLUTE POVERTY
ABSOLUTE TERMS
ABSOLUTE VALUE
AGGREGATE POVERTY
AID EFFECTIVENESS
ANNUALIZED CHANGE
AVERAGE GROWTH
AVERAGE GROWTH RATE
BASIC NEEDS
CHANGES IN POVERTY
CHINESE POPULATION
CITIZENS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
COUNTERFACTUAL
COUNTRY LEVEL
CROSS-COUNTRY COMPARISONS
CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFERENCES
CULTURAL CHANGE
CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION
CURRENT POVERTY
DATA SET
DENSITY FUNCTION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPING WORLD
DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS
DEVELOPMENT GOALS
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS
DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGE
DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGES
DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECT
DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS
ECONOMIC CONTRACTION
ECONOMIC CONTRACTIONS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC REVIEW
ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS LETTERS
EMPIRICAL ESTIMATES
EMPIRICAL FINDINGS
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EXTREME POVERTY
FALLING POVERTY
FEWER PEOPLE
FIGHT AGAINST POVERTY
FINANCIAL CRISIS
GINI INDEX
GLOBAL MARKETS
GLOBAL POVERTY
GROWING ECONOMY
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH ELASTICITY
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH PROSPECTS
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSIONS
HETEROSKEDASTICITY
HIGH GROWTH
HIGH INEQUALITY
HIGH INEQUALITY COUNTRIES
HIGH POVERTY
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
INCIDENCE OF POVERTY
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME GROWTH RATE
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME LEVELS
INCOMES INCREASE
INEQUALITY INDEX
INEQUALITY MEASURE
INEQUALITY MEASUREMENT
LEVEL OF POVERTY
LOG GINI
MEAN CHANGE
MEAN CONSUMPTION
MEAN INCOME
MEAN INCOMES
MEASUREMENT ERROR
MEASUREMENT ERRORS
MEASUREMENT OF POVERTY
MEDIAN POVERTY
MIDDLE CLASS
MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
NATIONAL COUNCIL
NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
NATIONAL POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY LINES
NEGATIVE COEFFICIENT
NEGATIVE CORRELATION
NEGATIVE VALUE
NUMBER OF PEOPLE
POLARIZATION MEASURES
POLICY REFORM
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POOR COUNTRIES
POOR PEOPLE
POPULATION GROWTH
POPULATION SHARE
POPULOUS COUNTRIES
POSITIVE CORRELATION
POSITIVE GROWTH
POVERTY INCIDENCE
POVERTY LEVEL
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY MEASURE
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY MEASURES
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCING
POVERTY REDUCTION
POWER PARITY
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRO-POOR
PRO-POOR GROWTH
PROGRESS
PROMOTING GROWTH
PROPORTIONATE CHANGES
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF GROWTH
REDUCING POVERTY
REDUCTION IN POVERTY
RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION
RESPECT
RICH COUNTRIES
RURAL AREAS
SECTORAL COMPOSITION
SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE
SPILLOVER
URBAN AREAS
URBAN BIAS
VULNERABILITY
WORLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION
spellingShingle ABSOLUTE DIFFERENCE
ABSOLUTE POVERTY
ABSOLUTE TERMS
ABSOLUTE VALUE
AGGREGATE POVERTY
AID EFFECTIVENESS
ANNUALIZED CHANGE
AVERAGE GROWTH
AVERAGE GROWTH RATE
BASIC NEEDS
CHANGES IN POVERTY
CHINESE POPULATION
CITIZENS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
COUNTERFACTUAL
COUNTRY LEVEL
CROSS-COUNTRY COMPARISONS
CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFERENCES
CULTURAL CHANGE
CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION
CURRENT POVERTY
DATA SET
DENSITY FUNCTION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPING WORLD
DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS
DEVELOPMENT GOALS
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS
DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGE
DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGES
DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECT
DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS
ECONOMIC CONTRACTION
ECONOMIC CONTRACTIONS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC REVIEW
ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS LETTERS
EMPIRICAL ESTIMATES
EMPIRICAL FINDINGS
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EXTREME POVERTY
FALLING POVERTY
FEWER PEOPLE
FIGHT AGAINST POVERTY
FINANCIAL CRISIS
GINI INDEX
GLOBAL MARKETS
GLOBAL POVERTY
GROWING ECONOMY
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH ELASTICITY
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH PROSPECTS
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSIONS
HETEROSKEDASTICITY
HIGH GROWTH
HIGH INEQUALITY
HIGH INEQUALITY COUNTRIES
HIGH POVERTY
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
INCIDENCE OF POVERTY
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME GROWTH RATE
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME LEVELS
INCOMES INCREASE
INEQUALITY INDEX
INEQUALITY MEASURE
INEQUALITY MEASUREMENT
LEVEL OF POVERTY
LOG GINI
MEAN CHANGE
MEAN CONSUMPTION
MEAN INCOME
MEAN INCOMES
MEASUREMENT ERROR
MEASUREMENT ERRORS
MEASUREMENT OF POVERTY
MEDIAN POVERTY
MIDDLE CLASS
MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
NATIONAL COUNCIL
NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
NATIONAL POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY LINES
NEGATIVE COEFFICIENT
NEGATIVE CORRELATION
NEGATIVE VALUE
NUMBER OF PEOPLE
POLARIZATION MEASURES
POLICY REFORM
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POOR COUNTRIES
POOR PEOPLE
POPULATION GROWTH
POPULATION SHARE
POPULOUS COUNTRIES
POSITIVE CORRELATION
POSITIVE GROWTH
POVERTY INCIDENCE
POVERTY LEVEL
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY MEASURE
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY MEASURES
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCING
POVERTY REDUCTION
POWER PARITY
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRO-POOR
PRO-POOR GROWTH
PROGRESS
PROMOTING GROWTH
PROPORTIONATE CHANGES
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF GROWTH
REDUCING POVERTY
REDUCTION IN POVERTY
RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION
RESPECT
RICH COUNTRIES
RURAL AREAS
SECTORAL COMPOSITION
SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE
SPILLOVER
URBAN AREAS
URBAN BIAS
VULNERABILITY
WORLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION
