Understanding the Benefits of Regional Integration to Trade : The Application of a Gravity Model to the Case of Central America

The paper identifies the impact of physical barriers to trade within Central America through the use of an augmented and partially constrained Gravity Model of Trade. Adjusting the Euclidian distance factor for Central America by real average trans...

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Main Authors: Gordillo, Darwin Marcelo, Stokenberga, Aiga, Schwartz, Jordan
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
AIR
CA
GDP
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101214085824
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3990
id okr-10986-3990
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURE
AIR
ARTERIES
BANANAS
BARRIERS TO TRADE
BENCHMARK
BENCHMARKS
BENEFITS OF TRADE
BENEFITS OF TRADE FACILITATION
BEVERAGES
BILATERAL TRADE
BORDER CROSSING
BORDER CROSSINGS
BORDER TRADE
BOTTLENECKS
CA
CANE SUGAR
CASTINGS
CEREAL PRODUCTS
CIGARS
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
CONGESTION
CORN
CUSTOMS
CUSTOMS ADMINISTRATION
CUSTOMS CLEARANCE
CUSTOMS PROCEDURES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DRIVERS
ECONOMIC COOPERATION
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMICS
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPORT BASKET
EXPORT BASKETS
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT MARKETS
EXPORT PROCEDURES
EXPORT STRUCTURES
EXPORT VALUE
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL TRADE
FOOD EXPORTS
FOOD IMPORTS
FOOD PRICES
FOREIGN MARKETS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
FREE TRADE ZONES
FREIGHT
FRUIT
FRUITS
FUELS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GRAINS
GRAVITY EQUATION
GRAVITY MODEL
GRAVITY MODELS
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATE
HAZARD
IMPERFECT COMPETITION
IMPORT MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INTRAREGIONAL TRADE
MAIZE
MARKET SIZE
MARKET SIZE EFFECTS
METAL PRODUCTS
OPENNESS
OPTIMIZATION
PACKAGING
PALM OIL
PATTERNS OF TRADE
POSITIVE EFFECTS
PROCESSED FOODS
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
RAIL
RAIL SERVICES
RAILWAY
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE INTEGRATION
RICE
ROAD
ROAD CONDITIONS
ROAD HAULAGE
ROAD QUALITY
ROADS
ROUTE
ROUTES
RUBBER
SEAFOOD
SPEEDS
STEEL
STEEL BARS
STEEL PRODUCTS
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
TARIFF BARRIERS
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE DETERMINANTS
TRADE FACILITATION
TRADE FLOWS
TRADE IMPEDIMENTS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE MODEL
TRADE MORE
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE PARTNERS
TRADE PATTERNS
TRADE PERFORMANCE
TRADE VARIABLES
TRADE VOLUMES
TRADE ZONE
TRADING PATTERNS
TRAFFIC
TRANSIT
TRANSPORT
TRANSPORT COSTS
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORT MODES
TRANSPORT SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
TUBES
VEGETABLE OILS
VEGETABLES
VITAMINS
WAXES
WHEAT
spellingShingle ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURE
AIR
ARTERIES
BANANAS
BARRIERS TO TRADE
BENCHMARK
BENCHMARKS
BENEFITS OF TRADE
BENEFITS OF TRADE FACILITATION
BEVERAGES
BILATERAL TRADE
BORDER CROSSING
BORDER CROSSINGS
BORDER TRADE
BOTTLENECKS
CA
CANE SUGAR
CASTINGS
CEREAL PRODUCTS
CIGARS
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
CONGESTION
CORN
CUSTOMS
CUSTOMS ADMINISTRATION
CUSTOMS CLEARANCE
CUSTOMS PROCEDURES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DRIVERS
ECONOMIC COOPERATION
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMICS
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPORT BASKET
EXPORT BASKETS
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT MARKETS
EXPORT PROCEDURES
EXPORT STRUCTURES
EXPORT VALUE
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL TRADE
FOOD EXPORTS
FOOD IMPORTS
FOOD PRICES
FOREIGN MARKETS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
FREE TRADE ZONES
FREIGHT
FRUIT
FRUITS
FUELS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GRAINS
GRAVITY EQUATION
GRAVITY MODEL
GRAVITY MODELS
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATE
HAZARD
IMPERFECT COMPETITION
IMPORT MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INTRAREGIONAL TRADE
MAIZE
MARKET SIZE
MARKET SIZE EFFECTS
METAL PRODUCTS
OPENNESS
OPTIMIZATION
PACKAGING
PALM OIL
PATTERNS OF TRADE
POSITIVE EFFECTS
PROCESSED FOODS
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
RAIL
RAIL SERVICES
RAILWAY
