Trade and Economic Growth : Evidence on the Role of Complementarities for CAFTA-DR Countries

This paper examines the effects of trade on growth among Central America-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement countries. To accomplish this task, the authors collected a panel data set of 136 countries over 1960-2010, and estimated cross-country...

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Main Authors: Calderón, César, Poggioa, Virginia
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
GDP
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100929130215
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3920
id okr-10986-3920
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ADVERSE EFFECT
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE LEVEL
AGGREGATE VOLATILITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ASSETS
BENCHMARK
BOND
BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL MARKETS
CENTRAL BANK
CHANGES IN TRADE
COEFFICIENT ESTIMATE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
CONDITIONAL CONVERGENCE
CONSUMER GOODS
COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS
COUNTRY SPECIFIC
CROSS COUNTRY
CURRENCY
DEBT
DEBT INSTRUMENTS
DEBT TO EQUITY RATIOS
DEMAND ELASTICITIES
DEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
DEVELOPMENT REPORT
DIMINISHING RETURNS
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC PRODUCERS
DYNAMIC PANEL
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC LITERATURE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC STATISTICS
ECONOMIC STUDIES
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
EDUCATED PEOPLE
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL GROWTH LITERATURE
EMPIRICAL LITERATURE
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS
ENFORCEMENT OF CONTRACTS
ERROR TERM
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS
ESTIMATION METHOD
ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
EXPORT MARKET
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL CONDITIONS
FACTOR PRICE
FACTOR PRICE EQUALIZATION
FINANCIAL DEPTH
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FISCAL POLICIES
FORECASTS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN FIRMS
FOREIGN TRADE
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL INTEGRATION
GLOBALIZATION
GRAVITY MODEL
GROWTH DETERMINANTS
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSIONS
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPACT OF TRADE
IMPERFECT COMPETITION
IMPORT TARIFFS
INCOME
INCOME CONVERGENCE
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME LEVELS
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INEQUALITY DETERMINANTS
INFLATION RATE
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT RATE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LAGGED DEPENDENT
LAGGED LEVELS
LAGGED VALUES
LANDLOCKED COUNTRIES
LDCS
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY
MACROECONOMICS
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
MARKET SIZE
MEASURE OF TRADE
MOBILE PHONES
MONETARY ECONOMICS
MULTINATIONAL FIRMS
0 HYPOTHESIS
OIL EXPORTER
OIL EXPORTERS
OUTPUT
OUTPUT PER CAPITA
PER CAPITA GROWTH
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL RISK
PORTFOLIO
POSITIVE EFFECTS
PRICE STABILITY
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROMOTING GROWTH
PROTECTIONIST POLICIES
RANDOM WALK
REAL GDP
REFORM POLICIES
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
SECONDARY ENROLLMENT
SECONDARY SCHOOLING
SERIAL CORRELATION
SMALL COUNTRIES
SPECIALIZATION
STANDARD DEVIATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STRUCTURAL POLICIES
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TELEPHONE PENETRATION
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE FLOWS
TRADE INTEGRATION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE MORE
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE PATTERNS
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REFORM
TRADE REFORMS
TRADE REGIMES
TRADE VOLUMES
TRADING COSTS
TRANSITIONAL CONVERGENCE
VOLUME OF TRADE
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD ECONOMY
WORLD TRADE
spellingShingle ADVERSE EFFECT
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE LEVEL
AGGREGATE VOLATILITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ASSETS
BENCHMARK
BOND
BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL MARKETS
CENTRAL BANK
CHANGES IN TRADE
COEFFICIENT ESTIMATE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
CONDITIONAL CONVERGENCE
CONSUMER GOODS
COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS
COUNTRY SPECIFIC
CROSS COUNTRY
CURRENCY
DEBT
DEBT INSTRUMENTS
DEBT TO EQUITY RATIOS
DEMAND ELASTICITIES
DEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
DEVELOPMENT REPORT
DIMINISHING RETURNS
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC PRODUCERS
DYNAMIC PANEL
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC LITERATURE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC STATISTICS
ECONOMIC STUDIES
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
EDUCATED PEOPLE
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL GROWTH LITERATURE