Ravallion, Martin
The developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class"
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4816
description The "developing world's middle class" is defined here as those who are not poor when judged by the median poverty line of developing countries, but are still poor by US standards. The "Western middle class" is defined as those who are not poor by US standards. Although barely 80 million people in the developing world entered the Western middle class over 1990-2002, economic growth and distributional shifts allowed an extra 1.2 billion people to join the developing world's middle class. Four-fifths came from Asia, and half from China. Most of the new entrants remained fairly close to poverty, with incomes now bunched up just above $2 a day. The vulnerability of this new middle class to aggregate economic contractions is evident in the fact that one in six people in the developing world live between $2 and $3 per day. Over time, the developing world has become more sharply divided between countries with a large middle class and those with a relatively small one, with Africa prominent in the latter group. Poor people in countries with smaller middle classes may well be more exposed to slowing economic growth.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Ravallion, Martin
author_facet Ravallion, Martin
author_sort Ravallion, Martin
title The developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class"
title_short The developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class"
title_full The developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class"
title_fullStr The developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class"
title_full_unstemmed The developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class"
title_sort developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class"
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090112143046
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4013
_version_ 1764389499016577024
spelling okr-10986-40132021-04-23T14:02:14Z The developing world's bulging (but vulnerable) "middle class" Ravallion, Martin ABSOLUTE DIFFERENCE ABSOLUTE POVERTY ABSOLUTE TERMS ABSOLUTE VALUE AGGREGATE POVERTY AID EFFECTIVENESS ANNUALIZED CHANGE AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE BASIC NEEDS CHANGES IN POVERTY CHINESE POPULATION CITIZENS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTERFACTUAL COUNTRY LEVEL CROSS-COUNTRY COMPARISONS CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFERENCES CULTURAL CHANGE CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION CURRENT POVERTY DATA SET DENSITY FUNCTION DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPING WORLD DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGE DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGES DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECT DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS ECONOMIC CONTRACTION ECONOMIC CONTRACTIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC INEQUALITY ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMIC REVIEW ECONOMICS ECONOMICS LETTERS EMPIRICAL ESTIMATES EMPIRICAL FINDINGS EMPIRICAL RESULTS EMPIRICAL STUDIES EXTREME POVERTY FALLING POVERTY FEWER PEOPLE FIGHT AGAINST POVERTY FINANCIAL CRISIS GINI INDEX GLOBAL MARKETS GLOBAL POVERTY GROWING ECONOMY GROWTH EFFECT GROWTH ELASTICITY GROWTH PROCESS GROWTH PROSPECTS GROWTH RATES GROWTH REGRESSIONS HETEROSKEDASTICITY HIGH GROWTH HIGH INEQUALITY HIGH INEQUALITY COUNTRIES HIGH POVERTY HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS INCIDENCE OF POVERTY INCOME GROWTH INCOME GROWTH RATE INCOME LEVEL INCOME LEVELS INCOMES INCREASE INEQUALITY INDEX INEQUALITY MEASURE INEQUALITY MEASUREMENT LEVEL OF POVERTY LOG GINI MEAN CHANGE MEAN CONSUMPTION MEAN INCOME MEAN INCOMES MEASUREMENT ERROR MEASUREMENT ERRORS MEASUREMENT OF POVERTY MEDIAN POVERTY MIDDLE CLASS MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS NATIONAL ACCOUNTS NATIONAL COUNCIL NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY LINES NEGATIVE COEFFICIENT NEGATIVE CORRELATION NEGATIVE VALUE NUMBER OF PEOPLE POLARIZATION MEASURES POLICY REFORM POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR COUNTRIES POOR PEOPLE POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION SHARE POPULOUS COUNTRIES POSITIVE CORRELATION POSITIVE GROWTH POVERTY INCIDENCE POVERTY LEVEL POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASURE POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION POWER PARITY PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRO-POOR PRO-POOR GROWTH PROGRESS PROMOTING GROWTH PROPORTIONATE CHANGES PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY RATE OF GROWTH REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION IN POVERTY RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION RESPECT RICH COUNTRIES RURAL AREAS SECTORAL COMPOSITION SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE SPILLOVER URBAN AREAS URBAN BIAS VULNERABILITY WORLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION The "developing world's middle class" is defined here as those who are not poor when judged by the median poverty line of developing countries, but are still poor by US standards. The "Western middle class" is defined as those who are not poor by US standards. Although barely 80 million people in the developing world entered the Western middle class over 1990-2002, economic growth and distributional shifts allowed an extra 1.2 billion people to join the developing world's middle class. Four-fifths came from Asia, and half from China. Most of the new entrants remained fairly close to poverty, with incomes now bunched up just above $2 a day. The vulnerability of this new middle class to aggregate economic contractions is evident in the fact that one in six people in the developing world live between $2 and $3 per day. Over time, the developing world has become more sharply divided between countries with a large middle class and those with a relatively small one, with Africa prominent in the latter group. Poor people in countries with smaller middle classes may well be more exposed to slowing economic growth. 2012-03-19T19:08:21Z 2012-03-19T19:08:21Z 2009-01-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090112143046 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4013 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4816 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region