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE INTEGRATION
RICE
ROAD
ROAD CONDITIONS
ROAD HAULAGE
ROAD QUALITY
ROADS
ROUTE
ROUTES
RUBBER
SEAFOOD
SPEEDS
STEEL
STEEL BARS
STEEL PRODUCTS
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
TARIFF BARRIERS
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE DETERMINANTS
TRADE FACILITATION
TRADE FLOWS
TRADE IMPEDIMENTS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE MODEL
TRADE MORE
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE PARTNERS
TRADE PATTERNS
TRADE PERFORMANCE
TRADE VARIABLES
TRADE VOLUMES
TRADE ZONE
TRADING PATTERNS
TRAFFIC
TRANSIT
TRANSPORT
TRANSPORT COSTS
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORT MODES
TRANSPORT SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
TUBES
VEGETABLE OILS
VEGETABLES
VITAMINS
WAXES
WHEAT
Gordillo, Darwin Marcelo
Stokenberga, Aiga
Schwartz, Jordan
Understanding the Benefits of Regional Integration to Trade : The Application of a Gravity Model to the Case of Central America
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Central America
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5506
description The paper identifies the impact of physical barriers to trade within Central America through the use of an augmented and partially constrained Gravity Model of Trade. Adjusting the Euclidian distance factor for Central America by real average transport times, the model quantifies the impact of poor connectivity and border frictions on the region's internal trade as well as its trade with external partners, such as the United States and Europe. In addition, the authors benchmark Central America's trade coefficients against those of a physically integrated region by running a parallel Gravity Model for the 15 core countries of the European Union. This allows for the estimation of potential intra-regional and external trade levels if Central America were to reduce border frictions and time of travel between countries and thus benefit from both the adjacency of each country's neighbors and the gravitational pull of the region's economies. The analysis is conducted for all of Central America's trade and is also disaggregated for three groups of products -- processed fruits and vegetables; steel and steel products; and grains -- by both volume and value. This differentiation tests the consistency of the results while providing insight into the differentiation in trading patterns and potential for these containerized, break-bulk, and bulk products. The results of the model include a potential doubling in intraregional exports if Central America could achieve the adjacency and time-distance factors of a truly integrated region. In addition, the region's combined exports to the European Union and the United States are projected to increase by more than a third compared with the current level, assuming European Union-level adjacency performance. Even more external trade benefits would accrue by reducing the economic penalty imposed by overland transport and border crossing inefficiencies.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Gordillo, Darwin Marcelo
Stokenberga, Aiga
Schwartz, Jordan
author_facet Gordillo, Darwin Marcelo
Stokenberga, Aiga
Schwartz, Jordan
author_sort Gordillo, Darwin Marcelo
title Understanding the Benefits of Regional Integration to Trade : The Application of a Gravity Model to the Case of Central America
title_short Understanding the Benefits of Regional Integration to Trade : The Application of a Gravity Model to the Case of Central America
title_full Understanding the Benefits of Regional Integration to Trade : The Application of a Gravity Model to the Case of Central America
title_fullStr Understanding the Benefits of Regional Integration to Trade : The Application of a Gravity Model to the Case of Central America
title_full_unstemmed Understanding the Benefits of Regional Integration to Trade : The Application of a Gravity Model to the Case of Central America
title_sort understanding the benefits of regional integration to trade : the application of a gravity model to the case of central america
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101214085824
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3990
_version_ 1764389371056750592