EMPIRICAL LITERATURE
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS
ENFORCEMENT OF CONTRACTS
ERROR TERM
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS
ESTIMATION METHOD
ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
EXPORT MARKET
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL CONDITIONS
FACTOR PRICE
FACTOR PRICE EQUALIZATION
FINANCIAL DEPTH
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FISCAL POLICIES
FORECASTS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN FIRMS
FOREIGN TRADE
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL INTEGRATION
GLOBALIZATION
GRAVITY MODEL
GROWTH DETERMINANTS
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSIONS
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPACT OF TRADE
IMPERFECT COMPETITION
IMPORT TARIFFS
INCOME
INCOME CONVERGENCE
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME LEVELS
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INEQUALITY DETERMINANTS
INFLATION RATE
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT RATE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LAGGED DEPENDENT
LAGGED LEVELS
LAGGED VALUES
LANDLOCKED COUNTRIES
LDCS
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY
MACROECONOMICS
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
MARKET SIZE
MEASURE OF TRADE
MOBILE PHONES
MONETARY ECONOMICS
MULTINATIONAL FIRMS
0 HYPOTHESIS
OIL EXPORTER
OIL EXPORTERS
OUTPUT
OUTPUT PER CAPITA
PER CAPITA GROWTH
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL RISK
PORTFOLIO
POSITIVE EFFECTS
PRICE STABILITY
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROMOTING GROWTH
PROTECTIONIST POLICIES
RANDOM WALK
REAL GDP
REFORM POLICIES
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
SECONDARY ENROLLMENT
SECONDARY SCHOOLING
SERIAL CORRELATION
SMALL COUNTRIES
SPECIALIZATION
STANDARD DEVIATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STRUCTURAL POLICIES
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TELEPHONE PENETRATION
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE FLOWS
TRADE INTEGRATION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE MORE
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE PATTERNS
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REFORM
TRADE REFORMS
TRADE REGIMES
TRADE VOLUMES
TRADING COSTS
TRANSITIONAL CONVERGENCE
VOLUME OF TRADE
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD ECONOMY
WORLD TRADE
Calderón, César
Poggioa, Virginia
Trade and Economic Growth : Evidence on the Role of Complementarities for CAFTA-DR Countries
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5426
description This paper examines the effects of trade on growth among Central America-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement countries. To accomplish this task, the authors collected a panel data set of 136 countries over 1960-2010, and estimated cross-country growth regressions using an econometric methodology that accounts for unobserved effects and the likely endogeneity of the growth determinants. Following recent empirical efforts, they tested whether the impact of trade openness on growth may be more effective after surpassing a "minimum threshold" in specific areas closely related to economic development. The analysis finds not only that there is a robust causal link from trade to growth, but also that the growth benefits from trade are larger in countries with higher levels of education and innovation, deeper financial markets, a stronger institutional framework, more developed infrastructure networks, a high level of integration with world capital markets, and less stringent economic regulations. On average, rising trade has benefited growth in Central America-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement countries. However, the lack of progress in structural reforms has not allowed these countries to maximize the potential benefits from trade.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Calderón, César
Poggioa, Virginia
author_facet Calderón, César
Poggioa, Virginia
author_sort Calderón, César
title Trade and Economic Growth : Evidence on the Role of Complementarities for CAFTA-DR Countries
title_short Trade and Economic Growth : Evidence on the Role of Complementarities for CAFTA-DR Countries
title_full Trade and Economic Growth : Evidence on the Role of Complementarities for CAFTA-DR Countries
title_fullStr Trade and Economic Growth : Evidence on the Role of Complementarities for CAFTA-DR Countries
title_full_unstemmed Trade and Economic Growth : Evidence on the Role of Complementarities for CAFTA-DR Countries
title_sort trade and economic growth : evidence on the role of complementarities for cafta-dr countries
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100929130215
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3920
_version_ 1764389024842121216