spelling okr-10986-39902021-04-23T14:02:14Z Understanding the Benefits of Regional Integration to Trade : The Application of a Gravity Model to the Case of Central America Gordillo, Darwin Marcelo Stokenberga, Aiga Schwartz, Jordan ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AGRICULTURE AIR ARTERIES BANANAS BARRIERS TO TRADE BENCHMARK BENCHMARKS BENEFITS OF TRADE BENEFITS OF TRADE FACILITATION BEVERAGES BILATERAL TRADE BORDER CROSSING BORDER CROSSINGS BORDER TRADE BOTTLENECKS CA CANE SUGAR CASTINGS CEREAL PRODUCTS CIGARS COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPETITIVENESS CONGESTION CORN CUSTOMS CUSTOMS ADMINISTRATION CUSTOMS CLEARANCE CUSTOMS PROCEDURES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DRIVERS ECONOMIC COOPERATION ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMICS ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPORT BASKET EXPORT BASKETS EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION EXPORT MARKETS EXPORT PROCEDURES EXPORT STRUCTURES EXPORT VALUE EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL TRADE FOOD EXPORTS FOOD IMPORTS FOOD PRICES FOREIGN MARKETS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENT FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS FREE TRADE ZONES FREIGHT FRUIT FRUITS FUELS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GRAINS GRAVITY EQUATION GRAVITY MODEL GRAVITY MODELS GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH RATE HAZARD IMPERFECT COMPETITION IMPORT MARKETS INTERNATIONAL TRADE INTRAREGIONAL TRADE MAIZE MARKET SIZE MARKET SIZE EFFECTS METAL PRODUCTS OPENNESS OPTIMIZATION PACKAGING PALM OIL PATTERNS OF TRADE POSITIVE EFFECTS PROCESSED FOODS PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH RAIL RAIL SERVICES RAILWAY REGIONAL INTEGRATION REGIONAL TRADE REGIONAL TRADE INTEGRATION RICE ROAD ROAD CONDITIONS ROAD HAULAGE ROAD QUALITY ROADS ROUTE ROUTES RUBBER SEAFOOD SPEEDS STEEL STEEL BARS STEEL PRODUCTS STRUCTURAL CHANGE TARIFF BARRIERS TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER TRADE AGREEMENT TRADE BARRIERS TRADE DETERMINANTS TRADE FACILITATION TRADE FLOWS TRADE IMPEDIMENTS TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE MODEL TRADE MORE TRADE OPENNESS TRADE PARTNERS TRADE PATTERNS TRADE PERFORMANCE TRADE VARIABLES TRADE VOLUMES TRADE ZONE TRADING PATTERNS TRAFFIC TRANSIT TRANSPORT TRANSPORT COSTS TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE TRANSPORT MODES TRANSPORT SERVICES TRANSPORTATION TRANSPORTATION COSTS TRANSPORTATION SERVICES TUBES VEGETABLE OILS VEGETABLES VITAMINS WAXES WHEAT The paper identifies the impact of physical barriers to trade within Central America through the use of an augmented and partially constrained Gravity Model of Trade. Adjusting the Euclidian distance factor for Central America by real average transport times, the model quantifies the impact of poor connectivity and border frictions on the region's internal trade as well as its trade with external partners, such as the United States and Europe. In addition, the authors benchmark Central America's trade coefficients against those of a physically integrated region by running a parallel Gravity Model for the 15 core countries of the European Union. This allows for the estimation of potential intra-regional and external trade levels if Central America were to reduce border frictions and time of travel between countries and thus benefit from both the adjacency of each country's neighbors and the gravitational pull of the region's economies. The analysis is conducted for all of Central America's trade and is also disaggregated for three groups of products -- processed fruits and vegetables; steel and steel products; and grains -- by both volume and value. This differentiation tests the consistency of the results while providing insight into the differentiation in trading patterns and potential for these containerized, break-bulk, and bulk products. The results of the model include a potential doubling in intraregional exports if Central America could achieve the adjacency and time-distance factors of a truly integrated region. In addition, the region's combined exports to the European Union and the United States are projected to increase by more than a third compared with the current level, assuming European Union-level adjacency performance. Even more external trade benefits would accrue by reducing the economic penalty imposed by overland transport and border crossing inefficiencies. 2012-03-19T18:43:27Z 2012-03-19T18:43:27Z 2010-12-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101214085824 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3990 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5506 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Central America