spelling okr-10986-39202021-04-23T14:02:13Z Trade and Economic Growth : Evidence on the Role of Complementarities for CAFTA-DR Countries Calderón, César Poggioa, Virginia ADVERSE EFFECT ADVERSE EFFECTS AGGREGATE LEVEL AGGREGATE VOLATILITY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ASSETS BENCHMARK BOND BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CAPITAL MARKETS CENTRAL BANK CHANGES IN TRADE COEFFICIENT ESTIMATE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES CONDITIONAL CONVERGENCE CONSUMER GOODS COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS COUNTRY SPECIFIC CROSS COUNTRY CURRENCY DEBT DEBT INSTRUMENTS DEBT TO EQUITY RATIOS DEMAND ELASTICITIES DEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT REPORT DIMINISHING RETURNS DOMESTIC CREDIT DOMESTIC PRODUCERS DYNAMIC PANEL ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS ECONOMIC INTEGRATION ECONOMIC LITERATURE ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC REFORM ECONOMIC STATISTICS ECONOMIC STUDIES ECONOMIC THEORY ECONOMICS ECONOMIES OF SCALE EDUCATED PEOPLE EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPIRICAL GROWTH LITERATURE EMPIRICAL LITERATURE EMPIRICAL STUDIES EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS ENFORCEMENT OF CONTRACTS ERROR TERM ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS ESTIMATION METHOD ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPLANATORY VARIABLES EXPORT MARKET EXPORTS EXTERNAL CONDITIONS FACTOR PRICE FACTOR PRICE EQUALIZATION FINANCIAL DEPTH FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL FLOWS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL SECTOR FISCAL POLICIES FORECASTS FOREIGN ASSETS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN FIRMS FOREIGN TRADE FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENT FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL INTEGRATION GLOBALIZATION GRAVITY MODEL GROWTH DETERMINANTS GROWTH EFFECT GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GROWTH REGRESSIONS HUMAN CAPITAL IMPACT OF TRADE IMPERFECT COMPETITION IMPORT TARIFFS INCOME INCOME CONVERGENCE INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME INEQUALITY INCOME LEVELS INCREASING RETURNS INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE INEQUALITY DETERMINANTS INFLATION RATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INTEGRATION INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVESTMENT RATE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED LEVELS LAGGED VALUES LANDLOCKED COUNTRIES LDCS LIFE EXPECTANCY LOCAL CURRENCY LONG RUN MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY MACROECONOMICS MARKET DEVELOPMENT MARKET SIZE MEASURE OF TRADE MOBILE PHONES MONETARY ECONOMICS MULTINATIONAL FIRMS 0 HYPOTHESIS OIL EXPORTER OIL EXPORTERS OUTPUT OUTPUT PER CAPITA PER CAPITA GROWTH POLICY CHANGES POLICY RESEARCH POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL RISK PORTFOLIO POSITIVE EFFECTS PRICE STABILITY PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROMOTING GROWTH PROTECTIONIST POLICIES RANDOM WALK REAL GDP REFORM POLICIES REGIONAL INTEGRATION REGIONAL TRADE REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS REGRESSION ANALYSIS REGULATORY FRAMEWORK RESOURCE ALLOCATION SECONDARY ENROLLMENT SECONDARY SCHOOLING SERIAL CORRELATION SMALL COUNTRIES SPECIALIZATION STANDARD DEVIATION STATISTICAL ANALYSIS STRUCTURAL POLICIES TARIFF REDUCTIONS TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION TELECOMMUNICATIONS TELEPHONE PENETRATION TRADE AGREEMENT TRADE BARRIERS TRADE FLOWS TRADE INTEGRATION TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE MORE TRADE OPENNESS TRADE PATTERNS TRADE POLICIES TRADE POLICY TRADE REFORM TRADE REFORMS TRADE REGIMES TRADE VOLUMES TRADING COSTS TRANSITIONAL CONVERGENCE VOLUME OF TRADE WAGES WEALTH WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLD ECONOMY WORLD TRADE This paper examines the effects of trade on growth among Central America-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement countries. To accomplish this task, the authors collected a panel data set of 136 countries over 1960-2010, and estimated cross-country growth regressions using an econometric methodology that accounts for unobserved effects and the likely endogeneity of the growth determinants. Following recent empirical efforts, they tested whether the impact of trade openness on growth may be more effective after surpassing a "minimum threshold" in specific areas closely related to economic development. The analysis finds not only that there is a robust causal link from trade to growth, but also that the growth benefits from trade are larger in countries with higher levels of education and innovation, deeper financial markets, a stronger institutional framework, more developed infrastructure networks, a high level of integration with world capital markets, and less stringent economic regulations. On average, rising trade has benefited growth in Central America-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement countries. However, the lack of progress in structural reforms has not allowed these countries to maximize the potential benefits from trade. 2012-03-19T18:42:11Z 2012-03-19T18:42:11Z 2010-09-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100929130215 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3920 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5426 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region